Do dictatorships affect people's long term beliefs and preferences? An empirical assessment of the Latin American case

Brum, Matías

Resumen:

Does the political regime experienced during youth have long lasting e ects on political beliefs and preferences? I exploit time and country variation in political regimes in Latin America using data from the 1995 to 2010 Latinobarometer and nd that exposure to non-democratic regimes during youth reduces subsequent preference for democracy, satisfaction with democracy and con dence in institutions. These results suggest exposure to dictatorships during formative years permanently eroded democratic values. Exposure to non-democratic regimes also a ects self-location in an ideol- ogy scale, reducing identi cation with the Right and increasing identi cation with the Left; which suggests dictatorships also shaped the political orientation of voters.


¿El régimen político experimentado durante la juventud, tiene efectos de largo plazo en las preferencias políticas? Explotando variación en el tiempo y entre países en los regímenes políticos en América Latina y con base en el latinobarómetro de 1995 a 2010, encuentro que la exposición a regímenes no democráticos durante la juventud reduce la preferencia subsecuente por la democracia, la satisfacción con la democracia, y la confianza en las instituciones. Estos resultados sugieren que la exposición a dictaduras durante los años formativos de las personas, erosionaron permanentemente sus valores democráticos. La exposición también afecta la auto ubicación en una escala ideológica, reduciendo la identificación con la Derecha e incrementándola con la Izquierda, lo que sugiere que las dictaduras también afectaron la orientación política de los votantes.


Detalles Bibliográficos
2018
Dictatorships
Preference formation
Latin America
JOVENES
DICTADURA
PREFERENCIAS POLITICAS
Inglés
Universidad de la República
COLIBRI
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/20427
Acceso abierto
Resumen:
Sumario:Does the political regime experienced during youth have long lasting e ects on political beliefs and preferences? I exploit time and country variation in political regimes in Latin America using data from the 1995 to 2010 Latinobarometer and nd that exposure to non-democratic regimes during youth reduces subsequent preference for democracy, satisfaction with democracy and con dence in institutions. These results suggest exposure to dictatorships during formative years permanently eroded democratic values. Exposure to non-democratic regimes also a ects self-location in an ideol- ogy scale, reducing identi cation with the Right and increasing identi cation with the Left; which suggests dictatorships also shaped the political orientation of voters.