Defying electoral governance: distrust and protests in Latin America
Confrontando la gobernanza electoral: desconfianza y protestas en América Latina
Confrontando a Governança Eleitoral: Desconfiança e Protestos na América Latina
Resumen:
When do political parties reject electoral results? Even decades after the democratic transition, post-electoral conflicts and protests are still common in many Latin American countries. This article argues that trust in electoral management can predict political competitorsʼ choices between two alternative strategies: defiance or compliance. The present work uses a medium-N research design and a multilevel model to analyze elections in 18 Latin American countries since redemocratization and finds support for the argument that ceteris paribus, distrust in the fairness of elections predicts the defiant reactions of political competitors.
¿Cuándo rechazan los partidos políticos los resultados electorales? Incluso décadas después de la transición democrática, los conflictos y protestas postelectorales siguen siendo comunes en muchos países latinoamericanos. Este artículo sostiene que la confianza en la gestión electoral puede predecir las decisiones de los competidores políticos entre dos estrategias alternativas: desafío o cumplimiento. El presente trabajo utiliza un diseño de investigación de N medio y un modelo multinivel para analizar las elecciones en 18 países latinoamericanos desde la redemocratización y encuentra apoyo al argumento de que ceteris paribus, la desconfianza en la imparcialidad de las elecciones predice las reacciones desafiantes de los competidores políticos.
Quando os partidos políticos rejeitam os resultados eleitorais? Mesmo décadas após a transição democrática, protestos pós-eleitorais ainda são comuns em muitos países latino-americanos. Este artigo argumenta que a confiança na gestão eleitoral pode predizer a escolha dos competidores entre duas estratégias alternativas em relação ao resultado: contestar ou acatar. O presente trabalho utiliza um desenho de pesquisa de N médio e um modelo multinível para analisar eleições em 18 países latino-americanos desde a redemocratização e encontra apoio para o argumento de que ceteris paribus, a desconfiança na lisura das eleições prediz a rejeição dos resultados pelos competidores.
| 2024 | |
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Protests Electoral governance Political parties Election management Elections Protestas Gobernanza electoral Partidos políticos Gestión electoral Elecciones Protestos Governança eleitoral Partidos políticos Gestão eleitoral Eleições |
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| Inglés | |
| Universidad de la República | |
| COLIBRI | |
| https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/47235 | |
| Acceso abierto | |
| Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
| _version_ | 1877555080686731264 |
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| author | Tarouco, Gabriela |
| author_facet | Tarouco, Gabriela |
| author_role | author |
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| collection | COLIBRI |
| dc.contributor.filiacion.none.fl_str_mv | Tarouco Gabriela, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (Brasil) |
| dc.coverage.spatial.es.fl_str_mv | América Latina |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Tarouco, Gabriela |
| dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv | 2024-11-27T16:49:43Z |
| dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv | 2024-11-27T16:49:43Z |
| dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv | 2024 |
| dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv | When do political parties reject electoral results? Even decades after the democratic transition, post-electoral conflicts and protests are still common in many Latin American countries. This article argues that trust in electoral management can predict political competitorsʼ choices between two alternative strategies: defiance or compliance. The present work uses a medium-N research design and a multilevel model to analyze elections in 18 Latin American countries since redemocratization and finds support for the argument that ceteris paribus, distrust in the fairness of elections predicts the defiant reactions of political competitors. ¿Cuándo rechazan los partidos políticos los resultados electorales? Incluso décadas después de la transición democrática, los conflictos y protestas postelectorales siguen siendo comunes en muchos países latinoamericanos. Este artículo sostiene que la confianza en la gestión electoral puede predecir las decisiones de los competidores políticos entre dos estrategias alternativas: desafío o cumplimiento. El presente trabajo utiliza un diseño de investigación de N medio y un modelo multinivel para analizar las elecciones en 18 países latinoamericanos desde la redemocratización y encuentra apoyo al argumento de que ceteris paribus, la desconfianza en la imparcialidad de las elecciones predice las reacciones desafiantes de los competidores políticos. Quando os partidos políticos rejeitam os resultados eleitorais? Mesmo décadas após a transição democrática, protestos pós-eleitorais ainda são comuns em muitos países latino-americanos. Este artigo argumenta que a confiança na gestão eleitoral pode predizer a escolha dos competidores entre duas estratégias alternativas em relação ao resultado: contestar ou acatar. O presente trabalho utiliza um desenho de pesquisa de N médio e um modelo multinível para analisar eleições em 18 países latino-americanos desde a redemocratização e encontra apoio para o argumento de que ceteris paribus, a desconfiança na lisura das eleições prediz a rejeição dos resultados pelos competidores. |
| dc.format.mimetype.es.fl_str_mv | application/pdf |
| dc.identifier.citation.es.fl_str_mv | Tarouco, G. "Defying electoral governance: distrust and protests in Latin America". Revista uruguaya de Ciencia Política [en línea] 2024, v. 33, e608. |
| dc.identifier.eissn.none.fl_str_mv | 1688-499X |
| dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/47235 |
| dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv | en eng |
| dc.publisher.es.fl_str_mv | Udelar. FCS-ICP |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv | Revista uruguaya de Ciencia Política, v. 33, e608 |
| dc.rights.license.none.fl_str_mv | Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
| dc.source.none.fl_str_mv | reponame:COLIBRI instname:Universidad de la República instacron:Universidad de la República |
| dc.subject.es.fl_str_mv | Protests Electoral governance Political parties Election management Elections Protestas Gobernanza electoral Partidos políticos Gestión electoral Elecciones Protestos Governança eleitoral Partidos políticos Gestão eleitoral Eleições |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | Defying electoral governance: distrust and protests in Latin America Confrontando la gobernanza electoral: desconfianza y protestas en América Latina Confrontando a Governança Eleitoral: Desconfiança e Protestos na América Latina |
| dc.type.es.fl_str_mv | Artículo |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
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| description | When do political parties reject electoral results? Even decades after the democratic transition, post-electoral conflicts and protests are still common in many Latin American countries. This article argues that trust in electoral management can predict political competitorsʼ choices between two alternative strategies: defiance or compliance. The present work uses a medium-N research design and a multilevel model to analyze elections in 18 Latin American countries since redemocratization and finds support for the argument that ceteris paribus, distrust in the fairness of elections predicts the defiant reactions of political competitors. |
| eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
| format | article |
| id | COLIBRI_93c335b360efb2a6f89af214409dcd45 |
| identifier_str_mv | Tarouco, G. "Defying electoral governance: distrust and protests in Latin America". Revista uruguaya de Ciencia Política [en línea] 2024, v. 33, e608. 1688-499X |
| instacron_str | Universidad de la República |
| institution | Universidad de la República |
| instname_str | Universidad de la República |
| language | eng |
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| repository.mail.fl_str_mv | karina.camps@seciu.edu.uy |
| repository.name.fl_str_mv | COLIBRI - Universidad de la República |
| repository_id_str | 4771 |
| rights_invalid_str_mv | Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
| spelling | Tarouco Gabriela, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (Brasil)América Latina2024-11-27T16:49:43Z2024-11-27T16:49:43Z2024Tarouco, G. "Defying electoral governance: distrust and protests in Latin America". Revista uruguaya de Ciencia Política [en línea] 2024, v. 33, e608.https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/472351688-499XWhen do political parties reject electoral results? Even decades after the democratic transition, post-electoral conflicts and protests are still common in many Latin American countries. This article argues that trust in electoral management can predict political competitorsʼ choices between two alternative strategies: defiance or compliance. The present work uses a medium-N research design and a multilevel model to analyze elections in 18 Latin American countries since redemocratization and finds support for the argument that ceteris paribus, distrust in the fairness of elections predicts the defiant reactions of political competitors.¿Cuándo rechazan los partidos políticos los resultados electorales? Incluso décadas después de la transición democrática, los conflictos y protestas postelectorales siguen siendo comunes en muchos países latinoamericanos. Este artículo sostiene que la confianza en la gestión electoral puede predecir las decisiones de los competidores políticos entre dos estrategias alternativas: desafío o cumplimiento. El presente trabajo utiliza un diseño de investigación de N medio y un modelo multinivel para analizar las elecciones en 18 países latinoamericanos desde la redemocratización y encuentra apoyo al argumento de que ceteris paribus, la desconfianza en la imparcialidad de las elecciones predice las reacciones desafiantes de los competidores políticos.Quando os partidos políticos rejeitam os resultados eleitorais? Mesmo décadas após a transição democrática, protestos pós-eleitorais ainda são comuns em muitos países latino-americanos. Este artigo argumenta que a confiança na gestão eleitoral pode predizer a escolha dos competidores entre duas estratégias alternativas em relação ao resultado: contestar ou acatar. O presente trabalho utiliza um desenho de pesquisa de N médio e um modelo multinível para analisar eleições em 18 países latino-americanos desde a redemocratização e encontra apoio para o argumento de que ceteris paribus, a desconfiança na lisura das eleições prediz a rejeição dos resultados pelos competidores.Submitted by Fabiana Pérez Aldaya (fabiana.perez@cienciassociales.edu.uy) on 2024-11-25T18:38:22Z No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 25790 bytes, checksum: 13adb202270a5f7cee03e795b33133c4 (MD5) RUCP_Tarouco_2024v.33.pdf: 461750 bytes, checksum: 58287a95af7c880141f21ee7e0e45da3 (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Carracedo Ania (ania.carracedo@cienciassociales.edu.uy) on 2024-11-26T17:37:43Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 25790 bytes, checksum: 13adb202270a5f7cee03e795b33133c4 (MD5) RUCP_Tarouco_2024v.33.pdf: 461750 bytes, checksum: 58287a95af7c880141f21ee7e0e45da3 (MD5)Made available in DSpace by Luna Fabiana (fabiana.luna@seciu.edu.uy) on 2024-11-27T16:49:43Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 25790 bytes, checksum: 13adb202270a5f7cee03e795b33133c4 (MD5) RUCP_Tarouco_2024v.33.pdf: 461750 bytes, checksum: 58287a95af7c880141f21ee7e0e45da3 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2024application/pdfenengUdelar. FCS-ICPRevista uruguaya de Ciencia Política, v. 33, e608Las obras depositadas en el Repositorio se rigen por la Ordenanza de los Derechos de la Propiedad Intelectual de la Universidad de la República.(Res. Nº 91 de C.D.C. de 8/III/1994 – D.O. 7/IV/1994) y por la Ordenanza del Repositorio Abierto de la Universidad de la República (Res. Nº 16 de C.D.C. de 07/10/2014)info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessLicencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0)ProtestsElectoral governancePolitical partiesElection managementElectionsProtestasGobernanza electoralPartidos políticosGestión electoralEleccionesProtestosGovernança eleitoralPartidos políticosGestão eleitoralEleiçõesDefying electoral governance: distrust and protests in Latin AmericaConfrontando la gobernanza electoral: desconfianza y protestas en América LatinaConfrontando a Governança Eleitoral: Desconfiança e Protestos na América LatinaArtículoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionreponame:COLIBRIinstname:Universidad de la Repúblicainstacron:Universidad de la RepúblicaTarouco, GabrielaLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-84267http://localhost:8080/xmlui/bitstream/20.500.12008/47235/5/license.txt6429389a7df7277b72b7924fdc7d47a9MD55CC-LICENSElicense_urllicense_urltext/plain; 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- Universidad de la Repúblicafalse |
| spellingShingle | Defying electoral governance: distrust and protests in Latin America Tarouco, Gabriela Protests Electoral governance Political parties Election management Elections Protestas Gobernanza electoral Partidos políticos Gestión electoral Elecciones Protestos Governança eleitoral Partidos políticos Gestão eleitoral Eleições |
| status_str | publishedVersion |
| title | Defying electoral governance: distrust and protests in Latin America |
| title_full | Defying electoral governance: distrust and protests in Latin America |
| title_fullStr | Defying electoral governance: distrust and protests in Latin America |
| title_full_unstemmed | Defying electoral governance: distrust and protests in Latin America |
| title_short | Defying electoral governance: distrust and protests in Latin America |
| title_sort | Defying electoral governance: distrust and protests in Latin America |
| topic | Protests Electoral governance Political parties Election management Elections Protestas Gobernanza electoral Partidos políticos Gestión electoral Elecciones Protestos Governança eleitoral Partidos políticos Gestão eleitoral Eleições |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/47235 |
