Development of a model output statistic and implementation of an operational solar photovoltaic energy forecast model based in WRF.

Porrini, Claudio - Gutiérrez, Alejandro - Cazes Boezio, Gabriel - Hermida, Gonzalo - Oroño, Diego - Puppo, Martín

Resumen:

In this work, an operational solar energy forecast model was developed based in correction of irradatiation obtained from WRF output. This output depends on the Hourly Clearness Index (kt). Three different physic schemes of WRF parametrization are analyzed in this work. The horizontal irradiation computed by Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) is the input of the developed Model Output Statistic (MOS). Solar irradiation is converted from horizontal to tilted surface, and a final photo-voltaic solar energy plant coefficient is calibrated to obtain the minimal absolute error in the period of calibration.


Detalles Bibliográficos
2015
Agencia Nacional de Investigación e Innovación. ANII FSE_1_2013_1_10691. Energía solar fotovoltaica: Aspectos tecnológicos, técnicos y perspectivas de desarrollo en Uruguay
Radiation effects
Computational modeling
Atmospheric modeling
Predictive models
Photovoltaic systems
Calibration
Solar energy
Forecast
Inglés
Universidad de la República
COLIBRI
https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/7381162
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/36942
Acceso abierto
Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0)