A Construction Management Tool: Determining a Project Schedule Typical Behaviors Using Cluster Analysis

Rudeli, Natalia - Viles, Elisabeth - Santilli, Adrián

Resumen:

Delays in the construction industry are a global phenomenon. Many construction projects experience extensive delays exceeding the initially estimated completion time. The main purpose of this study is to identify construction projects typical behaviors in order to develop a prognosis and management tool. Being able to know a construction projects schedule tendency will enable evidence-based decision-making to allow resolutions to be made before delays occur. This study presents an innovative approach that uses Cluster Analysis Method to support predictions during Earned Value Analyses. A clustering analysis was used to predict future scheduling, Earned Value Management (EVM), and Earned Schedule (ES) principal Indexes behaviors in construction projects. The analysis was made using a database with 90 different construction projects. It was validated with additional data extracted from literature and with another 15 contrasting projects. For all projects, planned and executed schedules were collected and the EVM and ES principal indexes were calculated. A complete linkage classification method was used. In this way, the cluster analysis made considers that the distance (or similarity) between two clusters must be measured by its most disparate elements, i.e. that the distance is given by the maximum span among its components. Finally, through the use of EVM and ES Indexes and Tukey and Fisher Pairwise Comparisons, the statistical dissimilarity was verified and four clusters were obtained. It can be said that construction projects show an average delay of 35% of its planned completion time. Furthermore, four typical behaviors were found and for each of the obtained clusters, the interim milestones and the necessary rhythms of construction were identified. In general, detected typical behaviors are: (1) Projects that perform a 5% of work advance in the first two tenths and maintain a constant rhythm until completion (greater than 10% for each remaining tenth), being able to finish on the initially estimated time. (2) Projects that start with an adequate construction rate but suffer minor delays culminating with a total delay of almost 27% of the planned time. (3) Projects which start with a performance below the planned rate and end up with an average delay of 64%, and (4) projects that begin with a poor performance, suffer great delays and end up with an average delay of a 120% of the planned completion time. The obtained clusters compose a tool to identify the behavior of new construction projects by comparing their current work performance to the validated database, thus allowing the correction of initial estimations towards more accurate completion schedules.


Detalles Bibliográficos
2018
Agencia Nacional de Investigación e Innovación
Cluster analysis
Construction management
Earned value
Ingeniería y Tecnología
Ingeniería Civil
Ingeniería de la Construcción
Inglés
Agencia Nacional de Investigación e Innovación
REDI
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12381/214
Acceso abierto
Reconocimiento 4.0 Internacional. (CC BY)
_version_ 1814959263678726144
author Rudeli, Natalia
author2 Viles, Elisabeth
Santilli, Adrián
author2_role author
author
author_facet Rudeli, Natalia
Viles, Elisabeth
Santilli, Adrián
author_role author
bitstream.checksum.fl_str_mv 2d97768b1a25a7df5a347bb58fd2d77f
b4c207edf990fb339d2aa1a5f7d21986
bitstream.checksumAlgorithm.fl_str_mv MD5
MD5
bitstream.url.fl_str_mv https://redi.anii.org.uy/jspui/bitstream/20.500.12381/214/2/license.txt
https://redi.anii.org.uy/jspui/bitstream/20.500.12381/214/1/Rudeli%20et%20al.%20%282018%29.pdf
collection REDI
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Rudeli, Natalia
Viles, Elisabeth
Santilli, Adrián
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2019-12-24T14:55:14Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2019-12-24T14:55:14Z
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv 2018-09-12
dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv Delays in the construction industry are a global phenomenon. Many construction projects experience extensive delays exceeding the initially estimated completion time. The main purpose of this study is to identify construction projects typical behaviors in order to develop a prognosis and management tool. Being able to know a construction projects schedule tendency will enable evidence-based decision-making to allow resolutions to be made before delays occur. This study presents an innovative approach that uses Cluster Analysis Method to support predictions during Earned Value Analyses. A clustering analysis was used to predict future scheduling, Earned Value Management (EVM), and Earned Schedule (ES) principal Indexes behaviors in construction projects. The analysis was made using a database with 90 different construction projects. It was validated with additional data extracted from literature and with another 15 contrasting projects. For all projects, planned and executed schedules were collected and the EVM and ES principal indexes were calculated. A complete linkage classification method was used. In this way, the cluster analysis made considers that the distance (or similarity) between two clusters must be measured by its most disparate elements, i.e. that the distance is given by the maximum span among its components. Finally, through the use of EVM and ES Indexes and Tukey and Fisher Pairwise Comparisons, the statistical dissimilarity was verified and four clusters were obtained. It can be said that construction projects show an average delay of 35% of its planned completion time. Furthermore, four typical behaviors were found and for each of the obtained clusters, the interim milestones and the necessary rhythms of construction were identified. In general, detected typical behaviors are: (1) Projects that perform a 5% of work advance in the first two tenths and maintain a constant rhythm until completion (greater than 10% for each remaining tenth), being able to finish on the initially estimated time. (2) Projects that start with an adequate construction rate but suffer minor delays culminating with a total delay of almost 27% of the planned time. (3) Projects which start with a performance below the planned rate and end up with an average delay of 64%, and (4) projects that begin with a poor performance, suffer great delays and end up with an average delay of a 120% of the planned completion time. The obtained clusters compose a tool to identify the behavior of new construction projects by comparing their current work performance to the validated database, thus allowing the correction of initial estimations towards more accurate completion schedules.
dc.description.sponsorship.none.fl_txt_mv Agencia Nacional de Investigación e Innovación
dc.identifier.anii.es.fl_str_mv POS_EXT_2016 _1_134047
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12381/214
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv eng
dc.publisher.es.fl_str_mv World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology
dc.rights.es.fl_str_mv Acceso abierto
dc.rights.license.none.fl_str_mv Reconocimiento 4.0 Internacional. (CC BY)
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.source.es.fl_str_mv International Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering. 2018; 12 (5)
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:REDI
instname:Agencia Nacional de Investigación e Innovación
instacron:Agencia Nacional de Investigación e Innovación
dc.subject.anii.es.fl_str_mv Ingeniería y Tecnología
Ingeniería Civil
Ingeniería de la Construcción
dc.subject.es.fl_str_mv Cluster analysis
Construction management
Earned value
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv A Construction Management Tool: Determining a Project Schedule Typical Behaviors Using Cluster Analysis
dc.type.es.fl_str_mv Artículo
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type.version.es.fl_str_mv Publicado
dc.type.version.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
description Delays in the construction industry are a global phenomenon. Many construction projects experience extensive delays exceeding the initially estimated completion time. The main purpose of this study is to identify construction projects typical behaviors in order to develop a prognosis and management tool. Being able to know a construction projects schedule tendency will enable evidence-based decision-making to allow resolutions to be made before delays occur. This study presents an innovative approach that uses Cluster Analysis Method to support predictions during Earned Value Analyses. A clustering analysis was used to predict future scheduling, Earned Value Management (EVM), and Earned Schedule (ES) principal Indexes behaviors in construction projects. The analysis was made using a database with 90 different construction projects. It was validated with additional data extracted from literature and with another 15 contrasting projects. For all projects, planned and executed schedules were collected and the EVM and ES principal indexes were calculated. A complete linkage classification method was used. In this way, the cluster analysis made considers that the distance (or similarity) between two clusters must be measured by its most disparate elements, i.e. that the distance is given by the maximum span among its components. Finally, through the use of EVM and ES Indexes and Tukey and Fisher Pairwise Comparisons, the statistical dissimilarity was verified and four clusters were obtained. It can be said that construction projects show an average delay of 35% of its planned completion time. Furthermore, four typical behaviors were found and for each of the obtained clusters, the interim milestones and the necessary rhythms of construction were identified. In general, detected typical behaviors are: (1) Projects that perform a 5% of work advance in the first two tenths and maintain a constant rhythm until completion (greater than 10% for each remaining tenth), being able to finish on the initially estimated time. (2) Projects that start with an adequate construction rate but suffer minor delays culminating with a total delay of almost 27% of the planned time. (3) Projects which start with a performance below the planned rate and end up with an average delay of 64%, and (4) projects that begin with a poor performance, suffer great delays and end up with an average delay of a 120% of the planned completion time. The obtained clusters compose a tool to identify the behavior of new construction projects by comparing their current work performance to the validated database, thus allowing the correction of initial estimations towards more accurate completion schedules.
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
format article
id REDI_baecc38dfd1b69b2d2d4f711254cf796
identifier_str_mv POS_EXT_2016 _1_134047
instacron_str Agencia Nacional de Investigación e Innovación
institution Agencia Nacional de Investigación e Innovación
instname_str Agencia Nacional de Investigación e Innovación
language eng
network_acronym_str REDI
network_name_str REDI
oai_identifier_str oai:redi.anii.org.uy:20.500.12381/214
publishDate 2018
reponame_str REDI
repository.mail.fl_str_mv jmaldini@anii.org.uy
repository.name.fl_str_mv REDI - Agencia Nacional de Investigación e Innovación
repository_id_str 9421
rights_invalid_str_mv Reconocimiento 4.0 Internacional. (CC BY)
Acceso abierto
spelling Reconocimiento 4.0 Internacional. (CC BY)Acceso abiertoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2019-12-24T14:55:14Z2019-12-24T14:55:14Z2018-09-12http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12381/214POS_EXT_2016 _1_134047Delays in the construction industry are a global phenomenon. Many construction projects experience extensive delays exceeding the initially estimated completion time. The main purpose of this study is to identify construction projects typical behaviors in order to develop a prognosis and management tool. Being able to know a construction projects schedule tendency will enable evidence-based decision-making to allow resolutions to be made before delays occur. This study presents an innovative approach that uses Cluster Analysis Method to support predictions during Earned Value Analyses. A clustering analysis was used to predict future scheduling, Earned Value Management (EVM), and Earned Schedule (ES) principal Indexes behaviors in construction projects. The analysis was made using a database with 90 different construction projects. It was validated with additional data extracted from literature and with another 15 contrasting projects. For all projects, planned and executed schedules were collected and the EVM and ES principal indexes were calculated. A complete linkage classification method was used. In this way, the cluster analysis made considers that the distance (or similarity) between two clusters must be measured by its most disparate elements, i.e. that the distance is given by the maximum span among its components. Finally, through the use of EVM and ES Indexes and Tukey and Fisher Pairwise Comparisons, the statistical dissimilarity was verified and four clusters were obtained. It can be said that construction projects show an average delay of 35% of its planned completion time. Furthermore, four typical behaviors were found and for each of the obtained clusters, the interim milestones and the necessary rhythms of construction were identified. In general, detected typical behaviors are: (1) Projects that perform a 5% of work advance in the first two tenths and maintain a constant rhythm until completion (greater than 10% for each remaining tenth), being able to finish on the initially estimated time. (2) Projects that start with an adequate construction rate but suffer minor delays culminating with a total delay of almost 27% of the planned time. (3) Projects which start with a performance below the planned rate and end up with an average delay of 64%, and (4) projects that begin with a poor performance, suffer great delays and end up with an average delay of a 120% of the planned completion time. The obtained clusters compose a tool to identify the behavior of new construction projects by comparing their current work performance to the validated database, thus allowing the correction of initial estimations towards more accurate completion schedules.Agencia Nacional de Investigación e InnovaciónengWorld Academy of Science, Engineering and TechnologyInternational Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering. 2018; 12 (5)reponame:REDIinstname:Agencia Nacional de Investigación e Innovacióninstacron:Agencia Nacional de Investigación e InnovaciónCluster analysisConstruction managementEarned valueIngeniería y TecnologíaIngeniería CivilIngeniería de la ConstrucciónA Construction Management Tool: Determining a Project Schedule Typical Behaviors Using Cluster AnalysisArtículoPublicadoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleUniversidad de NavarraRudeli, NataliaViles, ElisabethSantilli, AdriánLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-84746https://redi.anii.org.uy/jspui/bitstream/20.500.12381/214/2/license.txt2d97768b1a25a7df5a347bb58fd2d77fMD52ORIGINALRudeli et al. (2018).pdfRudeli et al. (2018).pdfRudeli et al. (2018)application/pdf336043https://redi.anii.org.uy/jspui/bitstream/20.500.12381/214/1/Rudeli%20et%20al.%20%282018%29.pdfb4c207edf990fb339d2aa1a5f7d21986MD5120.500.12381/2142020-09-18 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- Agencia Nacional de Investigación e Innovaciónfalse
spellingShingle A Construction Management Tool: Determining a Project Schedule Typical Behaviors Using Cluster Analysis
Rudeli, Natalia
Cluster analysis
Construction management
Earned value
Ingeniería y Tecnología
Ingeniería Civil
Ingeniería de la Construcción
status_str publishedVersion
title A Construction Management Tool: Determining a Project Schedule Typical Behaviors Using Cluster Analysis
title_full A Construction Management Tool: Determining a Project Schedule Typical Behaviors Using Cluster Analysis
title_fullStr A Construction Management Tool: Determining a Project Schedule Typical Behaviors Using Cluster Analysis
title_full_unstemmed A Construction Management Tool: Determining a Project Schedule Typical Behaviors Using Cluster Analysis
title_short A Construction Management Tool: Determining a Project Schedule Typical Behaviors Using Cluster Analysis
title_sort A Construction Management Tool: Determining a Project Schedule Typical Behaviors Using Cluster Analysis
topic Cluster analysis
Construction management
Earned value
Ingeniería y Tecnología
Ingeniería Civil
Ingeniería de la Construcción
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12381/214