Zero Black-Derman-Toy interest rate model
Resumen:
We propose a modification of the classical Black-Derman-Toy (BDT) interest rate tree model, which includes the possibility of a jump with small probability at each step to a practically zero interest rate. The corresponding BDT algorithms are consequently modified to calibrate the tree containing the zero interest rate scenarios. This modification is motivated by the recent 2008–2009 crisis in the United States and it quantifies the risk of a future crises in bond prices and derivatives. The proposed model is useful to price derivatives. This exercise also provides a tool to calibrate the probability of this event. A comparison of option prices and implied volatilities on US Treasury bonds computed with both the proposed and the classical tree model is provided, in six different scenarios along the different periods comprising the years 2002–2017.
2020 | |
Black-Derman-Toy model, Zero Interest Rate Policy Bond option Financial Crisis Term structure |
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Inglés | |
Universidad de la República | |
COLIBRI | |
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/41072 | |
Acceso abierto | |
Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
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author | Krzyzanowski, Grzegorz |
author2 | Mordecki, Ernesto Sosa, Andrés |
author2_role | author author |
author_facet | Krzyzanowski, Grzegorz Mordecki, Ernesto Sosa, Andrés |
author_role | author |
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collection | COLIBRI |
dc.contributor.filiacion.none.fl_str_mv | Krzyzanowski Grzegorz Mordecki Ernesto, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Centro de Matemática. Sosa Andrés, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. |
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Krzyzanowski, Grzegorz Mordecki, Ernesto Sosa, Andrés |
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv | 2023-11-14T12:31:59Z |
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv | 2023-11-14T12:31:59Z |
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv | 2020 |
dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv | We propose a modification of the classical Black-Derman-Toy (BDT) interest rate tree model, which includes the possibility of a jump with small probability at each step to a practically zero interest rate. The corresponding BDT algorithms are consequently modified to calibrate the tree containing the zero interest rate scenarios. This modification is motivated by the recent 2008–2009 crisis in the United States and it quantifies the risk of a future crises in bond prices and derivatives. The proposed model is useful to price derivatives. This exercise also provides a tool to calibrate the probability of this event. A comparison of option prices and implied volatilities on US Treasury bonds computed with both the proposed and the classical tree model is provided, in six different scenarios along the different periods comprising the years 2002–2017. |
dc.description.es.fl_txt_mv | Versión permitida: preprint Publicado también en: The Journal of Fixed Income, 2021, 31(3). DOI: 10.3905/jfi.2021.1.122 |
dc.format.extent.es.fl_str_mv | 16 h. |
dc.format.mimetype.es.fl_str_mv | application/pdf |
dc.identifier.citation.es.fl_str_mv | Krzyzanowski, G, Mordecki, E y Sosa, A. "Zero Black-Derman-Toy interest rate model" [Preprint]. Publicado en: Economics (Econometrics), 2020, arXiv:1908.04401. Jul. 2020, pp. 1-19. DOI:10.48550/arXiv.1908.04401 |
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv | 10.48550/arXiv.1908.04401 |
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/41072 |
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv | en eng |
dc.relation.ispartof.es.fl_str_mv | Economics (Econometrics), 2020, arXiv:1908.04401. Jul., 2020 |
dc.rights.license.none.fl_str_mv | Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv | reponame:COLIBRI instname:Universidad de la República instacron:Universidad de la República |
dc.subject.es.fl_str_mv | Black-Derman-Toy model, Zero Interest Rate Policy Bond option Financial Crisis Term structure |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | Zero Black-Derman-Toy interest rate model |
dc.type.es.fl_str_mv | Preprint |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/preprint |
dc.type.version.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/submittedVersion |
description | Versión permitida: preprint |
eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
format | preprint |
id | COLIBRI_88c954347d3715666f96a16753134138 |
identifier_str_mv | Krzyzanowski, G, Mordecki, E y Sosa, A. "Zero Black-Derman-Toy interest rate model" [Preprint]. Publicado en: Economics (Econometrics), 2020, arXiv:1908.04401. Jul. 2020, pp. 1-19. DOI:10.48550/arXiv.1908.04401 10.48550/arXiv.1908.04401 |
instacron_str | Universidad de la República |
institution | Universidad de la República |
instname_str | Universidad de la República |
language | eng |
language_invalid_str_mv | en |
network_acronym_str | COLIBRI |
network_name_str | COLIBRI |
oai_identifier_str | oai:colibri.udelar.edu.uy:20.500.12008/41072 |
publishDate | 2020 |
reponame_str | COLIBRI |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv | mabel.seroubian@seciu.edu.uy |
repository.name.fl_str_mv | COLIBRI - Universidad de la República |
repository_id_str | 4771 |
rights_invalid_str_mv | Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
spelling | Krzyzanowski GrzegorzMordecki Ernesto, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Centro de Matemática.Sosa Andrés, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración.2023-11-14T12:31:59Z2023-11-14T12:31:59Z2020Krzyzanowski, G, Mordecki, E y Sosa, A. "Zero Black-Derman-Toy interest rate model" [Preprint]. Publicado en: Economics (Econometrics), 2020, arXiv:1908.04401. Jul. 2020, pp. 1-19. DOI:10.48550/arXiv.1908.04401https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/4107210.48550/arXiv.1908.04401Versión permitida: preprintPublicado también en: The Journal of Fixed Income, 2021, 31(3). DOI: 10.3905/jfi.2021.1.122We propose a modification of the classical Black-Derman-Toy (BDT) interest rate tree model, which includes the possibility of a jump with small probability at each step to a practically zero interest rate. The corresponding BDT algorithms are consequently modified to calibrate the tree containing the zero interest rate scenarios. This modification is motivated by the recent 2008–2009 crisis in the United States and it quantifies the risk of a future crises in bond prices and derivatives. The proposed model is useful to price derivatives. This exercise also provides a tool to calibrate the probability of this event. A comparison of option prices and implied volatilities on US Treasury bonds computed with both the proposed and the classical tree model is provided, in six different scenarios along the different periods comprising the years 2002–2017.Submitted by Egaña Florencia (florega@gmail.com) on 2023-11-13T19:37:35Z No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 25790 bytes, checksum: 489f03e71d39068f329bdec8798bce58 (MD5) 1908.04401.pdf: 255892 bytes, checksum: 0013e6bc53615387b58fef66a2e00aa9 (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Faget Cecilia (lfaget@fcien.edu.uy) on 2023-11-14T12:01:40Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 25790 bytes, checksum: 489f03e71d39068f329bdec8798bce58 (MD5) 1908.04401.pdf: 255892 bytes, checksum: 0013e6bc53615387b58fef66a2e00aa9 (MD5)Made available in DSpace by Luna Fabiana (fabiana.luna@seciu.edu.uy) on 2023-11-14T12:31:59Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 25790 bytes, checksum: 489f03e71d39068f329bdec8798bce58 (MD5) 1908.04401.pdf: 255892 bytes, checksum: 0013e6bc53615387b58fef66a2e00aa9 (MD5) Previous issue date: 202016 h.application/pdfenengEconomics (Econometrics), 2020, arXiv:1908.04401. Jul., 2020Las obras depositadas en el Repositorio se rigen por la Ordenanza de los Derechos de la Propiedad Intelectual de la Universidad de la República.(Res. Nº 91 de C.D.C. de 8/III/1994 – D.O. 7/IV/1994) y por la Ordenanza del Repositorio Abierto de la Universidad de la República (Res. Nº 16 de C.D.C. de 07/10/2014)info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessLicencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0)Black-Derman-Toy model,Zero Interest Rate PolicyBond optionFinancial CrisisTerm structureZero Black-Derman-Toy interest rate modelPreprintinfo:eu-repo/semantics/preprintinfo:eu-repo/semantics/submittedVersionreponame:COLIBRIinstname:Universidad de la Repúblicainstacron:Universidad de la RepúblicaKrzyzanowski, GrzegorzMordecki, ErnestoSosa, AndrésLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-84267http://localhost:8080/xmlui/bitstream/20.500.12008/41072/5/license.txt6429389a7df7277b72b7924fdc7d47a9MD55CC-LICENSElicense_urllicense_urltext/plain; charset=utf-850http://localhost:8080/xmlui/bitstream/20.500.12008/41072/2/license_urla006180e3f5b2ad0b88185d14284c0e0MD52license_textlicense_texttext/html; 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- Universidad de la Repúblicafalse |
spellingShingle | Zero Black-Derman-Toy interest rate model Krzyzanowski, Grzegorz Black-Derman-Toy model, Zero Interest Rate Policy Bond option Financial Crisis Term structure |
status_str | submittedVersion |
title | Zero Black-Derman-Toy interest rate model |
title_full | Zero Black-Derman-Toy interest rate model |
title_fullStr | Zero Black-Derman-Toy interest rate model |
title_full_unstemmed | Zero Black-Derman-Toy interest rate model |
title_short | Zero Black-Derman-Toy interest rate model |
title_sort | Zero Black-Derman-Toy interest rate model |
topic | Black-Derman-Toy model, Zero Interest Rate Policy Bond option Financial Crisis Term structure |
url | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/41072 |