Development of a model output statistic and implementation of an operational solar photovoltaic energy forecast model based in WRF.
Resumen:
In this work, an operational solar energy forecast model was developed based in correction of irradatiation obtained from WRF output. This output depends on the Hourly Clearness Index (kt). Three different physic schemes of WRF parametrization are analyzed in this work. The horizontal irradiation computed by Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) is the input of the developed Model Output Statistic (MOS). Solar irradiation is converted from horizontal to tilted surface, and a final photo-voltaic solar energy plant coefficient is calibrated to obtain the minimal absolute error in the period of calibration.
| 2015 | |
| Agencia Nacional de Investigación e Innovación. ANII FSE_1_2013_1_10691. Energía solar fotovoltaica: Aspectos tecnológicos, técnicos y perspectivas de desarrollo en Uruguay | |
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Radiation effects Computational modeling Atmospheric modeling Predictive models Photovoltaic systems Calibration Solar energy Forecast |
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| Inglés | |
| Universidad de la República | |
| COLIBRI | |
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https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/7381162
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/36942 |
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| Acceso abierto | |
| Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
| Sumario: | In this work, an operational solar energy forecast model was developed based in correction of irradatiation obtained from WRF output. This output depends on the Hourly Clearness Index (kt). Three different physic schemes of WRF parametrization are analyzed in this work. The horizontal irradiation computed by Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) is the input of the developed Model Output Statistic (MOS). Solar irradiation is converted from horizontal to tilted surface, and a final photo-voltaic solar energy plant coefficient is calibrated to obtain the minimal absolute error in the period of calibration. |
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