Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil
Resumen:
Ethanol can potentially serve as a feedstock for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production. This study evaluates the global land use and associated carbon implications of expanding Brazilian corn ethanol production using second crop corn. Using a global agricultural trade model, which explicitly represents second crop corn production in Brazil, this analysis examines scenarios regarding ethanol demand growth, corn supply elasticity, and trade constraints. Results show that increasing Brazilian ethanol production using second crop corn can moderately impact international prices, land-use, and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, especially when corn supply is highly elastic or double cropping intensifies. Under the limiting assumption of a perfectly elastic second-crop corn land response, our findings show minimal or even negative net land-use change. Focusing on land use, a life cycle analysis reveals that second crop corn ethanol can achieve lower or negative GHG emissions, primarily due to the use of feedstock grown on land already used in the same year (second crop), renewable process energy, and the substitution of soybean meal through corn co-products. These findings suggest that Brazilian second crop corn offers a low-carbon pathway for SAF production, contingent on preserving double-cropping systems and avoiding land-use change. The article highlights critical trade-offs and policy considerations for aligning climate goals with sustainable agricultural and energy systems.
| 2026 | |
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Agricultural intensification Biofuel Double cropping Greenhouse gas emissions Land-use change Sustainable aviation fuel ECONOMIA DEL MEDIO AMBIENTE TECNOLOGIA AGRARIA |
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| Inglés | |
| Universidad de la República | |
| COLIBRI | |
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https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/54488
https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70108 |
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| Acceso abierto | |
| Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial (CC - By-NC 4.0) |
| _version_ | 1875693222428147712 |
|---|---|
| author | Elobeid, Amani |
| author2 | Carriquiry, Miguel Bachion, Luciana Chiodi Arantes, Sofia Marques Dumortier, Jerome |
| author2_role | author author author author |
| author_facet | Elobeid, Amani Carriquiry, Miguel Bachion, Luciana Chiodi Arantes, Sofia Marques Dumortier, Jerome |
| author_role | author |
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| collection | COLIBRI |
| dc.contributor.filiacion.none.fl_str_mv | Elobeid Amani, Iowa State University Carriquiry Miguel, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. Instituto de Economía Bachion Luciana Chiodi, Agroicone Arantes Sofia Marques, Agroicone Dumortier Jerome, Indiana University |
| dc.coverage.spatial.es.fl_str_mv | Brasil |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Elobeid, Amani Carriquiry, Miguel Bachion, Luciana Chiodi Arantes, Sofia Marques Dumortier, Jerome |
| dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv | 2026-04-20T16:45:02Z |
| dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv | 2026-04-20T16:45:02Z |
| dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv | 2026 |
| dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv | Ethanol can potentially serve as a feedstock for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production. This study evaluates the global land use and associated carbon implications of expanding Brazilian corn ethanol production using second crop corn. Using a global agricultural trade model, which explicitly represents second crop corn production in Brazil, this analysis examines scenarios regarding ethanol demand growth, corn supply elasticity, and trade constraints. Results show that increasing Brazilian ethanol production using second crop corn can moderately impact international prices, land-use, and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, especially when corn supply is highly elastic or double cropping intensifies. Under the limiting assumption of a perfectly elastic second-crop corn land response, our findings show minimal or even negative net land-use change. Focusing on land use, a life cycle analysis reveals that second crop corn ethanol can achieve lower or negative GHG emissions, primarily due to the use of feedstock grown on land already used in the same year (second crop), renewable process energy, and the substitution of soybean meal through corn co-products. These findings suggest that Brazilian second crop corn offers a low-carbon pathway for SAF production, contingent on preserving double-cropping systems and avoiding land-use change. The article highlights critical trade-offs and policy considerations for aligning climate goals with sustainable agricultural and energy systems. |
| dc.format.extent.es.fl_str_mv | 17 p. |
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| dc.identifier.citation.es.fl_str_mv | ELOBEID, Amani, CARRIQUIRY, Miguel, BACHION, Luciana Chiodi y otros. Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil. Agricultural Economics, vol. 57, n° 2: e70108. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70108 |
| dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv | https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70108 |
| dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/54488 |
| dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv | en eng |
| dc.publisher.es.fl_str_mv | Wiley |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv | Agricultural Economics, vol. 57, n° 2: e70108. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70108 |
| dc.rights.license.none.fl_str_mv | Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial (CC - By-NC 4.0) |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
| dc.source.none.fl_str_mv | reponame:COLIBRI instname:Universidad de la República instacron:Universidad de la República |
| dc.subject.es.fl_str_mv | Agricultural intensification Biofuel Double cropping Greenhouse gas emissions Land-use change Sustainable aviation fuel |
| dc.subject.other.es.fl_str_mv | ECONOMIA DEL MEDIO AMBIENTE TECNOLOGIA AGRARIA |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil |
| dc.type.es.fl_str_mv | Artículo |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
| dc.type.version.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
| description | Ethanol can potentially serve as a feedstock for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production. This study evaluates the global land use and associated carbon implications of expanding Brazilian corn ethanol production using second crop corn. Using a global agricultural trade model, which explicitly represents second crop corn production in Brazil, this analysis examines scenarios regarding ethanol demand growth, corn supply elasticity, and trade constraints. Results show that increasing Brazilian ethanol production using second crop corn can moderately impact international prices, land-use, and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, especially when corn supply is highly elastic or double cropping intensifies. Under the limiting assumption of a perfectly elastic second-crop corn land response, our findings show minimal or even negative net land-use change. Focusing on land use, a life cycle analysis reveals that second crop corn ethanol can achieve lower or negative GHG emissions, primarily due to the use of feedstock grown on land already used in the same year (second crop), renewable process energy, and the substitution of soybean meal through corn co-products. These findings suggest that Brazilian second crop corn offers a low-carbon pathway for SAF production, contingent on preserving double-cropping systems and avoiding land-use change. The article highlights critical trade-offs and policy considerations for aligning climate goals with sustainable agricultural and energy systems. |
| eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
| format | article |
| id | COLIBRI_68a9cde7ea96a5967a6fa40de316b59f |
| identifier_str_mv | ELOBEID, Amani, CARRIQUIRY, Miguel, BACHION, Luciana Chiodi y otros. Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil. Agricultural Economics, vol. 57, n° 2: e70108. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70108 |
| instacron_str | Universidad de la República |
| institution | Universidad de la República |
| instname_str | Universidad de la República |
| language | eng |
| language_invalid_str_mv | en |
| network_acronym_str | COLIBRI |
| network_name_str | COLIBRI |
| oai_identifier_str | oai:colibri.udelar.edu.uy:20.500.12008/54488 |
| publishDate | 2026 |
| reponame_str | COLIBRI |
| repository.mail.fl_str_mv | karina.camps@seciu.edu.uy |
| repository.name.fl_str_mv | COLIBRI - Universidad de la República |
| repository_id_str | 4771 |
| rights_invalid_str_mv | Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial (CC - By-NC 4.0) |
| spelling | Elobeid Amani, Iowa State UniversityCarriquiry Miguel, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. Instituto de EconomíaBachion Luciana Chiodi, AgroiconeArantes Sofia Marques, AgroiconeDumortier Jerome, Indiana UniversityBrasil2026-04-20T16:45:02Z2026-04-20T16:45:02Z2026ELOBEID, Amani, CARRIQUIRY, Miguel, BACHION, Luciana Chiodi y otros. Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil. Agricultural Economics, vol. 57, n° 2: e70108. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70108https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/54488https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70108Ethanol can potentially serve as a feedstock for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production. This study evaluates the global land use and associated carbon implications of expanding Brazilian corn ethanol production using second crop corn. Using a global agricultural trade model, which explicitly represents second crop corn production in Brazil, this analysis examines scenarios regarding ethanol demand growth, corn supply elasticity, and trade constraints. Results show that increasing Brazilian ethanol production using second crop corn can moderately impact international prices, land-use, and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, especially when corn supply is highly elastic or double cropping intensifies. Under the limiting assumption of a perfectly elastic second-crop corn land response, our findings show minimal or even negative net land-use change. Focusing on land use, a life cycle analysis reveals that second crop corn ethanol can achieve lower or negative GHG emissions, primarily due to the use of feedstock grown on land already used in the same year (second crop), renewable process energy, and the substitution of soybean meal through corn co-products. These findings suggest that Brazilian second crop corn offers a low-carbon pathway for SAF production, contingent on preserving double-cropping systems and avoiding land-use change. The article highlights critical trade-offs and policy considerations for aligning climate goals with sustainable agricultural and energy systems.Submitted by Pérez Lorenza (eva3956611@hotmail.com) on 2026-04-07T19:39:59Z No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 26648 bytes, checksum: e9507f17d292a045f834ee111e4d098b (MD5) 70108.pdf: 723534 bytes, checksum: 73d8d4ce27bb32f09978285387ea6d9d (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Arigón Fernández María Concepción (mcarigon@fcea.edu.uy) on 2026-04-20T14:58:52Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 26648 bytes, checksum: e9507f17d292a045f834ee111e4d098b (MD5) 70108.pdf: 723534 bytes, checksum: 73d8d4ce27bb32f09978285387ea6d9d (MD5)Made available in DSpace by Luna Fabiana (fabiana.luna@seciu.edu.uy) on 2026-04-20T16:45:02Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 26648 bytes, checksum: e9507f17d292a045f834ee111e4d098b (MD5) 70108.pdf: 723534 bytes, checksum: 73d8d4ce27bb32f09978285387ea6d9d (MD5) Previous issue date: 202617 p.application/pdfenengWileyAgricultural Economics, vol. 57, n° 2: e70108. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70108Las obras depositadas en el Repositorio se rigen por la Ordenanza de los Derechos de la Propiedad Intelectual de la Universidad de la República.(Res. Nº 91 de C.D.C. de 8/III/1994 – D.O. 7/IV/1994) y por la Ordenanza del Repositorio Abierto de la Universidad de la República (Res. Nº 16 de C.D.C. de 07/10/2014)info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessLicencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial (CC - By-NC 4.0)Agricultural intensificationBiofuelDouble croppingGreenhouse gas emissionsLand-use changeSustainable aviation fuelECONOMIA DEL MEDIO AMBIENTETECNOLOGIA AGRARIAGlobal Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in BrazilArtículoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionreponame:COLIBRIinstname:Universidad de la Repúblicainstacron:Universidad de la RepúblicaElobeid, AmaniCarriquiry, MiguelBachion, Luciana ChiodiArantes, Sofia MarquesDumortier, JeromeLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-84267http://localhost:8080/xmlui/bitstream/20.500.12008/54488/5/license.txt6429389a7df7277b72b7924fdc7d47a9MD55CC-LICENSElicense_urllicense_urltext/plain; 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- Universidad de la Repúblicafalse |
| spellingShingle | Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil Elobeid, Amani Agricultural intensification Biofuel Double cropping Greenhouse gas emissions Land-use change Sustainable aviation fuel ECONOMIA DEL MEDIO AMBIENTE TECNOLOGIA AGRARIA |
| status_str | publishedVersion |
| title | Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil |
| title_full | Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil |
| title_fullStr | Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil |
| title_full_unstemmed | Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil |
| title_short | Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil |
| title_sort | Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil |
| topic | Agricultural intensification Biofuel Double cropping Greenhouse gas emissions Land-use change Sustainable aviation fuel ECONOMIA DEL MEDIO AMBIENTE TECNOLOGIA AGRARIA |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/54488 https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70108 |