Structural change, commodity dependence and middle-income trap: Emerging approaches to a traditional agenda
Resumen:
The objective of this paper is to revisit key themes of development literature in the light of novel emerging approaches. Applying complexity economic tools, evidence is presented to argue that, along the development trajectory of countries, a complexity increase, to be sustainable, must go hand in hand with a departure from their productive historical path, in the form of unrelated diversification. Also, it is argued that successful trajectories must avoid the middle-income trap (MIT), which is shown to stem from the interplay of supply and demand factors. Finally, building on balance of payments constrained growth literature, a theoretical model is proposed to explain the high prevalence of MIT situations among commodity-dependent countries. It is suggested that this phenomenon arises from the interaction of commodity price volatility and real exchange rates, which affects the accumulation of sophisticated productive capabilities.
| 2024 | |
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Economic development Commodity dependence Middle-income trap Structural change FINANZAS INTERNACIONALES COMERCIO INTERNACIONAL |
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| Inglés | |
| Universidad de la República | |
| COLIBRI | |
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https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/51437
https://doi.org/10.13133/2037-3643/18653 |
|
| Acceso abierto | |
| Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
| _version_ | 1871255300238999552 |
|---|---|
| author | Isabella, Fernando |
| author_facet | Isabella, Fernando |
| author_role | author |
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| collection | COLIBRI |
| dc.contributor.filiacion.none.fl_str_mv | Isabella Fernando, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. Instituto de Economía |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Isabella, Fernando |
| dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv | 2025-09-04T12:27:07Z |
| dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv | 2025-09-04T12:27:07Z |
| dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv | 2024 |
| dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv | The objective of this paper is to revisit key themes of development literature in the light of novel emerging approaches. Applying complexity economic tools, evidence is presented to argue that, along the development trajectory of countries, a complexity increase, to be sustainable, must go hand in hand with a departure from their productive historical path, in the form of unrelated diversification. Also, it is argued that successful trajectories must avoid the middle-income trap (MIT), which is shown to stem from the interplay of supply and demand factors. Finally, building on balance of payments constrained growth literature, a theoretical model is proposed to explain the high prevalence of MIT situations among commodity-dependent countries. It is suggested that this phenomenon arises from the interaction of commodity price volatility and real exchange rates, which affects the accumulation of sophisticated productive capabilities. |
| dc.format.extent.es.fl_str_mv | 22 p. |
| dc.format.mimetype.es.fl_str_mv | application/pdf |
| dc.identifier.citation.es.fl_str_mv | ISABELLA, Fernando. Structural change, commodity dependence and middle-income trap: Emerging approaches to a traditional agenda. PSL Quarterly Review, 2024, vol. 77, n° 310, pp. 329–350. https://doi.org/10.13133/2037-3643/18653 |
| dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv | https://doi.org/10.13133/2037-3643/18653 |
| dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/51437 |
| dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv | en eng |
| dc.publisher.es.fl_str_mv | Associazione Economia civile |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv | PSL Quarterly Review, 2024, vol. 77, n° 310, pp. 329–350. https://doi.org/10.13133/2037-3643/18653 |
| dc.rights.license.none.fl_str_mv | Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
| dc.source.none.fl_str_mv | reponame:COLIBRI instname:Universidad de la República instacron:Universidad de la República |
| dc.subject.es.fl_str_mv | Economic development Commodity dependence Middle-income trap Structural change |
| dc.subject.other.es.fl_str_mv | FINANZAS INTERNACIONALES COMERCIO INTERNACIONAL |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | Structural change, commodity dependence and middle-income trap: Emerging approaches to a traditional agenda |
| dc.type.es.fl_str_mv | Artículo |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
| dc.type.version.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
| description | The objective of this paper is to revisit key themes of development literature in the light of novel emerging approaches. Applying complexity economic tools, evidence is presented to argue that, along the development trajectory of countries, a complexity increase, to be sustainable, must go hand in hand with a departure from their productive historical path, in the form of unrelated diversification. Also, it is argued that successful trajectories must avoid the middle-income trap (MIT), which is shown to stem from the interplay of supply and demand factors. Finally, building on balance of payments constrained growth literature, a theoretical model is proposed to explain the high prevalence of MIT situations among commodity-dependent countries. It is suggested that this phenomenon arises from the interaction of commodity price volatility and real exchange rates, which affects the accumulation of sophisticated productive capabilities. |
| eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
| format | article |
| id | COLIBRI_7cf89733ef595759a2369a0509656d60 |
| identifier_str_mv | ISABELLA, Fernando. Structural change, commodity dependence and middle-income trap: Emerging approaches to a traditional agenda. PSL Quarterly Review, 2024, vol. 77, n° 310, pp. 329–350. https://doi.org/10.13133/2037-3643/18653 |
| instacron_str | Universidad de la República |
| institution | Universidad de la República |
| instname_str | Universidad de la República |
| language | eng |
| language_invalid_str_mv | en |
| network_acronym_str | COLIBRI |
| network_name_str | COLIBRI |
| oai_identifier_str | oai:colibri.udelar.edu.uy:20.500.12008/51437 |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| reponame_str | COLIBRI |
| repository.mail.fl_str_mv | karina.camps@seciu.edu.uy |
| repository.name.fl_str_mv | COLIBRI - Universidad de la República |
| repository_id_str | 4771 |
| rights_invalid_str_mv | Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
| spelling | Isabella Fernando, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. Instituto de Economía2025-09-04T12:27:07Z2025-09-04T12:27:07Z2024ISABELLA, Fernando. Structural change, commodity dependence and middle-income trap: Emerging approaches to a traditional agenda. PSL Quarterly Review, 2024, vol. 77, n° 310, pp. 329–350. https://doi.org/10.13133/2037-3643/18653https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/51437https://doi.org/10.13133/2037-3643/18653The objective of this paper is to revisit key themes of development literature in the light of novel emerging approaches. Applying complexity economic tools, evidence is presented to argue that, along the development trajectory of countries, a complexity increase, to be sustainable, must go hand in hand with a departure from their productive historical path, in the form of unrelated diversification. Also, it is argued that successful trajectories must avoid the middle-income trap (MIT), which is shown to stem from the interplay of supply and demand factors. Finally, building on balance of payments constrained growth literature, a theoretical model is proposed to explain the high prevalence of MIT situations among commodity-dependent countries. It is suggested that this phenomenon arises from the interaction of commodity price volatility and real exchange rates, which affects the accumulation of sophisticated productive capabilities.Submitted by Pérez Lorenza (eva3956611@hotmail.com) on 2025-08-28T16:27:36Z No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 26539 bytes, checksum: 3b50ae24bd8bd076d49a70878a8a2d2c (MD5) 18.13133.pdf: 2035933 bytes, checksum: b3d1a7a2f33a39244f47267a75a72bc3 (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Arigón Fernández María Concepción (mcarigon@fcea.edu.uy) on 2025-09-03T19:01:59Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 26539 bytes, checksum: 3b50ae24bd8bd076d49a70878a8a2d2c (MD5) 18.13133.pdf: 2035933 bytes, checksum: b3d1a7a2f33a39244f47267a75a72bc3 (MD5)Made available in DSpace by Luna Fabiana (fabiana.luna@seciu.edu.uy) on 2025-09-04T12:27:07Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 26539 bytes, checksum: 3b50ae24bd8bd076d49a70878a8a2d2c (MD5) 18.13133.pdf: 2035933 bytes, checksum: b3d1a7a2f33a39244f47267a75a72bc3 (MD5) Previous issue date: 202422 p.application/pdfenengAssociazione Economia civilePSL Quarterly Review, 2024, vol. 77, n° 310, pp. 329–350. https://doi.org/10.13133/2037-3643/18653Las obras depositadas en el Repositorio se rigen por la Ordenanza de los Derechos de la Propiedad Intelectual de la Universidad de la República.(Res. Nº 91 de C.D.C. de 8/III/1994 – D.O. 7/IV/1994) y por la Ordenanza del Repositorio Abierto de la Universidad de la República (Res. Nº 16 de C.D.C. de 07/10/2014)info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessLicencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0)Economic developmentCommodity dependenceMiddle-income trapStructural changeFINANZAS INTERNACIONALESCOMERCIO INTERNACIONALStructural change, commodity dependence and middle-income trap: Emerging approaches to a traditional agendaArtículoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionreponame:COLIBRIinstname:Universidad de la Repúblicainstacron:Universidad de la RepúblicaIsabella, FernandoLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-84267http://localhost:8080/xmlui/bitstream/20.500.12008/51437/5/license.txt6429389a7df7277b72b7924fdc7d47a9MD55CC-LICENSElicense_urllicense_urltext/plain; charset=utf-850http://localhost:8080/xmlui/bitstream/20.500.12008/51437/2/license_urla006180e3f5b2ad0b88185d14284c0e0MD52license_textlicense_texttext/html; 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públicahttps://udelar.edu.uy/https://www.colibri.udelar.edu.uy/oai/requestkarina.camps@seciu.edu.uyUruguayopendoar:47712025-09-04T12:27:07COLIBRI - Universidad de la Repúblicafalse |
| spellingShingle | Structural change, commodity dependence and middle-income trap: Emerging approaches to a traditional agenda Isabella, Fernando Economic development Commodity dependence Middle-income trap Structural change FINANZAS INTERNACIONALES COMERCIO INTERNACIONAL |
| status_str | publishedVersion |
| title | Structural change, commodity dependence and middle-income trap: Emerging approaches to a traditional agenda |
| title_full | Structural change, commodity dependence and middle-income trap: Emerging approaches to a traditional agenda |
| title_fullStr | Structural change, commodity dependence and middle-income trap: Emerging approaches to a traditional agenda |
| title_full_unstemmed | Structural change, commodity dependence and middle-income trap: Emerging approaches to a traditional agenda |
| title_short | Structural change, commodity dependence and middle-income trap: Emerging approaches to a traditional agenda |
| title_sort | Structural change, commodity dependence and middle-income trap: Emerging approaches to a traditional agenda |
| topic | Economic development Commodity dependence Middle-income trap Structural change FINANZAS INTERNACIONALES COMERCIO INTERNACIONAL |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/51437 https://doi.org/10.13133/2037-3643/18653 |