Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications

Herrera Espósito, Daniel - Levin, Andrew T . - Owusu-Boaitey, Nana

Resumen:

Introduction The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 has been carefully measured and analysed in high-income countries, whereas there has been no systematic analysis of age-specific seroprevalence or IFR for developing countries. Methods We systematically reviewed the literature to identify all COVID-19 serology studies in developing countries that were conducted using representative samples collected by February 2021. For each of the antibody assays used in these serology studies, we identified data on assay characteristics, including the extent of seroreversion over time. We analysed the serology data using a Bayesian model that incorporates conventional sampling uncertainty as well as uncertainties about assay sensitivity and specificity. We then calculated IFRs using individual case reports or aggregated public health updates, including age pecific estimates whenever feasible. Results In most locations in developing countries, seroprevalence among older adults was similar to that of younger age cohorts, underscoring the limited capacity that these nations have to protect older age groups. Age-specific IFRs were roughly 2 times higher than in high income countries. The median value of the population IFR was about 0.5%, similar to that of high-income countries, because disparities in healthcare access were roughly offset by differences in population age structure. Conclusion The burden of COVID-19 is far higher in developing countries than in high-income countries, reflecting a combination of elevated transmission to middle-aged and older adults as well as limited access to adequate healthcare. These results underscore the critical need to ensure medical equity to populations in developing countries through provision of vaccine doses and effective medications.


Detalles Bibliográficos
2022
COVID-19
Developing countries
Public policy
Inglés
Universidad de la República
COLIBRI
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/39729
Acceso abierto
Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0)
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author Herrera Espósito, Daniel
author2 Levin, Andrew T .
Owusu-Boaitey, Nana
author2_role author
author
author_facet Herrera Espósito, Daniel
Levin, Andrew T .
Owusu-Boaitey, Nana
author_role author
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dc.contributor.filiacion.none.fl_str_mv Herrera Espósito Daniel, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Biología.
Levin Andrew T .
Owusu-Boaitey Nana
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Herrera Espósito, Daniel
Levin, Andrew T .
Owusu-Boaitey, Nana
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2023-08-30T14:29:49Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2023-08-30T14:29:49Z
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv 2022
dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv Introduction The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 has been carefully measured and analysed in high-income countries, whereas there has been no systematic analysis of age-specific seroprevalence or IFR for developing countries. Methods We systematically reviewed the literature to identify all COVID-19 serology studies in developing countries that were conducted using representative samples collected by February 2021. For each of the antibody assays used in these serology studies, we identified data on assay characteristics, including the extent of seroreversion over time. We analysed the serology data using a Bayesian model that incorporates conventional sampling uncertainty as well as uncertainties about assay sensitivity and specificity. We then calculated IFRs using individual case reports or aggregated public health updates, including age pecific estimates whenever feasible. Results In most locations in developing countries, seroprevalence among older adults was similar to that of younger age cohorts, underscoring the limited capacity that these nations have to protect older age groups. Age-specific IFRs were roughly 2 times higher than in high income countries. The median value of the population IFR was about 0.5%, similar to that of high-income countries, because disparities in healthcare access were roughly offset by differences in population age structure. Conclusion The burden of COVID-19 is far higher in developing countries than in high-income countries, reflecting a combination of elevated transmission to middle-aged and older adults as well as limited access to adequate healthcare. These results underscore the critical need to ensure medical equity to populations in developing countries through provision of vaccine doses and effective medications.
dc.description.es.fl_txt_mv Trabajo realizado por otros catorce autores.
dc.format.extent.es.fl_str_mv 62 h.
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dc.identifier.citation.es.fl_str_mv Herrera Espósito, D, Levin, A y Owusu-Boaitey, N [y otros autores]. "Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications". BMJ Global Health. [en línea] 2022, 7:e008477. 62 h. DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2022-008477
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv 10.1136/bmjgh-2022-008477
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv 2059-7908
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/39729
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv en_US
eng
dc.publisher.es.fl_str_mv BMJ
dc.relation.ispartof.es.fl_str_mv BMJ Global Health, 2022, 7: e008477.
dc.rights.license.none.fl_str_mv Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0)
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:COLIBRI
instname:Universidad de la República
instacron:Universidad de la República
dc.subject.es.fl_str_mv COVID-19
Developing countries
Public policy
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications
dc.type.es.fl_str_mv Artículo
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type.version.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
description Trabajo realizado por otros catorce autores.
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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identifier_str_mv Herrera Espósito, D, Levin, A y Owusu-Boaitey, N [y otros autores]. "Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications". BMJ Global Health. [en línea] 2022, 7:e008477. 62 h. DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2022-008477
2059-7908
10.1136/bmjgh-2022-008477
instacron_str Universidad de la República
institution Universidad de la República
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publishDate 2022
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repository.mail.fl_str_mv mabel.seroubian@seciu.edu.uy
repository.name.fl_str_mv COLIBRI - Universidad de la República
repository_id_str 4771
rights_invalid_str_mv Licencia Creative Commons Atribución - No Comercial - Sin Derivadas (CC - By-NC-ND 4.0)
spelling Herrera Espósito Daniel, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Biología.Levin Andrew T .Owusu-Boaitey Nana2023-08-30T14:29:49Z2023-08-30T14:29:49Z2022Herrera Espósito, D, Levin, A y Owusu-Boaitey, N [y otros autores]. "Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications". BMJ Global Health. [en línea] 2022, 7:e008477. 62 h. DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2022-0084772059-7908https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/3972910.1136/bmjgh-2022-008477Trabajo realizado por otros catorce autores.Introduction The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 has been carefully measured and analysed in high-income countries, whereas there has been no systematic analysis of age-specific seroprevalence or IFR for developing countries. Methods We systematically reviewed the literature to identify all COVID-19 serology studies in developing countries that were conducted using representative samples collected by February 2021. For each of the antibody assays used in these serology studies, we identified data on assay characteristics, including the extent of seroreversion over time. We analysed the serology data using a Bayesian model that incorporates conventional sampling uncertainty as well as uncertainties about assay sensitivity and specificity. We then calculated IFRs using individual case reports or aggregated public health updates, including age pecific estimates whenever feasible. Results In most locations in developing countries, seroprevalence among older adults was similar to that of younger age cohorts, underscoring the limited capacity that these nations have to protect older age groups. Age-specific IFRs were roughly 2 times higher than in high income countries. The median value of the population IFR was about 0.5%, similar to that of high-income countries, because disparities in healthcare access were roughly offset by differences in population age structure. Conclusion The burden of COVID-19 is far higher in developing countries than in high-income countries, reflecting a combination of elevated transmission to middle-aged and older adults as well as limited access to adequate healthcare. These results underscore the critical need to ensure medical equity to populations in developing countries through provision of vaccine doses and effective medications.Submitted by Farías Verónica (vfarias@fcien.edu.uy) on 2023-08-30T13:19:04Z No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 23149 bytes, checksum: 1996b8461bc290aef6a27d78c67b6b52 (MD5) 101136bmjgh2022008477.pdf: 11996925 bytes, checksum: 2a7485ad4f2d37f0b0217bde8eb093a2 (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Faget Cecilia (lfaget@fcien.edu.uy) on 2023-08-30T14:24:47Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 23149 bytes, checksum: 1996b8461bc290aef6a27d78c67b6b52 (MD5) 101136bmjgh2022008477.pdf: 11996925 bytes, checksum: 2a7485ad4f2d37f0b0217bde8eb093a2 (MD5)Made available in DSpace by Luna Fabiana (fabiana.luna@seciu.edu.uy) on 2023-08-30T14:29:49Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 23149 bytes, checksum: 1996b8461bc290aef6a27d78c67b6b52 (MD5) 101136bmjgh2022008477.pdf: 11996925 bytes, checksum: 2a7485ad4f2d37f0b0217bde8eb093a2 (MD5) Previous issue date: 202262 h.application/pdfen_USengBMJBMJ Global Health, 2022, 7: e008477.Las obras depositadas en el Repositorio se rigen por la Ordenanza de los Derechos de la Propiedad Intelectual de la Universidad de la República.(Res. Nº 91 de C.D.C. de 8/III/1994 – D.O. 7/IV/1994) y por la Ordenanza del Repositorio Abierto de la Universidad de la República (Res. 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spellingShingle Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications
Herrera Espósito, Daniel
COVID-19
Developing countries
Public policy
status_str publishedVersion
title Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications
title_full Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications
title_fullStr Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications
title_short Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications
title_sort Assessing the burden of COVID-19 in developing countries: systematic review, meta-analysis and public policy implications
topic COVID-19
Developing countries
Public policy
url https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/39729