Determinants of argentinean tourism demand in Uruguay

Mordecki, Gabriela

Resumen:

In Uruguay total yearly tourists represent about 90% of its population of which historically 60% or more have come from Argentina. Tourist activities have a great impact on Uruguayan economy. They represent about 4% of Uruguayan GDP and generate near 6% of total employment and 14% of total exports. For this reason it is important to analyze the determinants behind tourism demand. In this paper we study the relationship between the number of Argentinean tourists in Uruguay, their real expenditure, Argentinean GDP and the real exchange rate (RER) between Uruguay and Argentina trying to find long-run relationships between variables, following Johansen methodology. We found two cointegration relationships, through Vector error correction models (VECM). In the first one we include real tourism expenditure, Argentinean GDP and the RER between Argentina and Uruguay. In the second one, we try to estimate the number of Argentinean tourists, using monthly dada of tourists, a monthly indicator of Argentinean activity and the RER between Uruguay and Argentina. The model\2019s forecast indicates a slight decrease of Argentinean tourism expenditure in 2014 and a recovering for 2015.


Detalles Bibliográficos
2014
TIPO DE CAMBIO
EXCHANGE RATE
TOURISM
TURISMO
DEMANDA
DEMAND
Inglés
Universidad de la República
COLIBRI
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/4257
Acceso abierto
Licencia Creative Commons Atribución – No Comercial – Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND)
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author Mordecki, Gabriela
author_facet Mordecki, Gabriela
author_role author
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collection COLIBRI
dc.coverage.spatial.es.fl_str_mv URUGUAY
ARGENTINA
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Mordecki, Gabriela
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2015-03-02T17:43:54Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2015-03-02T17:43:54Z
dc.date.issued.es.fl_str_mv 2014
dc.date.submitted.es.fl_str_mv 20150225
dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv In Uruguay total yearly tourists represent about 90% of its population of which historically 60% or more have come from Argentina. Tourist activities have a great impact on Uruguayan economy. They represent about 4% of Uruguayan GDP and generate near 6% of total employment and 14% of total exports. For this reason it is important to analyze the determinants behind tourism demand. In this paper we study the relationship between the number of Argentinean tourists in Uruguay, their real expenditure, Argentinean GDP and the real exchange rate (RER) between Uruguay and Argentina trying to find long-run relationships between variables, following Johansen methodology. We found two cointegration relationships, through Vector error correction models (VECM). In the first one we include real tourism expenditure, Argentinean GDP and the RER between Argentina and Uruguay. In the second one, we try to estimate the number of Argentinean tourists, using monthly dada of tourists, a monthly indicator of Argentinean activity and the RER between Uruguay and Argentina. The model\2019s forecast indicates a slight decrease of Argentinean tourism expenditure in 2014 and a recovering for 2015.
dc.identifier.citation.es.fl_str_mv MORDECKI, G. "Determinants of argentinean tourism demand in Uruguay". Serie Documentos de Trabajo / FCEA-IE; DT17/14. UR.FCEA-IE, 2014.
dc.identifier.issn.es.fl_str_mv 1510-9305
1688-5090
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/4257
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv eng
dc.publisher.es.fl_str_mv UR.FCEA-IE
dc.relation.ispartof.es.fl_str_mv Serie Documentos de Trabajo / FCEA-IE; DT17/14
dc.rights.license.none.fl_str_mv Licencia Creative Commons Atribución – No Comercial – Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND)
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:COLIBRI
instname:Universidad de la República
instacron:Universidad de la República
dc.subject.es.fl_str_mv TIPO DE CAMBIO
EXCHANGE RATE
TOURISM
TURISMO
DEMANDA
DEMAND
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Determinants of argentinean tourism demand in Uruguay
dc.type.es.fl_str_mv Documento de trabajo
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper
dc.type.version.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
description In Uruguay total yearly tourists represent about 90% of its population of which historically 60% or more have come from Argentina. Tourist activities have a great impact on Uruguayan economy. They represent about 4% of Uruguayan GDP and generate near 6% of total employment and 14% of total exports. For this reason it is important to analyze the determinants behind tourism demand. In this paper we study the relationship between the number of Argentinean tourists in Uruguay, their real expenditure, Argentinean GDP and the real exchange rate (RER) between Uruguay and Argentina trying to find long-run relationships between variables, following Johansen methodology. We found two cointegration relationships, through Vector error correction models (VECM). In the first one we include real tourism expenditure, Argentinean GDP and the RER between Argentina and Uruguay. In the second one, we try to estimate the number of Argentinean tourists, using monthly dada of tourists, a monthly indicator of Argentinean activity and the RER between Uruguay and Argentina. The model\2019s forecast indicates a slight decrease of Argentinean tourism expenditure in 2014 and a recovering for 2015.
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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identifier_str_mv MORDECKI, G. "Determinants of argentinean tourism demand in Uruguay". Serie Documentos de Trabajo / FCEA-IE; DT17/14. UR.FCEA-IE, 2014.
1510-9305
1688-5090
instacron_str Universidad de la República
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instname_str Universidad de la República
language eng
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publishDate 2014
reponame_str COLIBRI
repository.mail.fl_str_mv mabel.seroubian@seciu.edu.uy
repository.name.fl_str_mv COLIBRI - Universidad de la República
repository_id_str 4771
rights_invalid_str_mv Licencia Creative Commons Atribución – No Comercial – Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND)
spelling URUGUAYARGENTINA2015-03-02T17:43:54Z2015-03-02T17:43:54Z201420150225MORDECKI, G. "Determinants of argentinean tourism demand in Uruguay". Serie Documentos de Trabajo / FCEA-IE; DT17/14. UR.FCEA-IE, 2014.1510-93051688-5090http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/4257In Uruguay total yearly tourists represent about 90% of its population of which historically 60% or more have come from Argentina. Tourist activities have a great impact on Uruguayan economy. They represent about 4% of Uruguayan GDP and generate near 6% of total employment and 14% of total exports. For this reason it is important to analyze the determinants behind tourism demand. In this paper we study the relationship between the number of Argentinean tourists in Uruguay, their real expenditure, Argentinean GDP and the real exchange rate (RER) between Uruguay and Argentina trying to find long-run relationships between variables, following Johansen methodology. We found two cointegration relationships, through Vector error correction models (VECM). In the first one we include real tourism expenditure, Argentinean GDP and the RER between Argentina and Uruguay. In the second one, we try to estimate the number of Argentinean tourists, using monthly dada of tourists, a monthly indicator of Argentinean activity and the RER between Uruguay and Argentina. The model\2019s forecast indicates a slight decrease of Argentinean tourism expenditure in 2014 and a recovering for 2015.Made available in DSpace on 2015-03-02T17:43:54Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 5 license.txt: 4244 bytes, checksum: 528b6a3c8c7d0c6e28129d576e989607 (MD5) license_text: 21936 bytes, checksum: 9833653f73f7853880c94a6fead477b1 (MD5) license_url: 49 bytes, checksum: 4afdbb8c545fd630ea7db775da747b2f (MD5) license_rdf: 23148 bytes, checksum: 9da0b6dfac957114c6a7714714b86306 (MD5) dt-17-14.pdf: 657224 bytes, checksum: e325c91cdde9a0ec73dc88b78242bcbe (MD5) Previous issue date: 2014engUR.FCEA-IESerie Documentos de Trabajo / FCEA-IE; DT17/14Las obras depositadas en el Repositorio se rigen por la Ordenanza de los Derechos de la Propiedad Intelectual de la Universidad De La República. (Res. Nº 91 de C.D.C. de 8/III/1994 – D.O. 7/IV/1994) y por la Ordenanza del Repositorio Abierto de la Universidad de la República (Res. 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- Universidad de la Repúblicafalse
spellingShingle Determinants of argentinean tourism demand in Uruguay
Mordecki, Gabriela
TIPO DE CAMBIO
EXCHANGE RATE
TOURISM
TURISMO
DEMANDA
DEMAND
status_str publishedVersion
title Determinants of argentinean tourism demand in Uruguay
title_full Determinants of argentinean tourism demand in Uruguay
title_fullStr Determinants of argentinean tourism demand in Uruguay
title_full_unstemmed Determinants of argentinean tourism demand in Uruguay
title_short Determinants of argentinean tourism demand in Uruguay
title_sort Determinants of argentinean tourism demand in Uruguay
topic TIPO DE CAMBIO
EXCHANGE RATE
TOURISM
TURISMO
DEMANDA
DEMAND
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/4257