An analysis of satellite-based Machine Learning models to estimate global solar irradiance at a horizontal plane.

Iturbide, Paula - Alonso-Suárez, Rodrigo - Ronchetti, Franco

Resumen:

Accurate solar resource information is a fundamental requirement for solar energy ventures. The lack of precision in solar radiation data can significantly affect the success of the projects. Argentina has solar radiation ground measurement networks. The information obtained through this method is limited due to its spatial sparsity, since it is only possible to measure with appropriate quality in some sites across the territory. To overcome this limitation, it is common to generate models capable of estimating solar radiation through satellite images, which provide spatial resolution. This work develops and validates an empirical model for this purpose based on Machine Learning (ML), demonstrating that it is a useful and accurate tool to be considered. This allows ventures that make use of this type of energy to have greater certainty in the availability of the resource, and therefore in the decision-making process. Variables obtained from images of the geostationary meteorological satellite GOES-16, McClear clear-sky model estimates, and geometrically calculated information are used as input to the algorithms. The results of the ML models are compared with estimates from pre-existing models for the region that incorporate physical modelings, such as Heliosat-4 and CIM-ESRA. The evaluation shows a higher performance of the ML methods when multi-scale satellite information is used as input. The incorporation of multi-scale satellite data is not yet implemented in solar radiation physical modeling, which is an advantage of ML modeling.

Detalles Bibliográficos
2023
Solar radiation
Machine learning
Satellite images
GOES-16
Inglés
Universidad de la República
COLIBRI
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/43628
Acceso abierto
Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0)
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author Iturbide, Paula
author2 Alonso-Suárez, Rodrigo
Ronchetti, Franco
author2_role author
author
author_facet Iturbide, Paula
Alonso-Suárez, Rodrigo
Ronchetti, Franco
author_role author
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dc.contributor.filiacion.none.fl_str_mv Iturbide Paula, Universidad Nacional de Luján (Argentina). Instituto de Ecología y Desarrollo Sustentable.
Alonso-Suárez Rodrigo, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ingeniería.
Ronchetti Franco, Universidad Nacional de La Plata (Argentina). Instituto de Investigación en Informática LIDI.Comisión de Investigaciones Científicas de la Provincia de Buenos Aires.
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Iturbide, Paula
Alonso-Suárez, Rodrigo
Ronchetti, Franco
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2024-04-24T17:41:56Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2024-04-24T17:41:56Z
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv 2023
dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv Accurate solar resource information is a fundamental requirement for solar energy ventures. The lack of precision in solar radiation data can significantly affect the success of the projects. Argentina has solar radiation ground measurement networks. The information obtained through this method is limited due to its spatial sparsity, since it is only possible to measure with appropriate quality in some sites across the territory. To overcome this limitation, it is common to generate models capable of estimating solar radiation through satellite images, which provide spatial resolution. This work develops and validates an empirical model for this purpose based on Machine Learning (ML), demonstrating that it is a useful and accurate tool to be considered. This allows ventures that make use of this type of energy to have greater certainty in the availability of the resource, and therefore in the decision-making process. Variables obtained from images of the geostationary meteorological satellite GOES-16, McClear clear-sky model estimates, and geometrically calculated information are used as input to the algorithms. The results of the ML models are compared with estimates from pre-existing models for the region that incorporate physical modelings, such as Heliosat-4 and CIM-ESRA. The evaluation shows a higher performance of the ML methods when multi-scale satellite information is used as input. The incorporation of multi-scale satellite data is not yet implemented in solar radiation physical modeling, which is an advantage of ML modeling.
dc.description.es.fl_txt_mv Publicado en Proceedings of the XI Conference on Cloud Computing, Big Data & Emerging Topics, La Plata, Argentina. Communications in Computer and Information Science, Vol. 1828, Springer, 2023.
dc.format.extent.es.fl_str_mv 10 p.
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dc.identifier.citation.es.fl_str_mv Iturbide, P., Alonso-Suárez, R. y Ronchetti, F. An analysis of satellite-based Machine Learning models to estimate global solar irradiance at a horizontal plane [Preprint]. Publicado en: Cloud Computing, Big Data & Emerging Topics. JCC-BD&ET 2023. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 1828. 10 p. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-40942-4_9.
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/43628
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv en
eng
dc.rights.license.none.fl_str_mv Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0)
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:COLIBRI
instname:Universidad de la República
instacron:Universidad de la República
dc.subject.es.fl_str_mv Solar radiation
Machine learning
Satellite images
GOES-16
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv An analysis of satellite-based Machine Learning models to estimate global solar irradiance at a horizontal plane.
dc.type.es.fl_str_mv Preprint
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/preprint
dc.type.version.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/submittedVersion
description Publicado en Proceedings of the XI Conference on Cloud Computing, Big Data & Emerging Topics, La Plata, Argentina. Communications in Computer and Information Science, Vol. 1828, Springer, 2023.
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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identifier_str_mv Iturbide, P., Alonso-Suárez, R. y Ronchetti, F. An analysis of satellite-based Machine Learning models to estimate global solar irradiance at a horizontal plane [Preprint]. Publicado en: Cloud Computing, Big Data & Emerging Topics. JCC-BD&ET 2023. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 1828. 10 p. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-40942-4_9.
instacron_str Universidad de la República
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publishDate 2023
reponame_str COLIBRI
repository.mail.fl_str_mv karina.camps@seciu.edu.uy
repository.name.fl_str_mv COLIBRI - Universidad de la República
repository_id_str 4771
rights_invalid_str_mv Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0)
spelling Iturbide Paula, Universidad Nacional de Luján (Argentina). Instituto de Ecología y Desarrollo Sustentable.Alonso-Suárez Rodrigo, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ingeniería.Ronchetti Franco, Universidad Nacional de La Plata (Argentina). Instituto de Investigación en Informática LIDI.Comisión de Investigaciones Científicas de la Provincia de Buenos Aires.2024-04-24T17:41:56Z2024-04-24T17:41:56Z2023Iturbide, P., Alonso-Suárez, R. y Ronchetti, F. An analysis of satellite-based Machine Learning models to estimate global solar irradiance at a horizontal plane [Preprint]. Publicado en: Cloud Computing, Big Data & Emerging Topics. JCC-BD&ET 2023. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 1828. 10 p. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-40942-4_9.https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/43628Publicado en Proceedings of the XI Conference on Cloud Computing, Big Data & Emerging Topics, La Plata, Argentina. Communications in Computer and Information Science, Vol. 1828, Springer, 2023.Accurate solar resource information is a fundamental requirement for solar energy ventures. The lack of precision in solar radiation data can significantly affect the success of the projects. Argentina has solar radiation ground measurement networks. The information obtained through this method is limited due to its spatial sparsity, since it is only possible to measure with appropriate quality in some sites across the territory. To overcome this limitation, it is common to generate models capable of estimating solar radiation through satellite images, which provide spatial resolution. This work develops and validates an empirical model for this purpose based on Machine Learning (ML), demonstrating that it is a useful and accurate tool to be considered. This allows ventures that make use of this type of energy to have greater certainty in the availability of the resource, and therefore in the decision-making process. Variables obtained from images of the geostationary meteorological satellite GOES-16, McClear clear-sky model estimates, and geometrically calculated information are used as input to the algorithms. The results of the ML models are compared with estimates from pre-existing models for the region that incorporate physical modelings, such as Heliosat-4 and CIM-ESRA. The evaluation shows a higher performance of the ML methods when multi-scale satellite information is used as input. The incorporation of multi-scale satellite data is not yet implemented in solar radiation physical modeling, which is an advantage of ML modeling.Submitted by Berón Cecilia (cberon@fing.edu.uy) on 2024-04-19T17:49:10Z No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 25790 bytes, checksum: 489f03e71d39068f329bdec8798bce58 (MD5) IAR23.pdf: 1034735 bytes, checksum: 0cea178ad2b0a72645dee42936a071a0 (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Machado Jimena (jmachado@fing.edu.uy) on 2024-04-24T14:30:36Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 25790 bytes, checksum: 489f03e71d39068f329bdec8798bce58 (MD5) IAR23.pdf: 1034735 bytes, checksum: 0cea178ad2b0a72645dee42936a071a0 (MD5)Made available in DSpace by Luna Fabiana (fabiana.luna@seciu.edu.uy) on 2024-04-24T17:41:56Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 25790 bytes, checksum: 489f03e71d39068f329bdec8798bce58 (MD5) IAR23.pdf: 1034735 bytes, checksum: 0cea178ad2b0a72645dee42936a071a0 (MD5) Previous issue date: 202310 p.application/pdfenengLas obras depositadas en el Repositorio se rigen por la Ordenanza de los Derechos de la Propiedad Intelectual de la Universidad de la República.(Res. Nº 91 de C.D.C. de 8/III/1994 – D.O. 7/IV/1994) y por la Ordenanza del Repositorio Abierto de la Universidad de la República (Res. 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públicahttps://udelar.edu.uy/https://www.colibri.udelar.edu.uy/oai/requestkarina.camps@seciu.edu.uyUruguayopendoar:47712024-05-09T19:40:02COLIBRI - Universidad de la Repúblicafalse
spellingShingle An analysis of satellite-based Machine Learning models to estimate global solar irradiance at a horizontal plane.
Iturbide, Paula
Solar radiation
Machine learning
Satellite images
GOES-16
status_str submittedVersion
title An analysis of satellite-based Machine Learning models to estimate global solar irradiance at a horizontal plane.
title_full An analysis of satellite-based Machine Learning models to estimate global solar irradiance at a horizontal plane.
title_fullStr An analysis of satellite-based Machine Learning models to estimate global solar irradiance at a horizontal plane.
title_full_unstemmed An analysis of satellite-based Machine Learning models to estimate global solar irradiance at a horizontal plane.
title_short An analysis of satellite-based Machine Learning models to estimate global solar irradiance at a horizontal plane.
title_sort An analysis of satellite-based Machine Learning models to estimate global solar irradiance at a horizontal plane.
topic Solar radiation
Machine learning
Satellite images
GOES-16
url https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/43628