Identifying large-scale patterns of unpredictability and response to insolation in atmospheric data

Arizmendi, Fernando - Barreiro, Marcelo - Masoller, Cristina

Resumen:

Understanding the complex dynamics of the atmosphere is of paramount interest due to its impact in the entire climate system and in human society. Here we focus on identifying, from data, the geographical regions which have similar atmospheric properties. We study surface air temperature (SAT) time series with monthly resolution, recorded at a regular grid covering the Earth surface. We consider two datasets: NCEP CDAS1 and ERA Interim reanalysis. We show that two surprisingly simple measures are able to extract meaningful information: i) the distance between the lagged SAT and the incoming solar radiation and ii) the Shannon entropy of SAT and SAT anomalies. The distance uncovers well-defined spatial patterns formed by regions with similar SAT response to solar forcing while the entropy uncovers regions with similar degree of SAT unpredictability. The entropy analysis also allows identifying regions in which SAT has extreme values. Importantly, we uncover differences between the two datasets which are due to the presence of extreme values in one dataset but not in the other. Our results indicate that the distance and entropy measures can be valuable tools for the study of other climatological variables, for anomaly detection and for performing model inter-comparisons.


Detalles Bibliográficos
2017
Air temperature
Entropy
Solar radiation
Temperature sensitivity
Time series analysis
Inglés
Universidad de la República
COLIBRI
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/22014
Acceso abierto
Licencia Creative Commons Atribución (CC –BY 4.0)
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author Arizmendi, Fernando
author2 Barreiro, Marcelo
Masoller, Cristina
author2_role author
author
author_facet Arizmendi, Fernando
Barreiro, Marcelo
Masoller, Cristina
author_role author
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http://localhost:8080/xmlui/bitstream/20.500.12008/22014/1/101038srep45676.pdf
collection COLIBRI
dc.contributor.filiacion.es.fl_str_mv Barreiro, Marcelo. Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Física.
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Arizmendi, Fernando
Barreiro, Marcelo
Masoller, Cristina
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2019-10-02T22:08:27Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2019-10-02T22:08:27Z
dc.date.issued.es.fl_str_mv 2017
dc.date.submitted.es.fl_str_mv 20190930
dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv Understanding the complex dynamics of the atmosphere is of paramount interest due to its impact in the entire climate system and in human society. Here we focus on identifying, from data, the geographical regions which have similar atmospheric properties. We study surface air temperature (SAT) time series with monthly resolution, recorded at a regular grid covering the Earth surface. We consider two datasets: NCEP CDAS1 and ERA Interim reanalysis. We show that two surprisingly simple measures are able to extract meaningful information: i) the distance between the lagged SAT and the incoming solar radiation and ii) the Shannon entropy of SAT and SAT anomalies. The distance uncovers well-defined spatial patterns formed by regions with similar SAT response to solar forcing while the entropy uncovers regions with similar degree of SAT unpredictability. The entropy analysis also allows identifying regions in which SAT has extreme values. Importantly, we uncover differences between the two datasets which are due to the presence of extreme values in one dataset but not in the other. Our results indicate that the distance and entropy measures can be valuable tools for the study of other climatological variables, for anomaly detection and for performing model inter-comparisons.
dc.format.mimetype.es.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.citation.es.fl_str_mv Arizmendi, F., Barreiro, M., Masoller, C.Identifying large-scale patterns of unpredictability and response to insolation in atmospheric data. Scientific Reports, 2017, 7, art. nro. 45676. doi: 10.1038/srep45676
dc.identifier.doi.es.fl_str_mv 10.1038/srep45676
dc.identifier.issn.es.fl_str_mv 2045-2322
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/22014
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv en
eng
dc.publisher.es.fl_str_mv Nature Publishing Group
dc.relation.ispartof.es.fl_str_mv Scientific Reports, 2017, 7, art. no. 45676
dc.rights.license.none.fl_str_mv Licencia Creative Commons Atribución (CC –BY 4.0)
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:COLIBRI
instname:Universidad de la República
instacron:Universidad de la República
dc.subject.es.fl_str_mv Air temperature
Entropy
Solar radiation
Temperature sensitivity
Time series analysis
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Identifying large-scale patterns of unpredictability and response to insolation in atmospheric data
dc.type.es.fl_str_mv Artículo
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type.version.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
description Understanding the complex dynamics of the atmosphere is of paramount interest due to its impact in the entire climate system and in human society. Here we focus on identifying, from data, the geographical regions which have similar atmospheric properties. We study surface air temperature (SAT) time series with monthly resolution, recorded at a regular grid covering the Earth surface. We consider two datasets: NCEP CDAS1 and ERA Interim reanalysis. We show that two surprisingly simple measures are able to extract meaningful information: i) the distance between the lagged SAT and the incoming solar radiation and ii) the Shannon entropy of SAT and SAT anomalies. The distance uncovers well-defined spatial patterns formed by regions with similar SAT response to solar forcing while the entropy uncovers regions with similar degree of SAT unpredictability. The entropy analysis also allows identifying regions in which SAT has extreme values. Importantly, we uncover differences between the two datasets which are due to the presence of extreme values in one dataset but not in the other. Our results indicate that the distance and entropy measures can be valuable tools for the study of other climatological variables, for anomaly detection and for performing model inter-comparisons.
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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identifier_str_mv Arizmendi, F., Barreiro, M., Masoller, C.Identifying large-scale patterns of unpredictability and response to insolation in atmospheric data. Scientific Reports, 2017, 7, art. nro. 45676. doi: 10.1038/srep45676
2045-2322
10.1038/srep45676
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publishDate 2017
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repository.mail.fl_str_mv mabel.seroubian@seciu.edu.uy
repository.name.fl_str_mv COLIBRI - Universidad de la República
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rights_invalid_str_mv Licencia Creative Commons Atribución (CC –BY 4.0)
spelling Barreiro, Marcelo. Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Física.2019-10-02T22:08:27Z2019-10-02T22:08:27Z201720190930Arizmendi, F., Barreiro, M., Masoller, C.Identifying large-scale patterns of unpredictability and response to insolation in atmospheric data. Scientific Reports, 2017, 7, art. nro. 45676. doi: 10.1038/srep456762045-2322https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/2201410.1038/srep45676Understanding the complex dynamics of the atmosphere is of paramount interest due to its impact in the entire climate system and in human society. Here we focus on identifying, from data, the geographical regions which have similar atmospheric properties. We study surface air temperature (SAT) time series with monthly resolution, recorded at a regular grid covering the Earth surface. We consider two datasets: NCEP CDAS1 and ERA Interim reanalysis. We show that two surprisingly simple measures are able to extract meaningful information: i) the distance between the lagged SAT and the incoming solar radiation and ii) the Shannon entropy of SAT and SAT anomalies. The distance uncovers well-defined spatial patterns formed by regions with similar SAT response to solar forcing while the entropy uncovers regions with similar degree of SAT unpredictability. The entropy analysis also allows identifying regions in which SAT has extreme values. Importantly, we uncover differences between the two datasets which are due to the presence of extreme values in one dataset but not in the other. Our results indicate that the distance and entropy measures can be valuable tools for the study of other climatological variables, for anomaly detection and for performing model inter-comparisons.Made available in DSpace on 2019-10-02T22:08:27Z (GMT). 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- Universidad de la Repúblicafalse
spellingShingle Identifying large-scale patterns of unpredictability and response to insolation in atmospheric data
Arizmendi, Fernando
Air temperature
Entropy
Solar radiation
Temperature sensitivity
Time series analysis
status_str publishedVersion
title Identifying large-scale patterns of unpredictability and response to insolation in atmospheric data
title_full Identifying large-scale patterns of unpredictability and response to insolation in atmospheric data
title_fullStr Identifying large-scale patterns of unpredictability and response to insolation in atmospheric data
title_full_unstemmed Identifying large-scale patterns of unpredictability and response to insolation in atmospheric data
title_short Identifying large-scale patterns of unpredictability and response to insolation in atmospheric data
title_sort Identifying large-scale patterns of unpredictability and response to insolation in atmospheric data
topic Air temperature
Entropy
Solar radiation
Temperature sensitivity
Time series analysis
url https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/22014