Fraud detection in electric power distribution : an approach that maximizes the economic return.
Resumen:
The detection of non-technical losses (NTL) is a very important economic issue for power utilities. Diverse machine learning strategies have been proposed to support electric power companies tackling this problem. Methods performance is often measured using standard cost-insensitive metrics, such as the accuracy, true positive ratio, AUC, or F1. In contrast, we propose to design a NTL detection solution that maximizes the effective economic return. To that end, both the income recovered and the inspection cost are considered. Furthermore, the proposed framework can be used to design the infrastructure of the division in charge of performing customers inspections. Then, assisting not only short term decisions, e.g., which customer should be inspected first, but also the elaboration of long term strategies, e.g., planning of NTL company budget. The problem is formulated in a Bayesian risk framework. Experimental validation is presented using a large dataset of real users from the Uruguayan utility. The results obtained show that the proposed method can boost companies profit and provide a highly efficient and realistic countermeasure to NTL. Moreover, the proposed pipeline is general and can be easily adapted to other practical problems.
2020 | |
Economic return Non-technical losses Electricity theft Automatic fraud detection Example-cost-sensitiv Economics Companies Inspection Meters History Machine learning Support vector machines |
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Inglés | |
Universidad de la República | |
COLIBRI | |
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/24057 | |
Acceso abierto | |
Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
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---|---|
author | Massaferro Saquieres, Pablo |
author2 | Di Martino, Matías Fernández, Alicia |
author2_role | author author |
author_facet | Massaferro Saquieres, Pablo Di Martino, Matías Fernández, Alicia |
author_role | author |
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collection | COLIBRI |
dc.contributor.filiacion.none.fl_str_mv | Massaferro Saquieres Pablo, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ingeniería. Di Martino Matías, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ingeniería. Fernández Alicia, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ingeniería. |
dc.coverage.spatial.es.fl_str_mv | Uruguay |
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Massaferro Saquieres, Pablo Di Martino, Matías Fernández, Alicia |
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv | 2020-05-25T17:00:06Z |
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv | 2020-05-25T17:00:06Z |
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv | 2020 |
dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv | The detection of non-technical losses (NTL) is a very important economic issue for power utilities. Diverse machine learning strategies have been proposed to support electric power companies tackling this problem. Methods performance is often measured using standard cost-insensitive metrics, such as the accuracy, true positive ratio, AUC, or F1. In contrast, we propose to design a NTL detection solution that maximizes the effective economic return. To that end, both the income recovered and the inspection cost are considered. Furthermore, the proposed framework can be used to design the infrastructure of the division in charge of performing customers inspections. Then, assisting not only short term decisions, e.g., which customer should be inspected first, but also the elaboration of long term strategies, e.g., planning of NTL company budget. The problem is formulated in a Bayesian risk framework. Experimental validation is presented using a large dataset of real users from the Uruguayan utility. The results obtained show that the proposed method can boost companies profit and provide a highly efficient and realistic countermeasure to NTL. Moreover, the proposed pipeline is general and can be easily adapted to other practical problems. |
dc.description.es.fl_txt_mv | Publicado en IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, vol. 35, no. 1, pp. 703-710, Jan. 2020. |
dc.format.extent.es.fl_str_mv | 8 p. |
dc.format.mimetype.es.fl_str_mv | application/pdf |
dc.identifier.citation.en.fl_str_mv | Massaferro Saquieres, P., Di Martino, M. y Fernández, A. Fraud detection in electric power distribution : an approach that maximizes the economic return [Preprint]. Publicado en : IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, vol. 35, no. 1, pp. 703-710, Jan. 2020. DOI: 10.1109/TPWRS.2019.2928276 |
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/24057 |
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv | en eng |
dc.rights.license.none.fl_str_mv | Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv | reponame:COLIBRI instname:Universidad de la República instacron:Universidad de la República |
dc.subject.en.fl_str_mv | Economic return Non-technical losses Electricity theft Automatic fraud detection Example-cost-sensitiv Economics Companies Inspection Meters History Machine learning Support vector machines |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | Fraud detection in electric power distribution : an approach that maximizes the economic return. |
dc.type.es.fl_str_mv | Preprint |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/preprint |
dc.type.version.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/submittedVersion |
description | Publicado en IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, vol. 35, no. 1, pp. 703-710, Jan. 2020. |
eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
format | preprint |
id | COLIBRI_67acf7073d4cc38132d34e85381c3d21 |
identifier_str_mv | Massaferro Saquieres, P., Di Martino, M. y Fernández, A. Fraud detection in electric power distribution : an approach that maximizes the economic return [Preprint]. Publicado en : IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, vol. 35, no. 1, pp. 703-710, Jan. 2020. DOI: 10.1109/TPWRS.2019.2928276 |
instacron_str | Universidad de la República |
institution | Universidad de la República |
instname_str | Universidad de la República |
language | eng |
language_invalid_str_mv | en |
network_acronym_str | COLIBRI |
network_name_str | COLIBRI |
oai_identifier_str | oai:colibri.udelar.edu.uy:20.500.12008/24057 |
publishDate | 2020 |
reponame_str | COLIBRI |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv | mabel.seroubian@seciu.edu.uy |
repository.name.fl_str_mv | COLIBRI - Universidad de la República |
repository_id_str | 4771 |
rights_invalid_str_mv | Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
spelling | Massaferro Saquieres Pablo, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ingeniería.Di Martino Matías, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ingeniería.Fernández Alicia, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ingeniería.Uruguay2020-05-25T17:00:06Z2020-05-25T17:00:06Z2020Massaferro Saquieres, P., Di Martino, M. y Fernández, A. Fraud detection in electric power distribution : an approach that maximizes the economic return [Preprint]. Publicado en : IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, vol. 35, no. 1, pp. 703-710, Jan. 2020. DOI: 10.1109/TPWRS.2019.2928276https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/24057Publicado en IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, vol. 35, no. 1, pp. 703-710, Jan. 2020.The detection of non-technical losses (NTL) is a very important economic issue for power utilities. Diverse machine learning strategies have been proposed to support electric power companies tackling this problem. Methods performance is often measured using standard cost-insensitive metrics, such as the accuracy, true positive ratio, AUC, or F1. In contrast, we propose to design a NTL detection solution that maximizes the effective economic return. To that end, both the income recovered and the inspection cost are considered. Furthermore, the proposed framework can be used to design the infrastructure of the division in charge of performing customers inspections. Then, assisting not only short term decisions, e.g., which customer should be inspected first, but also the elaboration of long term strategies, e.g., planning of NTL company budget. The problem is formulated in a Bayesian risk framework. Experimental validation is presented using a large dataset of real users from the Uruguayan utility. The results obtained show that the proposed method can boost companies profit and provide a highly efficient and realistic countermeasure to NTL. Moreover, the proposed pipeline is general and can be easily adapted to other practical problems.Submitted by Ribeiro Jorge (jribeiro@fing.edu.uy) on 2020-05-22T19:50:07Z No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 23149 bytes, checksum: 1996b8461bc290aef6a27d78c67b6b52 (MD5) MDF20.pdf: 924074 bytes, checksum: 00d6a50bcad3b38d1e3457d308569ef3 (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Machado Jimena (jmachado@fing.edu.uy) on 2020-05-25T16:36:28Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 23149 bytes, checksum: 1996b8461bc290aef6a27d78c67b6b52 (MD5) MDF20.pdf: 924074 bytes, checksum: 00d6a50bcad3b38d1e3457d308569ef3 (MD5)Made available in DSpace by Luna Fabiana (fabiana.luna@fic.edu.uy) on 2020-05-25T17:00:06Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 23149 bytes, checksum: 1996b8461bc290aef6a27d78c67b6b52 (MD5) MDF20.pdf: 924074 bytes, checksum: 00d6a50bcad3b38d1e3457d308569ef3 (MD5) Previous issue date: 20208 p.application/pdfenengLas obras depositadas en el Repositorio se rigen por la Ordenanza de los Derechos de la Propiedad Intelectual de la Universidad de la República.(Res. Nº 91 de C.D.C. de 8/III/1994 – D.O. 7/IV/1994) y por la Ordenanza del Repositorio Abierto de la Universidad de la República (Res. Nº 16 de C.D.C. de 07/10/2014)info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessLicencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0)Economic returnNon-technical lossesElectricity theftAutomatic fraud detectionExample-cost-sensitivEconomicsCompaniesInspectionMetersHistoryMachine learningSupport vector machinesFraud detection in electric power distribution : an approach that maximizes the economic return.Preprintinfo:eu-repo/semantics/preprintinfo:eu-repo/semantics/submittedVersionreponame:COLIBRIinstname:Universidad de la Repúblicainstacron:Universidad de la RepúblicaMassaferro Saquieres, PabloDi Martino, MatíasFernández, AliciaLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-84267http://localhost:8080/xmlui/bitstream/20.500.12008/24057/5/license.txt6429389a7df7277b72b7924fdc7d47a9MD55CC-LICENSElicense_urllicense_urltext/plain; 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- Universidad de la Repúblicafalse |
spellingShingle | Fraud detection in electric power distribution : an approach that maximizes the economic return. Massaferro Saquieres, Pablo Economic return Non-technical losses Electricity theft Automatic fraud detection Example-cost-sensitiv Economics Companies Inspection Meters History Machine learning Support vector machines |
status_str | submittedVersion |
title | Fraud detection in electric power distribution : an approach that maximizes the economic return. |
title_full | Fraud detection in electric power distribution : an approach that maximizes the economic return. |
title_fullStr | Fraud detection in electric power distribution : an approach that maximizes the economic return. |
title_full_unstemmed | Fraud detection in electric power distribution : an approach that maximizes the economic return. |
title_short | Fraud detection in electric power distribution : an approach that maximizes the economic return. |
title_sort | Fraud detection in electric power distribution : an approach that maximizes the economic return. |
topic | Economic return Non-technical losses Electricity theft Automatic fraud detection Example-cost-sensitiv Economics Companies Inspection Meters History Machine learning Support vector machines |
url | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/24057 |