A Hybrid Thermodynamic–Machine Learning Approach for Flash Point Prediction of Binary Organic Mixtures

Un enfoque híbrido termodinámico-aprendizaje automático para la predicción del punto de inflamación de mezclas orgánicas binarias

Uma abordagem híbrida de termodinâmica e aprendizado de máquina para a previsão do ponto de fulgor de misturas orgânicas binárias

Khan, Nadia - Saleem, Ahmed - Jilani, Aisha - Zaidi, Asad A.
Detalles Bibliográficos
2026
Punto de inflamación
Mezclas multicomponentes
Modelo Liaw-UNIFAC
Red neuronal artificial
Seguridad de procesos
No idealidad
Flash point
Multicomponent mixtures
Liaw–UNIFAC model
Artificial neural network
Process safety
Non-ideality
Ponto de fulgor
Misturas multicomponentes
Modelo Liaw-UNIFAC
Rede neural artificial
Segurança de processos
Não idealidade
Español
Universidad de Montevideo
REDUM
https://revistas.um.edu.uy/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/1983
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12806/3450
Acceso abierto
Atribución 4.0 Internacional
Resumen:
Sumario:Flash point is a critical safety parameter indicating the lowest temperature at which a flammable liquid mixture can ignite. Accurate flash point estimation is essential for hazard prevention in chemical processing and fuel handling, yet experimental determination is time-consuming, costly, and hazardous. This study presents a combined thermodynamic and machine learning methodology to predict flash points of binary organic mixtures. A Liaw–UNIFAC thermodynamic model was used to generate vapor pressure and activity coefficient inputs, which were then used to train an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for flash point prediction. The ANN model, configured with four hidden layers (10-20-10-5 neurons), captures complex non-linear relationships between mixture composition, molecular properties, and flash point. Model evaluation against literature data for eight diverse binary mixtures (including alcohols, alkanes, aromatics, and ketones) demonstrates high accuracy: the ANN’s flash point predictions show mean squared errors (MSE) below 0.1 and R2 above 0.99 in most cases, closely matching both experimental results and the Liaw–UNIFAC model. The ANN approach offers comparable reliability to the mechanistic Liaw model while significantly improving computational efficiency and adaptability. These findings highlight the potential of hybrid thermodynamic ANN modeling to enhance process safety by enabling rapid, accurate flash point estimation for complex mixtures without exhaustive physical testing.