Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs

Larrosa, Daniel - Coppes, Enzo - Casaravilla, Gonzalo - Chaer, Ruben

Resumen:

Hydrothermal systems optimal operation includes a step of optimizing the resources that are valued system storable. This optimization is performed traditionally by a stochastic dynamic programming in which the objective function to minimize is the expected value of future cost of operation, also known as Bellman function. While in theory, minimize the expected value of future cost of operation is “objective” in practice there are many reasons why the actual operation includes additional precautions, sometimes actually taken by operators who are the ones which have responsibility for the consequences of the operation or sometimes made based on safety considerations were not introduced in the optimization of the operation. This work shows the implementation on the platform Simulation of Electric Power Systems of stochastic dynamic programming algorithm for specifying the objective function cost reduction future with a certain probability of exceedance. This work was performed as part of the draft platform enhancements SimSEE with funding from the Energy Sector ANII. The paper presents the results of the operation to minimize the expected value of future cost and minimizing the risk value of 5% of being exceeded. Both operations are compared both costs achieved as in the qualitative aspects. The results allow evaluating the cost of being introduced by risk averse and also identify situations where there are major differences. It also discusses the impact on the marginal cost of system operation with a slogan risk averse. This value is relevant because it is the basis for calculating the Uruguayan market spot price. These scenarios correspond to the operation in 2017 with high penetration of wind energy in the system.


Detalles Bibliográficos
2012
Inglés
Universidad de la República
COLIBRI
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/41163
Acceso abierto
Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0)
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author Larrosa, Daniel
author2 Coppes, Enzo
Casaravilla, Gonzalo
Chaer, Ruben
author2_role author
author
author
author_facet Larrosa, Daniel
Coppes, Enzo
Casaravilla, Gonzalo
Chaer, Ruben
author_role author
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collection COLIBRI
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Larrosa, Daniel
Coppes, Enzo
Casaravilla, Gonzalo
Chaer, Ruben
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2023-11-14T17:04:36Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2023-11-14T17:04:36Z
dc.date.issued.es.fl_str_mv 2012
dc.date.submitted.es.fl_str_mv 20231114
dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv Hydrothermal systems optimal operation includes a step of optimizing the resources that are valued system storable. This optimization is performed traditionally by a stochastic dynamic programming in which the objective function to minimize is the expected value of future cost of operation, also known as Bellman function. While in theory, minimize the expected value of future cost of operation is “objective” in practice there are many reasons why the actual operation includes additional precautions, sometimes actually taken by operators who are the ones which have responsibility for the consequences of the operation or sometimes made based on safety considerations were not introduced in the optimization of the operation. This work shows the implementation on the platform Simulation of Electric Power Systems of stochastic dynamic programming algorithm for specifying the objective function cost reduction future with a certain probability of exceedance. This work was performed as part of the draft platform enhancements SimSEE with funding from the Energy Sector ANII. The paper presents the results of the operation to minimize the expected value of future cost and minimizing the risk value of 5% of being exceeded. Both operations are compared both costs achieved as in the qualitative aspects. The results allow evaluating the cost of being introduced by risk averse and also identify situations where there are major differences. It also discusses the impact on the marginal cost of system operation with a slogan risk averse. This value is relevant because it is the basis for calculating the Uruguayan market spot price. These scenarios correspond to the operation in 2017 with high penetration of wind energy in the system.
dc.description.es.fl_txt_mv Trabajo presentado a Sixth IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution: Latin America Conference and Exposition (T
D-LA), 2012
dc.identifier.citation.es.fl_str_mv Larrosa, D, Coppes, E, Casaravilla, G, Chaer, R. "Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs," Publicado en Sixth IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution: Latin America Conference and Exposition (T
D-LA), Montevideo, Uruguay, 2012, pp. 1-6, doi: 10.1109/TDC-LA.2012.6319144.
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/41163
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv en
eng
dc.publisher.es.fl_str_mv Power Engineering Society and IEEE Uruguay Section
dc.rights.license.none.fl_str_mv Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0)
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:COLIBRI
instname:Universidad de la República
instacron:Universidad de la República
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs
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identifier_str_mv Larrosa, D, Coppes, E, Casaravilla, G, Chaer, R. "Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs," Publicado en Sixth IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution: Latin America Conference and Exposition (T
D-LA), Montevideo, Uruguay, 2012, pp. 1-6, doi: 10.1109/TDC-LA.2012.6319144.
instacron_str Universidad de la República
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publishDate 2012
reponame_str COLIBRI
repository.mail.fl_str_mv mabel.seroubian@seciu.edu.uy
repository.name.fl_str_mv COLIBRI - Universidad de la República
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rights_invalid_str_mv Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0)
spelling 2023-11-14T17:04:36Z2023-11-14T17:04:36Z201220231114Larrosa, D, Coppes, E, Casaravilla, G, Chaer, R. "Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs," Publicado en Sixth IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution: Latin America Conference and Exposition (TD-LA), Montevideo, Uruguay, 2012, pp. 1-6, doi: 10.1109/TDC-LA.2012.6319144.https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/41163Trabajo presentado a Sixth IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution: Latin America Conference and Exposition (TD-LA), 2012Hydrothermal systems optimal operation includes a step of optimizing the resources that are valued system storable. This optimization is performed traditionally by a stochastic dynamic programming in which the objective function to minimize is the expected value of future cost of operation, also known as Bellman function. While in theory, minimize the expected value of future cost of operation is “objective” in practice there are many reasons why the actual operation includes additional precautions, sometimes actually taken by operators who are the ones which have responsibility for the consequences of the operation or sometimes made based on safety considerations were not introduced in the optimization of the operation. This work shows the implementation on the platform Simulation of Electric Power Systems of stochastic dynamic programming algorithm for specifying the objective function cost reduction future with a certain probability of exceedance. This work was performed as part of the draft platform enhancements SimSEE with funding from the Energy Sector ANII. The paper presents the results of the operation to minimize the expected value of future cost and minimizing the risk value of 5% of being exceeded. Both operations are compared both costs achieved as in the qualitative aspects. The results allow evaluating the cost of being introduced by risk averse and also identify situations where there are major differences. It also discusses the impact on the marginal cost of system operation with a slogan risk averse. This value is relevant because it is the basis for calculating the Uruguayan market spot price. These scenarios correspond to the operation in 2017 with high penetration of wind energy in the system.Made available in DSpace on 2023-11-14T17:04:36Z (GMT). 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- Universidad de la Repúblicafalse
spellingShingle Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs
Larrosa, Daniel
status_str publishedVersion
title Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs
title_full Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs
title_fullStr Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs
title_full_unstemmed Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs
title_short Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs
title_sort Differences between the operations of the generation power system of Uruguay operated minimizing the expected value vs. minimizing the value at risk of the future operating costs
url https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/41163