Exports and real exchange rates in a small open economy

Brunini, Alvaro - Mordecki, Gabriela - Ramírez, Lucía

Resumen:

This paper analyzes the relationship between exports and real exchange rate (RER) of six Uruguayan export products: beef, leather, dairy, chemical, metallurgical and plastics, selected for their importance in total exports during 1993-2011. We considered the sectoral RER and used the Johansen cointegration methodology to adjust the models. No evidence was found of a long-term relationship between sectoral exports and its sectoral RER. However, we found a long-term relationship between beef exports and cattle slaughter, which shows the high supply dependence of these exports, with an elasticity of 2.7. We also found a long-term relationship between dairy exports and the international price of skim milk, with a price-elasticity close to one. For metallurgical industry exports, the results show a long-term relationship with Argentinean GDP - main destination of those sales - with an income-elasticity of 1.7. In the case of the chemical industry, we found and elasticity near to one in relation to chemical imports, due to the fact that Uruguay must import the raw material for this industry. Finally, for plastic exports we found a cointegration vector with plastic imports and the sectoral RER, showing the importance of relative prices between exports and imports, and not only for exports.


Detalles Bibliográficos
2013
EXPORTACIONES
EXPORTS
TIPO DE CAMBIO
EXCHANGE RATE
Inglés
Universidad de la República
COLIBRI
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/4230
Acceso abierto
Licencia Creative Commons Atribución – No Comercial – Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND)
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author Brunini, Alvaro
author2 Mordecki, Gabriela
Ramírez, Lucía
author2_role author
author
author_facet Brunini, Alvaro
Mordecki, Gabriela
Ramírez, Lucía
author_role author
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collection COLIBRI
dc.coverage.spatial.es.fl_str_mv URUGUAY
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Brunini, Alvaro
Mordecki, Gabriela
Ramírez, Lucía
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2015-03-02T17:43:36Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2015-03-02T17:43:36Z
dc.date.issued.es.fl_str_mv 2013
dc.date.submitted.es.fl_str_mv 20150225
dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv This paper analyzes the relationship between exports and real exchange rate (RER) of six Uruguayan export products: beef, leather, dairy, chemical, metallurgical and plastics, selected for their importance in total exports during 1993-2011. We considered the sectoral RER and used the Johansen cointegration methodology to adjust the models. No evidence was found of a long-term relationship between sectoral exports and its sectoral RER. However, we found a long-term relationship between beef exports and cattle slaughter, which shows the high supply dependence of these exports, with an elasticity of 2.7. We also found a long-term relationship between dairy exports and the international price of skim milk, with a price-elasticity close to one. For metallurgical industry exports, the results show a long-term relationship with Argentinean GDP - main destination of those sales - with an income-elasticity of 1.7. In the case of the chemical industry, we found and elasticity near to one in relation to chemical imports, due to the fact that Uruguay must import the raw material for this industry. Finally, for plastic exports we found a cointegration vector with plastic imports and the sectoral RER, showing the importance of relative prices between exports and imports, and not only for exports.
dc.identifier.citation.es.fl_str_mv BRUNINI, A., MORDECKI, G., RAMÍREZ, L. "Exports and real exchange rates in a small open economy". Serie Documentos de Trabajo / FCEA-IE; DT15/13. UR.FCEA-IE, 2013.
dc.identifier.issn.es.fl_str_mv 1510-9305
1688-5090
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/4230
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv eng
dc.publisher.es.fl_str_mv UR.FCEA-IE
dc.relation.ispartof.es.fl_str_mv Serie Documentos de Trabajo / FCEA-IE; DT15/13
dc.rights.license.none.fl_str_mv Licencia Creative Commons Atribución – No Comercial – Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND)
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:COLIBRI
instname:Universidad de la República
instacron:Universidad de la República
dc.subject.es.fl_str_mv EXPORTACIONES
EXPORTS
TIPO DE CAMBIO
EXCHANGE RATE
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Exports and real exchange rates in a small open economy
dc.type.es.fl_str_mv Documento de trabajo
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper
dc.type.version.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
description This paper analyzes the relationship between exports and real exchange rate (RER) of six Uruguayan export products: beef, leather, dairy, chemical, metallurgical and plastics, selected for their importance in total exports during 1993-2011. We considered the sectoral RER and used the Johansen cointegration methodology to adjust the models. No evidence was found of a long-term relationship between sectoral exports and its sectoral RER. However, we found a long-term relationship between beef exports and cattle slaughter, which shows the high supply dependence of these exports, with an elasticity of 2.7. We also found a long-term relationship between dairy exports and the international price of skim milk, with a price-elasticity close to one. For metallurgical industry exports, the results show a long-term relationship with Argentinean GDP - main destination of those sales - with an income-elasticity of 1.7. In the case of the chemical industry, we found and elasticity near to one in relation to chemical imports, due to the fact that Uruguay must import the raw material for this industry. Finally, for plastic exports we found a cointegration vector with plastic imports and the sectoral RER, showing the importance of relative prices between exports and imports, and not only for exports.
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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identifier_str_mv BRUNINI, A., MORDECKI, G., RAMÍREZ, L. "Exports and real exchange rates in a small open economy". Serie Documentos de Trabajo / FCEA-IE; DT15/13. UR.FCEA-IE, 2013.
1510-9305
1688-5090
instacron_str Universidad de la República
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language eng
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publishDate 2013
reponame_str COLIBRI
repository.mail.fl_str_mv mabel.seroubian@seciu.edu.uy
repository.name.fl_str_mv COLIBRI - Universidad de la República
repository_id_str 4771
rights_invalid_str_mv Licencia Creative Commons Atribución – No Comercial – Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND)
spelling URUGUAY2015-03-02T17:43:36Z2015-03-02T17:43:36Z201320150225BRUNINI, A., MORDECKI, G., RAMÍREZ, L. "Exports and real exchange rates in a small open economy". Serie Documentos de Trabajo / FCEA-IE; DT15/13. UR.FCEA-IE, 2013.1510-93051688-5090http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/4230This paper analyzes the relationship between exports and real exchange rate (RER) of six Uruguayan export products: beef, leather, dairy, chemical, metallurgical and plastics, selected for their importance in total exports during 1993-2011. We considered the sectoral RER and used the Johansen cointegration methodology to adjust the models. No evidence was found of a long-term relationship between sectoral exports and its sectoral RER. However, we found a long-term relationship between beef exports and cattle slaughter, which shows the high supply dependence of these exports, with an elasticity of 2.7. We also found a long-term relationship between dairy exports and the international price of skim milk, with a price-elasticity close to one. For metallurgical industry exports, the results show a long-term relationship with Argentinean GDP - main destination of those sales - with an income-elasticity of 1.7. In the case of the chemical industry, we found and elasticity near to one in relation to chemical imports, due to the fact that Uruguay must import the raw material for this industry. Finally, for plastic exports we found a cointegration vector with plastic imports and the sectoral RER, showing the importance of relative prices between exports and imports, and not only for exports.Made available in DSpace on 2015-03-02T17:43:36Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 5 license.txt: 4244 bytes, checksum: 528b6a3c8c7d0c6e28129d576e989607 (MD5) license_text: 21936 bytes, checksum: 9833653f73f7853880c94a6fead477b1 (MD5) license_url: 49 bytes, checksum: 4afdbb8c545fd630ea7db775da747b2f (MD5) license_rdf: 23148 bytes, checksum: 9da0b6dfac957114c6a7714714b86306 (MD5) dt-15-13.pdf: 639086 bytes, checksum: 2704903648120c64926ef66a420ff5f3 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2013engUR.FCEA-IESerie Documentos de Trabajo / FCEA-IE; DT15/13Las obras depositadas en el Repositorio se rigen por la Ordenanza de los Derechos de la Propiedad Intelectual de la Universidad De La República. (Res. Nº 91 de C.D.C. de 8/III/1994 – D.O. 7/IV/1994) y por la Ordenanza del Repositorio Abierto de la Universidad de la República (Res. 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- Universidad de la Repúblicafalse
spellingShingle Exports and real exchange rates in a small open economy
Brunini, Alvaro
EXPORTACIONES
EXPORTS
TIPO DE CAMBIO
EXCHANGE RATE
status_str publishedVersion
title Exports and real exchange rates in a small open economy
title_full Exports and real exchange rates in a small open economy
title_fullStr Exports and real exchange rates in a small open economy
title_full_unstemmed Exports and real exchange rates in a small open economy
title_short Exports and real exchange rates in a small open economy
title_sort Exports and real exchange rates in a small open economy
topic EXPORTACIONES
EXPORTS
TIPO DE CAMBIO
EXCHANGE RATE
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/4230