Household debt: the role of income and business ownership in a small emerging country
Resumen:
We analyze the debt side of household balance sheets in a small economy with underdeveloped financial markets. Our main focus is on the influence of income on the intensive margin of debt holdings and how business ownership affects that relationship. Using data from a novel Uruguayan dataset, we estimate selectioncorrected Conditional Quantile Regressions (CQR). The motivation for using CQR stems from the fact that the conditional distribution of debt holdings is highly asymmetric. This makes it worthwhile to take the analysis beyond the mean. In addition, understanding the effects of income and entrepreneurship for the most indebted households is a policy relevant question. We find that income does not affect the probability of being indebted but it has a significant impact on the intensive margin of debt holdings. The income elasticity of debt stocks is positive and varies substantially across types of households, being those who own formal businesses the most sensitive to income variations.
Analizamos los pasivos en los balances de los hogares en un país pequeño con mercados financieros muy poco desarrollados. Nuestro foco es en la influencia del ingreso en el márgen intensivo del endeudamiento, y en cómo afecta esta relación la propiedad de negocios. Usando datos recientemente disponibles para Uruguay estimamos Regresiones Cuantílicas Condicionales (RCC) corregidas por autoselección. La motivación para utilizar RCC surge del hecho de que ladistribución del endeudamiento de los hogares es altamente asimétrico, lo cual justifica generalizar el análisis más allá de la media. Además, entender el efecto del ingreso según tipo de hogar para los hogares endeudados es una pregunta de intéres desde el punto de vista de la política económica. Encontramos que el ingreso no afecta la probabilidad de que un hogar esté endeudado pero que si tiene un efecto significativo en el márgen intensivo del endeudamiento. La elasticidad ingreso del stock de deuda es positivo y varia sustancialmente entre tipos de hogar, siendo aquellos que poseen negocios formales los que presentan mayor sensibilidad a las variaciones del ingreso.
2020 | |
Household finance Household debt Conditional quantile regression Finanzas de los hogares Deudas de los hogares Regresiones cuantilicas condicionales |
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Inglés | |
Universidad de la República | |
COLIBRI | |
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/26108 | |
Acceso abierto | |
Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
Sumario: | We analyze the debt side of household balance sheets in a small economy with underdeveloped financial markets. Our main focus is on the influence of income on the intensive margin of debt holdings and how business ownership affects that relationship. Using data from a novel Uruguayan dataset, we estimate selectioncorrected Conditional Quantile Regressions (CQR). The motivation for using CQR stems from the fact that the conditional distribution of debt holdings is highly asymmetric. This makes it worthwhile to take the analysis beyond the mean. In addition, understanding the effects of income and entrepreneurship for the most indebted households is a policy relevant question. We find that income does not affect the probability of being indebted but it has a significant impact on the intensive margin of debt holdings. The income elasticity of debt stocks is positive and varies substantially across types of households, being those who own formal businesses the most sensitive to income variations. |
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