Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil

Elobeid, Amani - Carriquiry, Miguel - Bachion, Luciana Chiodi - Arantes, Sofia Marques - Dumortier, Jerome

Resumen:

Ethanol can potentially serve as a feedstock for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production. This study evaluates the global land use and associated carbon implications of expanding Brazilian corn ethanol production using second crop corn. Using a global agricultural trade model, which explicitly represents second crop corn production in Brazil, this analysis examines scenarios regarding ethanol demand growth, corn supply elasticity, and trade constraints. Results show that increasing Brazilian ethanol production using second crop corn can moderately impact international prices, land-use, and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, especially when corn supply is highly elastic or double cropping intensifies. Under the limiting assumption of a perfectly elastic second-crop corn land response, our findings show minimal or even negative net land-use change. Focusing on land use, a life cycle analysis reveals that second crop corn ethanol can achieve lower or negative GHG emissions, primarily due to the use of feedstock grown on land already used in the same year (second crop), renewable process energy, and the substitution of soybean meal through corn co-products. These findings suggest that Brazilian second crop corn offers a low-carbon pathway for SAF production, contingent on preserving double-cropping systems and avoiding land-use change. The article highlights critical trade-offs and policy considerations for aligning climate goals with sustainable agricultural and energy systems.

Detalles Bibliográficos
2026
Agricultural intensification
Biofuel
Double cropping
Greenhouse gas emissions
Land-use change
Sustainable aviation fuel
ECONOMIA DEL MEDIO AMBIENTE
TECNOLOGIA AGRARIA
Inglés
Universidad de la República
COLIBRI
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/54488
https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70108
Acceso abierto
Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial (CC - By-NC 4.0)
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author Elobeid, Amani
author2 Carriquiry, Miguel
Bachion, Luciana Chiodi
Arantes, Sofia Marques
Dumortier, Jerome
author2_role author
author
author
author
author_facet Elobeid, Amani
Carriquiry, Miguel
Bachion, Luciana Chiodi
Arantes, Sofia Marques
Dumortier, Jerome
author_role author
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dc.contributor.filiacion.none.fl_str_mv Elobeid Amani, Iowa State University
Carriquiry Miguel, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. Instituto de Economía
Bachion Luciana Chiodi, Agroicone
Arantes Sofia Marques, Agroicone
Dumortier Jerome, Indiana University
dc.coverage.spatial.es.fl_str_mv Brasil
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Elobeid, Amani
Carriquiry, Miguel
Bachion, Luciana Chiodi
Arantes, Sofia Marques
Dumortier, Jerome
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2026-04-20T16:45:02Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2026-04-20T16:45:02Z
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv 2026
dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv Ethanol can potentially serve as a feedstock for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production. This study evaluates the global land use and associated carbon implications of expanding Brazilian corn ethanol production using second crop corn. Using a global agricultural trade model, which explicitly represents second crop corn production in Brazil, this analysis examines scenarios regarding ethanol demand growth, corn supply elasticity, and trade constraints. Results show that increasing Brazilian ethanol production using second crop corn can moderately impact international prices, land-use, and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, especially when corn supply is highly elastic or double cropping intensifies. Under the limiting assumption of a perfectly elastic second-crop corn land response, our findings show minimal or even negative net land-use change. Focusing on land use, a life cycle analysis reveals that second crop corn ethanol can achieve lower or negative GHG emissions, primarily due to the use of feedstock grown on land already used in the same year (second crop), renewable process energy, and the substitution of soybean meal through corn co-products. These findings suggest that Brazilian second crop corn offers a low-carbon pathway for SAF production, contingent on preserving double-cropping systems and avoiding land-use change. The article highlights critical trade-offs and policy considerations for aligning climate goals with sustainable agricultural and energy systems.
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dc.identifier.citation.es.fl_str_mv ELOBEID, Amani, CARRIQUIRY, Miguel, BACHION, Luciana Chiodi y otros. Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil. Agricultural Economics, vol. 57, n° 2: e70108. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70108
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70108
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/54488
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv en
eng
dc.publisher.es.fl_str_mv Wiley
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Agricultural Economics, vol. 57, n° 2: e70108. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70108
dc.rights.license.none.fl_str_mv Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial (CC - By-NC 4.0)
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:COLIBRI
instname:Universidad de la República
instacron:Universidad de la República
dc.subject.es.fl_str_mv Agricultural intensification
Biofuel
Double cropping
Greenhouse gas emissions
Land-use change
Sustainable aviation fuel
dc.subject.other.es.fl_str_mv ECONOMIA DEL MEDIO AMBIENTE
TECNOLOGIA AGRARIA
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil
dc.type.es.fl_str_mv Artículo
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type.version.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
description Ethanol can potentially serve as a feedstock for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production. This study evaluates the global land use and associated carbon implications of expanding Brazilian corn ethanol production using second crop corn. Using a global agricultural trade model, which explicitly represents second crop corn production in Brazil, this analysis examines scenarios regarding ethanol demand growth, corn supply elasticity, and trade constraints. Results show that increasing Brazilian ethanol production using second crop corn can moderately impact international prices, land-use, and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, especially when corn supply is highly elastic or double cropping intensifies. Under the limiting assumption of a perfectly elastic second-crop corn land response, our findings show minimal or even negative net land-use change. Focusing on land use, a life cycle analysis reveals that second crop corn ethanol can achieve lower or negative GHG emissions, primarily due to the use of feedstock grown on land already used in the same year (second crop), renewable process energy, and the substitution of soybean meal through corn co-products. These findings suggest that Brazilian second crop corn offers a low-carbon pathway for SAF production, contingent on preserving double-cropping systems and avoiding land-use change. The article highlights critical trade-offs and policy considerations for aligning climate goals with sustainable agricultural and energy systems.
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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identifier_str_mv ELOBEID, Amani, CARRIQUIRY, Miguel, BACHION, Luciana Chiodi y otros. Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil. Agricultural Economics, vol. 57, n° 2: e70108. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70108
instacron_str Universidad de la República
institution Universidad de la República
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language eng
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publishDate 2026
reponame_str COLIBRI
repository.mail.fl_str_mv karina.camps@seciu.edu.uy
repository.name.fl_str_mv COLIBRI - Universidad de la República
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rights_invalid_str_mv Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial (CC - By-NC 4.0)
spelling Elobeid Amani, Iowa State UniversityCarriquiry Miguel, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. Instituto de EconomíaBachion Luciana Chiodi, AgroiconeArantes Sofia Marques, AgroiconeDumortier Jerome, Indiana UniversityBrasil2026-04-20T16:45:02Z2026-04-20T16:45:02Z2026ELOBEID, Amani, CARRIQUIRY, Miguel, BACHION, Luciana Chiodi y otros. Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil. Agricultural Economics, vol. 57, n° 2: e70108. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70108https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/54488https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70108Ethanol can potentially serve as a feedstock for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production. This study evaluates the global land use and associated carbon implications of expanding Brazilian corn ethanol production using second crop corn. Using a global agricultural trade model, which explicitly represents second crop corn production in Brazil, this analysis examines scenarios regarding ethanol demand growth, corn supply elasticity, and trade constraints. Results show that increasing Brazilian ethanol production using second crop corn can moderately impact international prices, land-use, and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, especially when corn supply is highly elastic or double cropping intensifies. Under the limiting assumption of a perfectly elastic second-crop corn land response, our findings show minimal or even negative net land-use change. Focusing on land use, a life cycle analysis reveals that second crop corn ethanol can achieve lower or negative GHG emissions, primarily due to the use of feedstock grown on land already used in the same year (second crop), renewable process energy, and the substitution of soybean meal through corn co-products. These findings suggest that Brazilian second crop corn offers a low-carbon pathway for SAF production, contingent on preserving double-cropping systems and avoiding land-use change. The article highlights critical trade-offs and policy considerations for aligning climate goals with sustainable agricultural and energy systems.Submitted by Pérez Lorenza (eva3956611@hotmail.com) on 2026-04-07T19:39:59Z No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 26648 bytes, checksum: e9507f17d292a045f834ee111e4d098b (MD5) 70108.pdf: 723534 bytes, checksum: 73d8d4ce27bb32f09978285387ea6d9d (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Arigón Fernández María Concepción (mcarigon@fcea.edu.uy) on 2026-04-20T14:58:52Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 26648 bytes, checksum: e9507f17d292a045f834ee111e4d098b (MD5) 70108.pdf: 723534 bytes, checksum: 73d8d4ce27bb32f09978285387ea6d9d (MD5)Made available in DSpace by Luna Fabiana (fabiana.luna@seciu.edu.uy) on 2026-04-20T16:45:02Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 26648 bytes, checksum: e9507f17d292a045f834ee111e4d098b (MD5) 70108.pdf: 723534 bytes, checksum: 73d8d4ce27bb32f09978285387ea6d9d (MD5) Previous issue date: 202617 p.application/pdfenengWileyAgricultural Economics, vol. 57, n° 2: e70108. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70108Las obras depositadas en el Repositorio se rigen por la Ordenanza de los Derechos de la Propiedad Intelectual de la Universidad de la República.(Res. Nº 91 de C.D.C. de 8/III/1994 – D.O. 7/IV/1994) y por la Ordenanza del Repositorio Abierto de la Universidad de la República (Res. 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- Universidad de la Repúblicafalse
spellingShingle Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil
Elobeid, Amani
Agricultural intensification
Biofuel
Double cropping
Greenhouse gas emissions
Land-use change
Sustainable aviation fuel
ECONOMIA DEL MEDIO AMBIENTE
TECNOLOGIA AGRARIA
status_str publishedVersion
title Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil
title_full Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil
title_fullStr Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil
title_full_unstemmed Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil
title_short Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil
title_sort Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil
topic Agricultural intensification
Biofuel
Double cropping
Greenhouse gas emissions
Land-use change
Sustainable aviation fuel
ECONOMIA DEL MEDIO AMBIENTE
TECNOLOGIA AGRARIA
url https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/54488
https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70108