The Latin American economy during the first decades of the 21st century

Bértola, Luis - Ocampo, José Antonio

Resumen:

This paper looks at Latin America’s performance during the long economic cycle between 1998 and 2014 and its aftermath. The persistence of Latin America's economic vulnerability to external shocks is confirmed, as well as the difficulties in maintaining sustained growth rates associated with processes of structural change. Thus, the gap with the leading countries remains, and Latin America has not been able to emulate the successful experiences of other emerging countries. It is also confirmed that, despite the important achievements in terms of social development during the recent growth cycle, the high structural inequalities have not been broken. The expansive phase, driven by the super cycle of commodities prices, left Latin America once again facing a new phase of crisis and/or stagnation, in which previous achievements were under threat even prior to the COVID - 19 crisis, with all its negative consequences.


Este artículo analiza el desempeño de América Latina durante el ciclo económico largo que tuvo lugar entre 1998 y 2014 y su desarrollo posterior. Se confirma la vulnerabilidad de América Latina ante ciclos externos, así como su dificultad para sostener altas tasas de crecimiento asociadas a procesos de cambio estructural. Así, las brechas con los países desarrollados se mantienen y América Latina no ha logrado emular el desarrollo de otras economías emergentes. También se confirma que, a pesar de los importantes logros en términos de desarrollo social durante el ciclo reciente, las altas desigualdades estructurales no han sido revertidas. La fase expansiva, movida por el superciclo de los precios de las commodities, dejó una vez más a América Latina frente a una nueva crisis o estancamiento, amenazando los logros obtenidos, aún antes de que irrumpiera la crisis del COVID-19, con todas sus consecuencias negativas.


Detalles Bibliográficos
2022
Economic cycles
Estructural change
Human development
Poverty
Inequality
Ciclos económicos
Desarrollo humano
Pobreza
Desigualdad
Inglés
Universidad de la República
COLIBRI
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/31144
Acceso abierto
Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0)
Resumen:
Sumario:This paper looks at Latin America’s performance during the long economic cycle between 1998 and 2014 and its aftermath. The persistence of Latin America's economic vulnerability to external shocks is confirmed, as well as the difficulties in maintaining sustained growth rates associated with processes of structural change. Thus, the gap with the leading countries remains, and Latin America has not been able to emulate the successful experiences of other emerging countries. It is also confirmed that, despite the important achievements in terms of social development during the recent growth cycle, the high structural inequalities have not been broken. The expansive phase, driven by the super cycle of commodities prices, left Latin America once again facing a new phase of crisis and/or stagnation, in which previous achievements were under threat even prior to the COVID - 19 crisis, with all its negative consequences.