Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs
Resumen:
Hydrothermal systems optimal operation includes a step of optimizing the resources that are valued system storable. This optimization is performed traditionally by a stochastic dynamic programming in which the objective function to minimize is the expected value of future cost of operation, also known as Bellman function. While in theory, minimize the expected value of future cost of operation is “objective” in practice there are many reasons why the actual operation includes additional precautions, sometimes actually taken by operators who are the ones which have responsibility for the consequences of the operation or sometimes made based on safety considerations were not introduced in the optimization of the operation. This work shows the implementation on the platform Simulation of Electric Power Systems of stochastic dynamic programming algorithm for specifying the objective function cost reduction future with a certain probability of exceedance. This work was performed as part of the draft platform enhancements SimSEE with funding from the Energy Sector ANII. The paper presents the results of the operation to minimize the expected value of future cost and minimizing the risk value of 5% of being exceeded. Both operations are compared both costs achieved as in the qualitative aspects. The results allow evaluating the cost of being introduced by risk averse and also identify situations where there are major differences. It also discusses the impact on the marginal cost of system operation with a slogan risk averse. This value is relevant because it is the basis for calculating the Uruguayan market spot price. These scenarios correspond to the operation in 2017 with high penetration of wind energy in the system.
2012 | |
Inglés | |
Universidad de la República | |
COLIBRI | |
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/41163 | |
Acceso abierto | |
Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
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---|---|
author | Larrosa, Daniel |
author2 | Coppes, Enzo Casaravilla, Gonzalo Chaer, Ruben |
author2_role | author author author |
author_facet | Larrosa, Daniel Coppes, Enzo Casaravilla, Gonzalo Chaer, Ruben |
author_role | author |
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collection | COLIBRI |
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Larrosa, Daniel Coppes, Enzo Casaravilla, Gonzalo Chaer, Ruben |
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv | 2023-11-14T17:04:36Z |
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv | 2023-11-14T17:04:36Z |
dc.date.issued.es.fl_str_mv | 2012 |
dc.date.submitted.es.fl_str_mv | 20231114 |
dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv | Hydrothermal systems optimal operation includes a step of optimizing the resources that are valued system storable. This optimization is performed traditionally by a stochastic dynamic programming in which the objective function to minimize is the expected value of future cost of operation, also known as Bellman function. While in theory, minimize the expected value of future cost of operation is “objective” in practice there are many reasons why the actual operation includes additional precautions, sometimes actually taken by operators who are the ones which have responsibility for the consequences of the operation or sometimes made based on safety considerations were not introduced in the optimization of the operation. This work shows the implementation on the platform Simulation of Electric Power Systems of stochastic dynamic programming algorithm for specifying the objective function cost reduction future with a certain probability of exceedance. This work was performed as part of the draft platform enhancements SimSEE with funding from the Energy Sector ANII. The paper presents the results of the operation to minimize the expected value of future cost and minimizing the risk value of 5% of being exceeded. Both operations are compared both costs achieved as in the qualitative aspects. The results allow evaluating the cost of being introduced by risk averse and also identify situations where there are major differences. It also discusses the impact on the marginal cost of system operation with a slogan risk averse. This value is relevant because it is the basis for calculating the Uruguayan market spot price. These scenarios correspond to the operation in 2017 with high penetration of wind energy in the system. |
dc.description.es.fl_txt_mv | Trabajo presentado a Sixth IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution: Latin America Conference and Exposition (T D-LA), 2012 |
dc.identifier.citation.es.fl_str_mv | Larrosa, D, Coppes, E, Casaravilla, G, Chaer, R. "Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs," Publicado en Sixth IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution: Latin America Conference and Exposition (T D-LA), Montevideo, Uruguay, 2012, pp. 1-6, doi: 10.1109/TDC-LA.2012.6319144. |
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/41163 |
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv | en eng |
dc.publisher.es.fl_str_mv | Power Engineering Society and IEEE Uruguay Section |
dc.rights.license.none.fl_str_mv | Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv | reponame:COLIBRI instname:Universidad de la República instacron:Universidad de la República |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs |
dc.type.es.fl_str_mv | Ponencia |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject |
dc.type.version.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
description | Trabajo presentado a Sixth IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution: Latin America Conference and Exposition (T |
eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
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identifier_str_mv | Larrosa, D, Coppes, E, Casaravilla, G, Chaer, R. "Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs," Publicado en Sixth IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution: Latin America Conference and Exposition (T D-LA), Montevideo, Uruguay, 2012, pp. 1-6, doi: 10.1109/TDC-LA.2012.6319144. |
instacron_str | Universidad de la República |
institution | Universidad de la República |
instname_str | Universidad de la República |
language | eng |
language_invalid_str_mv | en |
network_acronym_str | COLIBRI |
network_name_str | COLIBRI |
oai_identifier_str | oai:colibri.udelar.edu.uy:20.500.12008/41163 |
publishDate | 2012 |
reponame_str | COLIBRI |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv | mabel.seroubian@seciu.edu.uy |
repository.name.fl_str_mv | COLIBRI - Universidad de la República |
repository_id_str | 4771 |
rights_invalid_str_mv | Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
spelling | 2023-11-14T17:04:36Z2023-11-14T17:04:36Z201220231114Larrosa, D, Coppes, E, Casaravilla, G, Chaer, R. "Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs," Publicado en Sixth IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution: Latin America Conference and Exposition (TD-LA), Montevideo, Uruguay, 2012, pp. 1-6, doi: 10.1109/TDC-LA.2012.6319144.https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/41163Trabajo presentado a Sixth IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution: Latin America Conference and Exposition (TD-LA), 2012Hydrothermal systems optimal operation includes a step of optimizing the resources that are valued system storable. This optimization is performed traditionally by a stochastic dynamic programming in which the objective function to minimize is the expected value of future cost of operation, also known as Bellman function. While in theory, minimize the expected value of future cost of operation is “objective” in practice there are many reasons why the actual operation includes additional precautions, sometimes actually taken by operators who are the ones which have responsibility for the consequences of the operation or sometimes made based on safety considerations were not introduced in the optimization of the operation. This work shows the implementation on the platform Simulation of Electric Power Systems of stochastic dynamic programming algorithm for specifying the objective function cost reduction future with a certain probability of exceedance. This work was performed as part of the draft platform enhancements SimSEE with funding from the Energy Sector ANII. The paper presents the results of the operation to minimize the expected value of future cost and minimizing the risk value of 5% of being exceeded. Both operations are compared both costs achieved as in the qualitative aspects. The results allow evaluating the cost of being introduced by risk averse and also identify situations where there are major differences. It also discusses the impact on the marginal cost of system operation with a slogan risk averse. This value is relevant because it is the basis for calculating the Uruguayan market spot price. These scenarios correspond to the operation in 2017 with high penetration of wind energy in the system.Made available in DSpace on 2023-11-14T17:04:36Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 5 LCCC12.pdf: 438236 bytes, checksum: 240dc5741c992e8ecaa1970691842ac0 (MD5) license_text: 21936 bytes, checksum: 9833653f73f7853880c94a6fead477b1 (MD5) license_url: 49 bytes, checksum: 4afdbb8c545fd630ea7db775da747b2f (MD5) license_rdf: 23148 bytes, checksum: 9da0b6dfac957114c6a7714714b86306 (MD5) license.txt: 4194 bytes, checksum: 7f2e2c17ef6585de66da58d1bfa8b5e1 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2012enengPower Engineering Society and IEEE Uruguay SectionLas obras depositadas en el Repositorio se rigen por la Ordenanza de los Derechos de la Propiedad Intelectual de la Universidad De La República. (Res. Nº 91 de C.D.C. de 8/III/1994 – D.O. 7/IV/1994) y por la Ordenanza del Repositorio Abierto de la Universidad de la República (Res. 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- Universidad de la Repúblicafalse |
spellingShingle | Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs Larrosa, Daniel |
status_str | publishedVersion |
title | Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs |
title_full | Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs |
title_fullStr | Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs |
title_full_unstemmed | Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs |
title_short | Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs |
title_sort | Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs |
url | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/41163 |