Climate risks and reasons for concern along the Uruguayan coast of the Rio de la Plata estuary
Resumen:
The Uruguayan coast of the Río de la Plata river estuary (RdlP) is 300 km long. It encompasses an inner tidal river and a middle and an outer estuary. The RdlP is a micro-tidal system dominated by river inflow from the Paraná and Uruguay rivers and southern winds with increasingly frequent wind-induced storm surges impacting the coast. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation influences the river inflow, prevailing winds, water/sea level and beach erosion. First, we focus on the IPCC Reasons for Concern (RFC) about the trends of climate risks threatening the Uruguayan coast. The trends and maxima of air temperature, water/sea levels and river inflow in three coastal stations from 1980 to 2019 show temporal changes attributable to climate change and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The occurrence, evolution and Montecarlo simulations of return periods of the yearly river flow and sea level height maxima provide metrics of RFC to categorise the climate risks from past to projected future and the level of risk from undetectable to very high. Then, we summarise some current and expected climate risks and present the current adaptation framework and some expected impacts. The RFC has increased, reaching moderate to high-risk levels.
| 2023 | |
|
ENSO Sea-level rise Extreme sea levels River inflow Wind maxima Climate impacts Beach erosion Harmful blooms Monte carlo simulation |
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| Inglés | |
| Universidad de la República | |
| COLIBRI | |
| https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/50046 | |
| Acceso abierto | |
| Licencia Creative Commons Atribución (CC - By 4.0) |
| _version_ | 1872864698823606272 |
|---|---|
| author | Nagy Breitenstein, Gustavo J |
| author2 | Verocai Masena, José Eduardo Capurro Leites, Leandro Fabián Gómez-Erache, Mónica Gutiérrez de Marañón, María Ofelia Panario, Daniel Brugnoli, Ernesto Brum García, Agustina Bidegain Dorelo, Mario |
| author2_role | author author author author author author author author |
| author_facet | Nagy Breitenstein, Gustavo J Verocai Masena, José Eduardo Capurro Leites, Leandro Fabián Gómez-Erache, Mónica Gutiérrez de Marañón, María Ofelia Panario, Daniel Brugnoli, Ernesto Brum García, Agustina Bidegain Dorelo, Mario |
| author_role | author |
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| collection | COLIBRI |
| dc.contributor.filiacion.none.fl_str_mv | Nagy Breitenstein Gustavo J, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales. Verocai Masena José Eduardo, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales. Capurro Leites Leandro Fabián Gómez-Erache Mónica, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales. Gutiérrez de Marañón María Ofelia, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales. Panario Daniel, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales. Brugnoli Ernesto, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales. Brum García Agustina Bidegain Dorelo Mario |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Nagy Breitenstein, Gustavo J Verocai Masena, José Eduardo Capurro Leites, Leandro Fabián Gómez-Erache, Mónica Gutiérrez de Marañón, María Ofelia Panario, Daniel Brugnoli, Ernesto Brum García, Agustina Bidegain Dorelo, Mario |
| dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv | 2025-05-16T18:05:11Z |
| dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv | 2025-05-16T18:05:11Z |
| dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv | 2023 |
| dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv | The Uruguayan coast of the Río de la Plata river estuary (RdlP) is 300 km long. It encompasses an inner tidal river and a middle and an outer estuary. The RdlP is a micro-tidal system dominated by river inflow from the Paraná and Uruguay rivers and southern winds with increasingly frequent wind-induced storm surges impacting the coast. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation influences the river inflow, prevailing winds, water/sea level and beach erosion. First, we focus on the IPCC Reasons for Concern (RFC) about the trends of climate risks threatening the Uruguayan coast. The trends and maxima of air temperature, water/sea levels and river inflow in three coastal stations from 1980 to 2019 show temporal changes attributable to climate change and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The occurrence, evolution and Montecarlo simulations of return periods of the yearly river flow and sea level height maxima provide metrics of RFC to categorise the climate risks from past to projected future and the level of risk from undetectable to very high. Then, we summarise some current and expected climate risks and present the current adaptation framework and some expected impacts. The RFC has increased, reaching moderate to high-risk levels. |
| dc.format.extent.es.fl_str_mv | 29 h |
| dc.format.mimetype.es.fl_str_mv | application/pdf |
| dc.identifier.citation.es.fl_str_mv | Nagy Breitenstein, G, Verocai Masena, J, Capurro Leites, L [y otros autores]. Climate risks and reasons for concern along the Uruguayan coast of the Rio de la Plata estuary [en línea] EN: Manning, Andrew J.(ed.) Estuary Research - Recent Advances. Montevideo: IntechOpen, 2023. 29 h. 10.5772-intechopen.110504 |
| dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv | 10.5772-intechopen.110504 |
| dc.identifier.isbn.none.fl_str_mv | 9781837682850 |
| dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/50046 |
| dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv | en eng |
| dc.publisher.es.fl_str_mv | IntechOpen |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv | Manning, Andrew J.(ed.) Estuary Research - Recent Advances, 2023. |
| dc.rights.license.none.fl_str_mv | Licencia Creative Commons Atribución (CC - By 4.0) |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
| dc.source.none.fl_str_mv | reponame:COLIBRI instname:Universidad de la República instacron:Universidad de la República |
| dc.subject.es.fl_str_mv | ENSO Sea-level rise Extreme sea levels River inflow Wind maxima Climate impacts Beach erosion Harmful blooms Monte carlo simulation |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | Climate risks and reasons for concern along the Uruguayan coast of the Rio de la Plata estuary |
| dc.type.es.fl_str_mv | Capítulo de libro |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/bookPart |
| dc.type.version.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
| description | The Uruguayan coast of the Río de la Plata river estuary (RdlP) is 300 km long. It encompasses an inner tidal river and a middle and an outer estuary. The RdlP is a micro-tidal system dominated by river inflow from the Paraná and Uruguay rivers and southern winds with increasingly frequent wind-induced storm surges impacting the coast. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation influences the river inflow, prevailing winds, water/sea level and beach erosion. First, we focus on the IPCC Reasons for Concern (RFC) about the trends of climate risks threatening the Uruguayan coast. The trends and maxima of air temperature, water/sea levels and river inflow in three coastal stations from 1980 to 2019 show temporal changes attributable to climate change and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The occurrence, evolution and Montecarlo simulations of return periods of the yearly river flow and sea level height maxima provide metrics of RFC to categorise the climate risks from past to projected future and the level of risk from undetectable to very high. Then, we summarise some current and expected climate risks and present the current adaptation framework and some expected impacts. The RFC has increased, reaching moderate to high-risk levels. |
| eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
| format | bookPart |
| id | COLIBRI_1b6a9babe51e998d8b216b9982f19dbd |
| identifier_str_mv | Nagy Breitenstein, G, Verocai Masena, J, Capurro Leites, L [y otros autores]. Climate risks and reasons for concern along the Uruguayan coast of the Rio de la Plata estuary [en línea] EN: Manning, Andrew J.(ed.) Estuary Research - Recent Advances. Montevideo: IntechOpen, 2023. 29 h. 10.5772-intechopen.110504 9781837682850 10.5772-intechopen.110504 |
| instacron_str | Universidad de la República |
| institution | Universidad de la República |
| instname_str | Universidad de la República |
| language | eng |
| language_invalid_str_mv | en |
| network_acronym_str | COLIBRI |
| network_name_str | COLIBRI |
| oai_identifier_str | oai:colibri.udelar.edu.uy:20.500.12008/50046 |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| reponame_str | COLIBRI |
| repository.mail.fl_str_mv | karina.camps@seciu.edu.uy |
| repository.name.fl_str_mv | COLIBRI - Universidad de la República |
| repository_id_str | 4771 |
| rights_invalid_str_mv | Licencia Creative Commons Atribución (CC - By 4.0) |
| spelling | Nagy Breitenstein Gustavo J, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales.Verocai Masena José Eduardo, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales.Capurro Leites Leandro FabiánGómez-Erache Mónica, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales.Gutiérrez de Marañón María Ofelia, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales.Panario Daniel, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales.Brugnoli Ernesto, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales.Brum García AgustinaBidegain Dorelo Mario2025-05-16T18:05:11Z2025-05-16T18:05:11Z2023Nagy Breitenstein, G, Verocai Masena, J, Capurro Leites, L [y otros autores]. Climate risks and reasons for concern along the Uruguayan coast of the Rio de la Plata estuary [en línea] EN: Manning, Andrew J.(ed.) Estuary Research - Recent Advances. Montevideo: IntechOpen, 2023. 29 h. 10.5772-intechopen.1105049781837682850https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/5004610.5772-intechopen.110504The Uruguayan coast of the Río de la Plata river estuary (RdlP) is 300 km long. It encompasses an inner tidal river and a middle and an outer estuary. The RdlP is a micro-tidal system dominated by river inflow from the Paraná and Uruguay rivers and southern winds with increasingly frequent wind-induced storm surges impacting the coast. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation influences the river inflow, prevailing winds, water/sea level and beach erosion. First, we focus on the IPCC Reasons for Concern (RFC) about the trends of climate risks threatening the Uruguayan coast. The trends and maxima of air temperature, water/sea levels and river inflow in three coastal stations from 1980 to 2019 show temporal changes attributable to climate change and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The occurrence, evolution and Montecarlo simulations of return periods of the yearly river flow and sea level height maxima provide metrics of RFC to categorise the climate risks from past to projected future and the level of risk from undetectable to very high. Then, we summarise some current and expected climate risks and present the current adaptation framework and some expected impacts. The RFC has increased, reaching moderate to high-risk levels.Submitted by Pintos Natalia (nataliapintosmvd@gmail.com) on 2025-05-08T11:24:34Z No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 24942 bytes, checksum: 58cb336ce230a47d2f88ad02838a665f (MD5) 10.5772-intechopen.110504.pdf: 4117452 bytes, checksum: 29f1c67fe05e822ba011d55627389e3a (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Faget Cecilia (lfaget@fcien.edu.uy) on 2025-05-16T14:28:17Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 24942 bytes, checksum: 58cb336ce230a47d2f88ad02838a665f (MD5) 10.5772-intechopen.110504.pdf: 4117452 bytes, checksum: 29f1c67fe05e822ba011d55627389e3a (MD5)Made available in DSpace by Luna Fabiana (fabiana.luna@seciu.edu.uy) on 2025-05-16T18:05:11Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 24942 bytes, checksum: 58cb336ce230a47d2f88ad02838a665f (MD5) 10.5772-intechopen.110504.pdf: 4117452 bytes, checksum: 29f1c67fe05e822ba011d55627389e3a (MD5) Previous issue date: 202329 happlication/pdfenengIntechOpenManning, Andrew J.(ed.) Estuary Research - Recent Advances, 2023.Las obras depositadas en el Repositorio se rigen por la Ordenanza de los Derechos de la Propiedad Intelectual de la Universidad de la República.(Res. Nº 91 de C.D.C. de 8/III/1994 – D.O. 7/IV/1994) y por la Ordenanza del Repositorio Abierto de la Universidad de la República (Res. Nº 16 de C.D.C. de 07/10/2014)info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessLicencia Creative Commons Atribución (CC - By 4.0)ENSOSea-level riseExtreme sea levelsRiver inflowWind maximaClimate impactsBeach erosionHarmful bloomsMonte carlo simulationClimate risks and reasons for concern along the Uruguayan coast of the Rio de la Plata estuaryCapítulo de libroinfo:eu-repo/semantics/bookPartinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionreponame:COLIBRIinstname:Universidad de la Repúblicainstacron:Universidad de la RepúblicaNagy Breitenstein, Gustavo JVerocai Masena, José EduardoCapurro Leites, Leandro FabiánGómez-Erache, MónicaGutiérrez de Marañón, María OfeliaPanario, DanielBrugnoli, ErnestoBrum García, AgustinaBidegain Dorelo, MarioLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-84267http://localhost:8080/xmlui/bitstream/20.500.12008/50046/5/license.txt6429389a7df7277b72b7924fdc7d47a9MD55CC-LICENSElicense_urllicense_urltext/plain; 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públicahttps://udelar.edu.uy/https://www.colibri.udelar.edu.uy/oai/requestkarina.camps@seciu.edu.uyUruguayopendoar:47712025-05-16T18:05:11COLIBRI - Universidad de la Repúblicafalse |
| spellingShingle | Climate risks and reasons for concern along the Uruguayan coast of the Rio de la Plata estuary Nagy Breitenstein, Gustavo J ENSO Sea-level rise Extreme sea levels River inflow Wind maxima Climate impacts Beach erosion Harmful blooms Monte carlo simulation |
| status_str | publishedVersion |
| title | Climate risks and reasons for concern along the Uruguayan coast of the Rio de la Plata estuary |
| title_full | Climate risks and reasons for concern along the Uruguayan coast of the Rio de la Plata estuary |
| title_fullStr | Climate risks and reasons for concern along the Uruguayan coast of the Rio de la Plata estuary |
| title_full_unstemmed | Climate risks and reasons for concern along the Uruguayan coast of the Rio de la Plata estuary |
| title_short | Climate risks and reasons for concern along the Uruguayan coast of the Rio de la Plata estuary |
| title_sort | Climate risks and reasons for concern along the Uruguayan coast of the Rio de la Plata estuary |
| topic | ENSO Sea-level rise Extreme sea levels River inflow Wind maxima Climate impacts Beach erosion Harmful blooms Monte carlo simulation |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/50046 |
