Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications
Resumen:
Introduction The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 has been carefully measured and analysed in high-income countries, whereas there has been no systematic analysis of age-specific seroprevalence or IFR for developing countries. Methods We systematically reviewed the literature to identify all COVID-19 serology studies in developing countries that were conducted using representative samples collected by February 2021. For each of the antibody assays used in these serology studies, we identified data on assay characteristics, including the extent of seroreversion over time. We analysed the serology data using a Bayesian model that incorporates conventional sampling uncertainty as well as uncertainties about assay sensitivity and specificity. We then calculated IFRs using individual case reports or aggregated public health updates, including age pecific estimates whenever feasible. Results In most locations in developing countries, seroprevalence among older adults was similar to that of younger age cohorts, underscoring the limited capacity that these nations have to protect older age groups. Age-specific IFRs were roughly 2 times higher than in high income countries. The median value of the population IFR was about 0.5%, similar to that of high-income countries, because disparities in healthcare access were roughly offset by differences in population age structure. Conclusion The burden of COVID-19 is far higher in developing countries than in high-income countries, reflecting a combination of elevated transmission to middle-aged and older adults as well as limited access to adequate healthcare. These results underscore the critical need to ensure medical equity to populations in developing countries through provision of vaccine doses and effective medications.
2022 | |
COVID-19 Developing countries Public policy |
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Inglés | |
Universidad de la República | |
COLIBRI | |
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/39729 | |
Acceso abierto | |
Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
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---|---|
author | Herrera Espósito, Daniel |
author2 | Levin, Andrew T . Owusu-Boaitey, Nana |
author2_role | author author |
author_facet | Herrera Espósito, Daniel Levin, Andrew T . Owusu-Boaitey, Nana |
author_role | author |
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collection | COLIBRI |
dc.contributor.filiacion.none.fl_str_mv | Herrera Espósito Daniel, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Biología. Levin Andrew T . Owusu-Boaitey Nana |
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Herrera Espósito, Daniel Levin, Andrew T . Owusu-Boaitey, Nana |
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv | 2023-08-30T14:29:49Z |
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv | 2023-08-30T14:29:49Z |
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv | 2022 |
dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv | Introduction The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 has been carefully measured and analysed in high-income countries, whereas there has been no systematic analysis of age-specific seroprevalence or IFR for developing countries. Methods We systematically reviewed the literature to identify all COVID-19 serology studies in developing countries that were conducted using representative samples collected by February 2021. For each of the antibody assays used in these serology studies, we identified data on assay characteristics, including the extent of seroreversion over time. We analysed the serology data using a Bayesian model that incorporates conventional sampling uncertainty as well as uncertainties about assay sensitivity and specificity. We then calculated IFRs using individual case reports or aggregated public health updates, including age pecific estimates whenever feasible. Results In most locations in developing countries, seroprevalence among older adults was similar to that of younger age cohorts, underscoring the limited capacity that these nations have to protect older age groups. Age-specific IFRs were roughly 2 times higher than in high income countries. The median value of the population IFR was about 0.5%, similar to that of high-income countries, because disparities in healthcare access were roughly offset by differences in population age structure. Conclusion The burden of COVID-19 is far higher in developing countries than in high-income countries, reflecting a combination of elevated transmission to middle-aged and older adults as well as limited access to adequate healthcare. These results underscore the critical need to ensure medical equity to populations in developing countries through provision of vaccine doses and effective medications. |
dc.description.es.fl_txt_mv | Trabajo realizado por otros catorce autores. |
dc.format.extent.es.fl_str_mv | 62 h. |
dc.format.mimetype.es.fl_str_mv | application/pdf |
dc.identifier.citation.es.fl_str_mv | Herrera Espósito, D, Levin, A y Owusu-Boaitey, N [y otros autores]. "Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications". BMJ Global Health. [en línea] 2022, 7:e008477. 62 h. DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2022-008477 |
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv | 10.1136/bmjgh-2022-008477 |
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv | 2059-7908 |
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/39729 |
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv | en_US eng |
dc.publisher.es.fl_str_mv | BMJ |
dc.relation.ispartof.es.fl_str_mv | BMJ Global Health, 2022, 7: e008477. |
dc.rights.license.none.fl_str_mv | Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv | reponame:COLIBRI instname:Universidad de la República instacron:Universidad de la República |
dc.subject.es.fl_str_mv | COVID-19 Developing countries Public policy |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications |
dc.type.es.fl_str_mv | Artículo |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
dc.type.version.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
description | Trabajo realizado por otros catorce autores. |
eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
format | article |
id | COLIBRI_42d3ba21398c92f9c07c407a384a7d64 |
identifier_str_mv | Herrera Espósito, D, Levin, A y Owusu-Boaitey, N [y otros autores]. "Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications". BMJ Global Health. [en línea] 2022, 7:e008477. 62 h. DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2022-008477 2059-7908 10.1136/bmjgh-2022-008477 |
instacron_str | Universidad de la República |
institution | Universidad de la República |
instname_str | Universidad de la República |
language | eng |
language_invalid_str_mv | en_US |
network_acronym_str | COLIBRI |
network_name_str | COLIBRI |
oai_identifier_str | oai:colibri.udelar.edu.uy:20.500.12008/39729 |
publishDate | 2022 |
reponame_str | COLIBRI |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv | mabel.seroubian@seciu.edu.uy |
repository.name.fl_str_mv | COLIBRI - Universidad de la República |
repository_id_str | 4771 |
rights_invalid_str_mv | Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0) |
spelling | Herrera Espósito Daniel, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Biología.Levin Andrew T .Owusu-Boaitey Nana2023-08-30T14:29:49Z2023-08-30T14:29:49Z2022Herrera Espósito, D, Levin, A y Owusu-Boaitey, N [y otros autores]. "Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications". BMJ Global Health. [en línea] 2022, 7:e008477. 62 h. DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2022-0084772059-7908https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/3972910.1136/bmjgh-2022-008477Trabajo realizado por otros catorce autores.Introduction The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 has been carefully measured and analysed in high-income countries, whereas there has been no systematic analysis of age-specific seroprevalence or IFR for developing countries. Methods We systematically reviewed the literature to identify all COVID-19 serology studies in developing countries that were conducted using representative samples collected by February 2021. For each of the antibody assays used in these serology studies, we identified data on assay characteristics, including the extent of seroreversion over time. We analysed the serology data using a Bayesian model that incorporates conventional sampling uncertainty as well as uncertainties about assay sensitivity and specificity. We then calculated IFRs using individual case reports or aggregated public health updates, including age pecific estimates whenever feasible. Results In most locations in developing countries, seroprevalence among older adults was similar to that of younger age cohorts, underscoring the limited capacity that these nations have to protect older age groups. Age-specific IFRs were roughly 2 times higher than in high income countries. The median value of the population IFR was about 0.5%, similar to that of high-income countries, because disparities in healthcare access were roughly offset by differences in population age structure. Conclusion The burden of COVID-19 is far higher in developing countries than in high-income countries, reflecting a combination of elevated transmission to middle-aged and older adults as well as limited access to adequate healthcare. These results underscore the critical need to ensure medical equity to populations in developing countries through provision of vaccine doses and effective medications.Submitted by Farías Verónica (vfarias@fcien.edu.uy) on 2023-08-30T13:19:04Z No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 23149 bytes, checksum: 1996b8461bc290aef6a27d78c67b6b52 (MD5) 101136bmjgh2022008477.pdf: 11996925 bytes, checksum: 2a7485ad4f2d37f0b0217bde8eb093a2 (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Faget Cecilia (lfaget@fcien.edu.uy) on 2023-08-30T14:24:47Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 23149 bytes, checksum: 1996b8461bc290aef6a27d78c67b6b52 (MD5) 101136bmjgh2022008477.pdf: 11996925 bytes, checksum: 2a7485ad4f2d37f0b0217bde8eb093a2 (MD5)Made available in DSpace by Luna Fabiana (fabiana.luna@seciu.edu.uy) on 2023-08-30T14:29:49Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 23149 bytes, checksum: 1996b8461bc290aef6a27d78c67b6b52 (MD5) 101136bmjgh2022008477.pdf: 11996925 bytes, checksum: 2a7485ad4f2d37f0b0217bde8eb093a2 (MD5) Previous issue date: 202262 h.application/pdfen_USengBMJBMJ Global Health, 2022, 7: e008477.Las obras depositadas en el Repositorio se rigen por la Ordenanza de los Derechos de la Propiedad Intelectual de la Universidad de la República.(Res. Nº 91 de C.D.C. de 8/III/1994 – D.O. 7/IV/1994) y por la Ordenanza del Repositorio Abierto de la Universidad de la República (Res. 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- Universidad de la Repúblicafalse |
spellingShingle | Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications Herrera Espósito, Daniel COVID-19 Developing countries Public policy |
status_str | publishedVersion |
title | Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications |
title_full | Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications |
title_fullStr | Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications |
title_full_unstemmed | Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications |
title_short | Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications |
title_sort | Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications |
topic | COVID-19 Developing countries Public policy |
url | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/39729 |