How far do shocks move across borders? examining volatility transmission in major agricultural futures markets
Resumen:
This paper examines the level of interdependence and volatility transmission in global agricultural futures markets. We follow a multivariate GARCH approach to explore the dynamics and cross-dynamics of volatility across major exchanges of corn, wheat, and soybeans between the United States, Europe, and Asia. We account for the potential bias that may arise when considering exchanges with different closing times. The period of analysis is 2004-2009 for corn and soybeans, and 2005-2009 for wheat. The results indicate that agricultural markets are highly interrelated and there are both own- and cross volatility spillovers and dependence among most of the exchanges. There is higher interaction between the United States (Chicago) and both Europe and Asia than within the latter. The results further show the major role Chicago plays in terms of spillover effects over the other markets, particularly for corn and wheat. Additionally, the level of interdependence between exchanges has only increased in recent years for some of the commodities. Implications for potential regulatory policies of agricultural futures markets are also briefly discussed.
2011 | |
Volatility transmission Agricultural commodities Futures markets Multivariate |
|
Inglés | |
Universidad de Montevideo | |
REDUM | |
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12806/1319 | |
Acceso abierto | |
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internacional |
_version_ | 1807356682172366848 |
---|---|
author | Hernández, Manuel A. |
author2 | Ibarra, Raúl Trupkin, Danilo |
author2_role | author author |
author_facet | Hernández, Manuel A. Ibarra, Raúl Trupkin, Danilo |
author_role | author |
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bitstream.checksumAlgorithm.fl_str_mv | MD5 MD5 MD5 MD5 MD5 |
bitstream.url.fl_str_mv | http://redum.um.edu.uy/bitstream/20.500.12806/1319/1/working_paper_um_cee_2011_09.pdf http://redum.um.edu.uy/bitstream/20.500.12806/1319/2/license_rdf http://redum.um.edu.uy/bitstream/20.500.12806/1319/3/license.txt http://redum.um.edu.uy/bitstream/20.500.12806/1319/4/working_paper_um_cee_2011_09.pdf.txt http://redum.um.edu.uy/bitstream/20.500.12806/1319/5/working_paper_um_cee_2011_09.pdf.jpg |
collection | REDUM |
dc.contributor.filiacion.es.fl_str_mv | Trupkin, Danilo. Universidad de Montevideo, Uruguay |
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Hernández, Manuel A. Ibarra, Raúl Trupkin, Danilo |
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv | 2022-03-21T19:31:13Z |
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv | 2022-03-21T19:31:13Z |
dc.date.issued.es.fl_str_mv | 2011 |
dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv | This paper examines the level of interdependence and volatility transmission in global agricultural futures markets. We follow a multivariate GARCH approach to explore the dynamics and cross-dynamics of volatility across major exchanges of corn, wheat, and soybeans between the United States, Europe, and Asia. We account for the potential bias that may arise when considering exchanges with different closing times. The period of analysis is 2004-2009 for corn and soybeans, and 2005-2009 for wheat. The results indicate that agricultural markets are highly interrelated and there are both own- and cross volatility spillovers and dependence among most of the exchanges. There is higher interaction between the United States (Chicago) and both Europe and Asia than within the latter. The results further show the major role Chicago plays in terms of spillover effects over the other markets, particularly for corn and wheat. Additionally, the level of interdependence between exchanges has only increased in recent years for some of the commodities. Implications for potential regulatory policies of agricultural futures markets are also briefly discussed. |
dc.format.extent.es.fl_str_mv | 53 p. |
dc.format.mimetype.es.fl_str_mv | application/pdf |
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12806/1319 |
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv | eng |
dc.publisher.es.fl_str_mv | Universidad de Montevideo, Facultad de Ciencias Empresariales y Economía, Departamento de Economía |
dc.relation.ispartof.es.fl_str_mv | Documentos de trabajo del Departamento de Economía; UM_CEE_2011_09 |
dc.rights.es.fl_str_mv | Abierto |
dc.rights.license.none.fl_str_mv | Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internacional |
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
dc.rights.uri.*.fl_str_mv | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv | reponame:REDUM instname:Universidad de Montevideo instacron:Universidad de Montevideo |
dc.subject.es.fl_str_mv | Volatility transmission Agricultural commodities Futures markets Multivariate |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | How far do shocks move across borders? examining volatility transmission in major agricultural futures markets |
dc.type.es.fl_str_mv | Documento de trabajo |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper |
dc.type.version.es.fl_str_mv | Publicada |
dc.type.version.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
description | This paper examines the level of interdependence and volatility transmission in global agricultural futures markets. We follow a multivariate GARCH approach to explore the dynamics and cross-dynamics of volatility across major exchanges of corn, wheat, and soybeans between the United States, Europe, and Asia. We account for the potential bias that may arise when considering exchanges with different closing times. The period of analysis is 2004-2009 for corn and soybeans, and 2005-2009 for wheat. The results indicate that agricultural markets are highly interrelated and there are both own- and cross volatility spillovers and dependence among most of the exchanges. There is higher interaction between the United States (Chicago) and both Europe and Asia than within the latter. The results further show the major role Chicago plays in terms of spillover effects over the other markets, particularly for corn and wheat. Additionally, the level of interdependence between exchanges has only increased in recent years for some of the commodities. Implications for potential regulatory policies of agricultural futures markets are also briefly discussed. |
eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
format | workingPaper |
id | REDUM_285806774ff3da34da1c80abc0b37d35 |
instacron_str | Universidad de Montevideo |
institution | Universidad de Montevideo |
instname_str | Universidad de Montevideo |
language | eng |
network_acronym_str | REDUM |
network_name_str | REDUM |
oai_identifier_str | oai:redum.um.edu.uy:20.500.12806/1319 |
publishDate | 2011 |
reponame_str | REDUM |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv | nolascoaga@um.edu.uy |
repository.name.fl_str_mv | REDUM - Universidad de Montevideo |
repository_id_str | 10501 |
rights_invalid_str_mv | Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internacional Abierto http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
spelling | Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 InternacionalAbiertohttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2955f946-25f4-43f1-879f-b6036d4c5abedf44af77-966a-49d2-b9b4-f6610c26ef382e2d66c3-0fa2-4c36-bfd2-4c537e58347cTrupkin, Danilo. Universidad de Montevideo, Uruguay2022-03-21T19:31:13Z2022-03-21T19:31:13Z2011https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12806/1319This paper examines the level of interdependence and volatility transmission in global agricultural futures markets. We follow a multivariate GARCH approach to explore the dynamics and cross-dynamics of volatility across major exchanges of corn, wheat, and soybeans between the United States, Europe, and Asia. We account for the potential bias that may arise when considering exchanges with different closing times. The period of analysis is 2004-2009 for corn and soybeans, and 2005-2009 for wheat. The results indicate that agricultural markets are highly interrelated and there are both own- and cross volatility spillovers and dependence among most of the exchanges. There is higher interaction between the United States (Chicago) and both Europe and Asia than within the latter. The results further show the major role Chicago plays in terms of spillover effects over the other markets, particularly for corn and wheat. Additionally, the level of interdependence between exchanges has only increased in recent years for some of the commodities. Implications for potential regulatory policies of agricultural futures markets are also briefly discussed.53 p.application/pdfengUniversidad de Montevideo, Facultad de Ciencias Empresariales y Economía, Departamento de EconomíaDocumentos de trabajo del Departamento de Economía; UM_CEE_2011_09Volatility transmissionAgricultural commoditiesFutures marketsMultivariateHow far do shocks move across borders? examining volatility transmission in major agricultural futures marketsDocumento de trabajoPublicadainfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaperreponame:REDUMinstname:Universidad de Montevideoinstacron:Universidad de MontevideoHernández, Manuel A.Ibarra, RaúlTrupkin, DaniloORIGINALworking_paper_um_cee_2011_09.pdfworking_paper_um_cee_2011_09.pdfapplication/pdf1704377http://redum.um.edu.uy/bitstream/20.500.12806/1319/1/working_paper_um_cee_2011_09.pdf9924996e826c139400e94ab0530863dfMD51CC-LICENSElicense_rdflicense_rdfapplication/rdf+xml; charset=utf-8805http://redum.um.edu.uy/bitstream/20.500.12806/1319/2/license_rdf4460e5956bc1d1639be9ae6146a50347MD52LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82117http://redum.um.edu.uy/bitstream/20.500.12806/1319/3/license.txt691ed290c8bf8671811a9242b7fc04b6MD53TEXTworking_paper_um_cee_2011_09.pdf.txtworking_paper_um_cee_2011_09.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain85534http://redum.um.edu.uy/bitstream/20.500.12806/1319/4/working_paper_um_cee_2011_09.pdf.txt786333a5406a4b96697cc2b154635bb7MD54THUMBNAILworking_paper_um_cee_2011_09.pdf.jpgworking_paper_um_cee_2011_09.pdf.jpgGenerated Thumbnailimage/jpeg1525http://redum.um.edu.uy/bitstream/20.500.12806/1319/5/working_paper_um_cee_2011_09.pdf.jpga61eeea5c860665716a8de71a35d550aMD5520.500.12806/13192024-06-04 03:01:01.841oai:redum.um.edu.uy:20.500.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Universidadhttps://um.edu.uy/https://redum.um.edu.uy/oai/requestnolascoaga@um.edu.uyUruguayopendoar:105012024-06-04T06:01:01REDUM - Universidad de Montevideofalse |
spellingShingle | How far do shocks move across borders? examining volatility transmission in major agricultural futures markets Hernández, Manuel A. Volatility transmission Agricultural commodities Futures markets Multivariate |
status_str | publishedVersion |
title | How far do shocks move across borders? examining volatility transmission in major agricultural futures markets |
title_full | How far do shocks move across borders? examining volatility transmission in major agricultural futures markets |
title_fullStr | How far do shocks move across borders? examining volatility transmission in major agricultural futures markets |
title_full_unstemmed | How far do shocks move across borders? examining volatility transmission in major agricultural futures markets |
title_short | How far do shocks move across borders? examining volatility transmission in major agricultural futures markets |
title_sort | How far do shocks move across borders? examining volatility transmission in major agricultural futures markets |
topic | Volatility transmission Agricultural commodities Futures markets Multivariate |
url | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12806/1319 |