Prediction of enteric methane emissions by sheep using an intercontinental database.

BELANCHE, A. - HRISTOV, A. - VAN LINGEN, H. - DENMAN, S. E. - KEBREAB, E. - SCHWARM, A. - KREUZER, M. - NIU, M. - EUGÈNE, M. - NIDERKORN, V. - MARTIN, C. - ARCHIMÈDE, H. - MCGEE, M. - REYNOLDS, C. K. - CROMPTON, L. A. - BAYAT, A. R. - YU, Z. - BANNINK, A. - DIJKSTRA, J. - CHAVES, A. V. - CLARK, H. - MUETZEL, S. - LIND, V. - MOORBY, J. M. - ROOKE, J. A. - AUBRY, A. - ANTEZANA, W. - WANG, M. - HEGARTY, R. - HUTTON O. V. - HILL, J. - VERCOE, P. E. - SAVIAN, J.V. - ABDALLA, A. L. - SOLTAN, Y. A. - GOMES MONTEIRO, A. L. - KU-VERA, J. C. - JAURENA, G. - GÓMEZ-BRAVO, C. A. - MAYORGA, O. L. - CONGIO, G. F. S. - YÁÑEZ-RUIZ, D. R.

Resumen:

Enteric methane (CH4) emissions from sheep contribute to global greenhouse gas emissions from livestock. However, as already available for dairy and beef cattle, empirical models are needed to predict CH4 emissions from sheep for accounting purposes. The objectives of this study were to: 1) collate an intercontinental database of enteric CH4 emissions from individual sheep; 2) identify the key variables for predicting enteric sheep CH4 absolute production (g/d per animal) and yield [g/kg dry matter intake (DMI)] and their respective relationships; and 3) develop and cross-validate global equations as well as the potential need for age-, diet-, or climatic region-specific equations. The refined intercontinental database included 2,135 individual animal data from 13 countries. Linear CH4 prediction models were developed by incrementally adding variables. A universal CH4 production equation using only DMI led to a root mean square prediction error (RMSPE, % of observed mean) of 25.4% and an RMSPE-standard deviation ratio (RSR) of 0.69. Universal equations that, in addition to DMI, also included body weight (DMI + BW), and organic matter digestibility (DMI + OMD + BW) improved the prediction performance further (RSR, 0.62 and 0.60), whereas diet composition variables had negligible effects. These universal equations had lower prediction error than the extant IPCC 2019 equations. Developing age-specific models for adult sheep (>1-year-old) including DMI alone (RSR = 0.66) or in combination with rumen propionate molar proportion (for research of more refined purposes) substantially improved prediction performance (RSR = 0.57) on a smaller dataset. On the contrary, for young sheep (<1-year-old), the universal models could be applied, instead of age-specific models, if DMI and BW were included. Universal models showed similar prediction performances to the diet- and region-specific models. However, optimal prediction equations led to different regression coefficients (i.e. intercepts and slopes) for universal, age-specific, diet-specific, and region-specific models with predictive implications. Equations for CH4 yield led to low prediction performances, with DMI being negatively and BW and OMD positively correlated with CH4 yield. In conclusion, predicting sheep CH4 production requires information on DMI and prediction accuracy will improve national and global inventories if separate equations for young and adult sheep are used with the additional variables BW, OMD and rumen propionate proportion. Appropriate universal equations can be used to predict CH4 production from sheep across different diets and climatic conditions. © 2022 The Authors

Detalles Bibliográficos
2023
Age
Climatic regions
Diet composition
Prediction models
Rumen fermentation
Inglés
Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria
AINFO
https://ainfo.inia.uy/consulta/busca?b=pc&id=63939&biblioteca=vazio&busca=63939&qFacets=63939
Acceso abierto
_version_ 1856772336035823616
author BELANCHE, A.
author2 HRISTOV, A.
VAN LINGEN, H.
DENMAN, S. E.
KEBREAB, E.
SCHWARM, A.
KREUZER, M.
NIU, M.
EUGÈNE, M.
NIDERKORN, V.
MARTIN, C.
ARCHIMÈDE, H.
MCGEE, M.
REYNOLDS, C. K.
CROMPTON, L. A.
BAYAT, A. R.
YU, Z.
BANNINK, A.
DIJKSTRA, J.
CHAVES, A. V.
CLARK, H.
MUETZEL, S.
LIND, V.
MOORBY, J. M.
ROOKE, J. A.
AUBRY, A.
ANTEZANA, W.
WANG, M.
HEGARTY, R.
HUTTON O. V.
HILL, J.
VERCOE, P. E.
SAVIAN, J.V.
ABDALLA, A. L.
SOLTAN, Y. A.
GOMES MONTEIRO, A. L.
KU-VERA, J. C.
JAURENA, G.
GÓMEZ-BRAVO, C. A.
MAYORGA, O. L.
CONGIO, G. F. S.
YÁÑEZ-RUIZ, D. R.
author2_role author
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author
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author
author
author
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author
author
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author
author
author
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author
author
author
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author
author
author_facet BELANCHE, A.
HRISTOV, A.
VAN LINGEN, H.
DENMAN, S. E.
KEBREAB, E.
SCHWARM, A.
KREUZER, M.
NIU, M.
EUGÈNE, M.
NIDERKORN, V.
MARTIN, C.
ARCHIMÈDE, H.
MCGEE, M.
REYNOLDS, C. K.
CROMPTON, L. A.
BAYAT, A. R.
YU, Z.
BANNINK, A.
DIJKSTRA, J.
CHAVES, A. V.
CLARK, H.
MUETZEL, S.
LIND, V.
MOORBY, J. M.
ROOKE, J. A.
AUBRY, A.
ANTEZANA, W.
WANG, M.
HEGARTY, R.
HUTTON O. V.
HILL, J.
VERCOE, P. E.
SAVIAN, J.V.
ABDALLA, A. L.
SOLTAN, Y. A.
GOMES MONTEIRO, A. L.
KU-VERA, J. C.
JAURENA, G.
GÓMEZ-BRAVO, C. A.
MAYORGA, O. L.
CONGIO, G. F. S.
YÁÑEZ-RUIZ, D. R.
author_role author
bitstream.checksum.fl_str_mv 37420264303f8660c03872ebac37eaff
bitstream.checksumAlgorithm.fl_str_mv MD5
bitstream.url.fl_str_mv https://redi.anii.org.uy/jspui/bitstream/20.500.12381/4291/1/sword-2025-06-23T15%3a26%3a40.original.xml
collection AINFO
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv BELANCHE, A.
HRISTOV, A.
VAN LINGEN, H.
DENMAN, S. E.
KEBREAB, E.
SCHWARM, A.
KREUZER, M.
NIU, M.
EUGÈNE, M.
NIDERKORN, V.
MARTIN, C.
ARCHIMÈDE, H.
MCGEE, M.
REYNOLDS, C. K.
CROMPTON, L. A.
BAYAT, A. R.
YU, Z.
BANNINK, A.
DIJKSTRA, J.
CHAVES, A. V.
CLARK, H.
MUETZEL, S.
LIND, V.
MOORBY, J. M.
ROOKE, J. A.
AUBRY, A.
ANTEZANA, W.
WANG, M.
HEGARTY, R.
HUTTON O. V.
HILL, J.
VERCOE, P. E.
SAVIAN, J.V.
ABDALLA, A. L.
SOLTAN, Y. A.
GOMES MONTEIRO, A. L.
KU-VERA, J. C.
JAURENA, G.
GÓMEZ-BRAVO, C. A.
MAYORGA, O. L.
CONGIO, G. F. S.
YÁÑEZ-RUIZ, D. R.
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2025-06-23T18:26:40Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2025-06-23T18:26:40Z
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv 2023
dc.date.updated.none.fl_str_mv 2025-06-23T18:26:40Z
dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv Enteric methane (CH4) emissions from sheep contribute to global greenhouse gas emissions from livestock. However, as already available for dairy and beef cattle, empirical models are needed to predict CH4 emissions from sheep for accounting purposes. The objectives of this study were to: 1) collate an intercontinental database of enteric CH4 emissions from individual sheep; 2) identify the key variables for predicting enteric sheep CH4 absolute production (g/d per animal) and yield [g/kg dry matter intake (DMI)] and their respective relationships; and 3) develop and cross-validate global equations as well as the potential need for age-, diet-, or climatic region-specific equations. The refined intercontinental database included 2,135 individual animal data from 13 countries. Linear CH4 prediction models were developed by incrementally adding variables. A universal CH4 production equation using only DMI led to a root mean square prediction error (RMSPE, % of observed mean) of 25.4% and an RMSPE-standard deviation ratio (RSR) of 0.69. Universal equations that, in addition to DMI, also included body weight (DMI + BW), and organic matter digestibility (DMI + OMD + BW) improved the prediction performance further (RSR, 0.62 and 0.60), whereas diet composition variables had negligible effects. These universal equations had lower prediction error than the extant IPCC 2019 equations. Developing age-specific models for adult sheep (>1-year-old) including DMI alone (RSR = 0.66) or in combination with rumen propionate molar proportion (for research of more refined purposes) substantially improved prediction performance (RSR = 0.57) on a smaller dataset. On the contrary, for young sheep (<1-year-old), the universal models could be applied, instead of age-specific models, if DMI and BW were included. Universal models showed similar prediction performances to the diet- and region-specific models. However, optimal prediction equations led to different regression coefficients (i.e. intercepts and slopes) for universal, age-specific, diet-specific, and region-specific models with predictive implications. Equations for CH4 yield led to low prediction performances, with DMI being negatively and BW and OMD positively correlated with CH4 yield. In conclusion, predicting sheep CH4 production requires information on DMI and prediction accuracy will improve national and global inventories if separate equations for young and adult sheep are used with the additional variables BW, OMD and rumen propionate proportion. Appropriate universal equations can be used to predict CH4 production from sheep across different diets and climatic conditions. © 2022 The Authors
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://ainfo.inia.uy/consulta/busca?b=pc&id=63939&biblioteca=vazio&busca=63939&qFacets=63939
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv en
eng
dc.rights.es.fl_str_mv Acceso abierto
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:AINFO
instname:Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria
instacron:Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Age
Climatic regions
Diet composition
Prediction models
Rumen fermentation
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Prediction of enteric methane emissions by sheep using an intercontinental database.
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Article
PublishedVersion
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type.version.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
description Enteric methane (CH4) emissions from sheep contribute to global greenhouse gas emissions from livestock. However, as already available for dairy and beef cattle, empirical models are needed to predict CH4 emissions from sheep for accounting purposes. The objectives of this study were to: 1) collate an intercontinental database of enteric CH4 emissions from individual sheep; 2) identify the key variables for predicting enteric sheep CH4 absolute production (g/d per animal) and yield [g/kg dry matter intake (DMI)] and their respective relationships; and 3) develop and cross-validate global equations as well as the potential need for age-, diet-, or climatic region-specific equations. The refined intercontinental database included 2,135 individual animal data from 13 countries. Linear CH4 prediction models were developed by incrementally adding variables. A universal CH4 production equation using only DMI led to a root mean square prediction error (RMSPE, % of observed mean) of 25.4% and an RMSPE-standard deviation ratio (RSR) of 0.69. Universal equations that, in addition to DMI, also included body weight (DMI + BW), and organic matter digestibility (DMI + OMD + BW) improved the prediction performance further (RSR, 0.62 and 0.60), whereas diet composition variables had negligible effects. These universal equations had lower prediction error than the extant IPCC 2019 equations. Developing age-specific models for adult sheep (>1-year-old) including DMI alone (RSR = 0.66) or in combination with rumen propionate molar proportion (for research of more refined purposes) substantially improved prediction performance (RSR = 0.57) on a smaller dataset. On the contrary, for young sheep (<1-year-old), the universal models could be applied, instead of age-specific models, if DMI and BW were included. Universal models showed similar prediction performances to the diet- and region-specific models. However, optimal prediction equations led to different regression coefficients (i.e. intercepts and slopes) for universal, age-specific, diet-specific, and region-specific models with predictive implications. Equations for CH4 yield led to low prediction performances, with DMI being negatively and BW and OMD positively correlated with CH4 yield. In conclusion, predicting sheep CH4 production requires information on DMI and prediction accuracy will improve national and global inventories if separate equations for young and adult sheep are used with the additional variables BW, OMD and rumen propionate proportion. Appropriate universal equations can be used to predict CH4 production from sheep across different diets and climatic conditions. © 2022 The Authors
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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spelling 2025-06-23T18:26:40Z2025-06-23T18:26:40Z20232025-06-23T18:26:40Zhttps://ainfo.inia.uy/consulta/busca?b=pc&id=63939&biblioteca=vazio&busca=63939&qFacets=63939Enteric methane (CH4) emissions from sheep contribute to global greenhouse gas emissions from livestock. However, as already available for dairy and beef cattle, empirical models are needed to predict CH4 emissions from sheep for accounting purposes. The objectives of this study were to: 1) collate an intercontinental database of enteric CH4 emissions from individual sheep; 2) identify the key variables for predicting enteric sheep CH4 absolute production (g/d per animal) and yield [g/kg dry matter intake (DMI)] and their respective relationships; and 3) develop and cross-validate global equations as well as the potential need for age-, diet-, or climatic region-specific equations. The refined intercontinental database included 2,135 individual animal data from 13 countries. Linear CH4 prediction models were developed by incrementally adding variables. A universal CH4 production equation using only DMI led to a root mean square prediction error (RMSPE, % of observed mean) of 25.4% and an RMSPE-standard deviation ratio (RSR) of 0.69. Universal equations that, in addition to DMI, also included body weight (DMI + BW), and organic matter digestibility (DMI + OMD + BW) improved the prediction performance further (RSR, 0.62 and 0.60), whereas diet composition variables had negligible effects. These universal equations had lower prediction error than the extant IPCC 2019 equations. Developing age-specific models for adult sheep (>1-year-old) including DMI alone (RSR = 0.66) or in combination with rumen propionate molar proportion (for research of more refined purposes) substantially improved prediction performance (RSR = 0.57) on a smaller dataset. On the contrary, for young sheep (<1-year-old), the universal models could be applied, instead of age-specific models, if DMI and BW were included. Universal models showed similar prediction performances to the diet- and region-specific models. However, optimal prediction equations led to different regression coefficients (i.e. intercepts and slopes) for universal, age-specific, diet-specific, and region-specific models with predictive implications. Equations for CH4 yield led to low prediction performances, with DMI being negatively and BW and OMD positively correlated with CH4 yield. In conclusion, predicting sheep CH4 production requires information on DMI and prediction accuracy will improve national and global inventories if separate equations for young and adult sheep are used with the additional variables BW, OMD and rumen propionate proportion. Appropriate universal equations can be used to predict CH4 production from sheep across different diets and climatic conditions. © 2022 The Authorshttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12381/4291enenginfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessAcceso abiertoAgeClimatic regionsDiet compositionPrediction modelsRumen fermentationPrediction of enteric methane emissions by sheep using an intercontinental database.ArticlePublishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionreponame:AINFOinstname:Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuariainstacron:Instituto Nacional de Investigación AgropecuariaBELANCHE, A.HRISTOV, A.VAN LINGEN, H.DENMAN, S. E.KEBREAB, E.SCHWARM, A.KREUZER, M.NIU, M.EUGÈNE, M.NIDERKORN, V.MARTIN, C.ARCHIMÈDE, H.MCGEE, M.REYNOLDS, C. K.CROMPTON, L. A.BAYAT, A. R.YU, Z.BANNINK, A.DIJKSTRA, J.CHAVES, A. V.CLARK, H.MUETZEL, S.LIND, V.MOORBY, J. M.ROOKE, J. A.AUBRY, A.ANTEZANA, W.WANG, M.HEGARTY, R.HUTTON O. V.HILL, J.VERCOE, P. E.SAVIAN, J.V.ABDALLA, A. L.SOLTAN, Y. A.GOMES MONTEIRO, A. L.KU-VERA, J. C.JAURENA, G.GÓMEZ-BRAVO, C. A.MAYORGA, O. L.CONGIO, G. F. S.YÁÑEZ-RUIZ, D. R.SWORDsword-2025-06-23T15:26:40.original.xmlOriginal SWORD entry documentapplication/octet-stream5697https://redi.anii.org.uy/jspui/bitstream/20.500.12381/4291/1/sword-2025-06-23T15%3a26%3a40.original.xml37420264303f8660c03872ebac37eaffMD5120.500.12381/42912026-02-10 15:53:56.808oai:redi.anii.org.uy:20.500.12381/4291Institucionalhttps://ainfo.inia.uy/Organismo científico-tecnológicohttp://inia.uyhttps://redi.anii.org.uy/oai/requestlorrego@inia.org.uyUruguayopendoar:2026-02-10T18:53:56AINFO - Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuariafalse
spellingShingle Prediction of enteric methane emissions by sheep using an intercontinental database.
BELANCHE, A.
Age
Climatic regions
Diet composition
Prediction models
Rumen fermentation
status_str publishedVersion
title Prediction of enteric methane emissions by sheep using an intercontinental database.
title_full Prediction of enteric methane emissions by sheep using an intercontinental database.
title_fullStr Prediction of enteric methane emissions by sheep using an intercontinental database.
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of enteric methane emissions by sheep using an intercontinental database.
title_short Prediction of enteric methane emissions by sheep using an intercontinental database.
title_sort Prediction of enteric methane emissions by sheep using an intercontinental database.
topic Age
Climatic regions
Diet composition
Prediction models
Rumen fermentation
url https://ainfo.inia.uy/consulta/busca?b=pc&id=63939&biblioteca=vazio&busca=63939&qFacets=63939