Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records
Resumen:
Background: Experts use knowledge to infer the distribution of species based on fuzzy logical assumptions about the relationship between species and the environment. Thus, expert knowledge is amenable to fuzzy logic modelling, which give to propositions a continuous truth value between 0 and 1. In species distribution modelling, fuzzy logic may also be used to model, from a number of records, the degree to which conditions are favourable to the occurrence of a species. Therefore, fuzzy logic operations can be used to compare and combine models based on expert knowledge and species records. Here, we applied fuzzy logic modelling to the distribution of amphibians in Uruguay as inferred from expert knowledge and from observed records to infer favourable locations, with favourability being the commensurable unit for both kinds of data sources. We compared the results for threatened species, species considered by experts to be ubiquitous, and non-threatened, non ubiquitous species. We calculated the fuzzy intersection of models based on both knowledge sources to obtain a unifed prediction of favourable locations. Results: Models based on expert knowledge involved a larger number of variables and were less afected by sampling bias. Models based on experts had the same overprediction rate for the three types of species, whereas models based on species records had a lower prediction rate for ubiquitous species. Models based on expert knowledge performed equally as well or better than corresponding models based on species records for threatened species, even when they had to discriminate and classify the same set of records used to build the models based on species records. For threatened species, expert models predicted more restrictive favourable territories than those predicted based on records. Observed records generated the best-ftted models for non-threatened non-ubiquitous species, and ubiquitous species. Conclusions Fuzzy modelling permitted the objective comparison of the potential of expert knowledge and incomplete distribution records to infer the territories favourable for diferent species. Distribution of threatened species was able to be better explained by subjective expert knowledge, while for generalist species models based on observed data were more accurate. These results have implications for the correct use of expert knowledge in conservation planning.
2023 | |
ANII: PD_NAC_2015_1_108393 | |
Amphibians Incomplete records Favourable areas Fuzzy consensus Non-observed species Potential biodiversity Threatened species |
|
Inglés | |
Universidad de la República | |
COLIBRI | |
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/43362 | |
Acceso abierto | |
Licencia Creative Commons Atribución (CC - By 4.0) |
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author | Romero, David |
author2 | Maneyro, Raúl Guerrero, José Carlos Real, Raimundo |
author2_role | author author author |
author_facet | Romero, David Maneyro, Raúl Guerrero, José Carlos Real, Raimundo |
author_role | author |
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collection | COLIBRI |
dc.contributor.filiacion.none.fl_str_mv | Romero David Maneyro Raúl, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales. Guerrero José Carlos, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales. Real Raimundo |
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Romero, David Maneyro, Raúl Guerrero, José Carlos Real, Raimundo |
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv | 2024-04-08T12:38:42Z |
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv | 2024-04-08T12:38:42Z |
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv | 2023 |
dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv | Background: Experts use knowledge to infer the distribution of species based on fuzzy logical assumptions about the relationship between species and the environment. Thus, expert knowledge is amenable to fuzzy logic modelling, which give to propositions a continuous truth value between 0 and 1. In species distribution modelling, fuzzy logic may also be used to model, from a number of records, the degree to which conditions are favourable to the occurrence of a species. Therefore, fuzzy logic operations can be used to compare and combine models based on expert knowledge and species records. Here, we applied fuzzy logic modelling to the distribution of amphibians in Uruguay as inferred from expert knowledge and from observed records to infer favourable locations, with favourability being the commensurable unit for both kinds of data sources. We compared the results for threatened species, species considered by experts to be ubiquitous, and non-threatened, non ubiquitous species. We calculated the fuzzy intersection of models based on both knowledge sources to obtain a unifed prediction of favourable locations. Results: Models based on expert knowledge involved a larger number of variables and were less afected by sampling bias. Models based on experts had the same overprediction rate for the three types of species, whereas models based on species records had a lower prediction rate for ubiquitous species. Models based on expert knowledge performed equally as well or better than corresponding models based on species records for threatened species, even when they had to discriminate and classify the same set of records used to build the models based on species records. For threatened species, expert models predicted more restrictive favourable territories than those predicted based on records. Observed records generated the best-ftted models for non-threatened non-ubiquitous species, and ubiquitous species. Conclusions Fuzzy modelling permitted the objective comparison of the potential of expert knowledge and incomplete distribution records to infer the territories favourable for diferent species. Distribution of threatened species was able to be better explained by subjective expert knowledge, while for generalist species models based on observed data were more accurate. These results have implications for the correct use of expert knowledge in conservation planning. |
dc.description.sponsorship.none.fl_txt_mv | ANII: PD_NAC_2015_1_108393 |
dc.format.extent.es.fl_str_mv | 15 h. |
dc.format.mimetype.es.fl_str_mv | application/pdf |
dc.identifier.citation.es.fl_str_mv | Romero, D, Maneyro, R, Guerrero, J [y otros autores]. "Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records". Frontiers in Zoology. [en línea] 2023, 20: 38. 15 h. DOI: 10.1186/s12983-023-00515-x. |
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv | 10.1186/s12983-023-00515-x |
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv | 1742-9994 |
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/43362 |
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv | en eng |
dc.publisher.es.fl_str_mv | Frontiers |
dc.relation.ispartof.es.fl_str_mv | Frontiers in Zoology, 2023, 20: 38. |
dc.rights.license.none.fl_str_mv | Licencia Creative Commons Atribución (CC - By 4.0) |
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv | reponame:COLIBRI instname:Universidad de la República instacron:Universidad de la República |
dc.subject.es.fl_str_mv | Amphibians Incomplete records Favourable areas Fuzzy consensus Non-observed species Potential biodiversity Threatened species |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records |
dc.type.es.fl_str_mv | Artículo |
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
dc.type.version.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
description | Background: Experts use knowledge to infer the distribution of species based on fuzzy logical assumptions about the relationship between species and the environment. Thus, expert knowledge is amenable to fuzzy logic modelling, which give to propositions a continuous truth value between 0 and 1. In species distribution modelling, fuzzy logic may also be used to model, from a number of records, the degree to which conditions are favourable to the occurrence of a species. Therefore, fuzzy logic operations can be used to compare and combine models based on expert knowledge and species records. Here, we applied fuzzy logic modelling to the distribution of amphibians in Uruguay as inferred from expert knowledge and from observed records to infer favourable locations, with favourability being the commensurable unit for both kinds of data sources. We compared the results for threatened species, species considered by experts to be ubiquitous, and non-threatened, non ubiquitous species. We calculated the fuzzy intersection of models based on both knowledge sources to obtain a unifed prediction of favourable locations. Results: Models based on expert knowledge involved a larger number of variables and were less afected by sampling bias. Models based on experts had the same overprediction rate for the three types of species, whereas models based on species records had a lower prediction rate for ubiquitous species. Models based on expert knowledge performed equally as well or better than corresponding models based on species records for threatened species, even when they had to discriminate and classify the same set of records used to build the models based on species records. For threatened species, expert models predicted more restrictive favourable territories than those predicted based on records. Observed records generated the best-ftted models for non-threatened non-ubiquitous species, and ubiquitous species. Conclusions Fuzzy modelling permitted the objective comparison of the potential of expert knowledge and incomplete distribution records to infer the territories favourable for diferent species. Distribution of threatened species was able to be better explained by subjective expert knowledge, while for generalist species models based on observed data were more accurate. These results have implications for the correct use of expert knowledge in conservation planning. |
eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
format | article |
id | COLIBRI_15eed280e503ce14f167d1694b1496f6 |
identifier_str_mv | Romero, D, Maneyro, R, Guerrero, J [y otros autores]. "Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records". Frontiers in Zoology. [en línea] 2023, 20: 38. 15 h. DOI: 10.1186/s12983-023-00515-x. 1742-9994 10.1186/s12983-023-00515-x |
instacron_str | Universidad de la República |
institution | Universidad de la República |
instname_str | Universidad de la República |
language | eng |
language_invalid_str_mv | en |
network_acronym_str | COLIBRI |
network_name_str | COLIBRI |
oai_identifier_str | oai:colibri.udelar.edu.uy:20.500.12008/43362 |
publishDate | 2023 |
reponame_str | COLIBRI |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv | mabel.seroubian@seciu.edu.uy |
repository.name.fl_str_mv | COLIBRI - Universidad de la República |
repository_id_str | 4771 |
rights_invalid_str_mv | Licencia Creative Commons Atribución (CC - By 4.0) |
spelling | Romero DavidManeyro Raúl, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales.Guerrero José Carlos, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales.Real Raimundo2024-04-08T12:38:42Z2024-04-08T12:38:42Z2023Romero, D, Maneyro, R, Guerrero, J [y otros autores]. "Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records". Frontiers in Zoology. [en línea] 2023, 20: 38. 15 h. DOI: 10.1186/s12983-023-00515-x.1742-9994https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/4336210.1186/s12983-023-00515-xBackground: Experts use knowledge to infer the distribution of species based on fuzzy logical assumptions about the relationship between species and the environment. Thus, expert knowledge is amenable to fuzzy logic modelling, which give to propositions a continuous truth value between 0 and 1. In species distribution modelling, fuzzy logic may also be used to model, from a number of records, the degree to which conditions are favourable to the occurrence of a species. Therefore, fuzzy logic operations can be used to compare and combine models based on expert knowledge and species records. Here, we applied fuzzy logic modelling to the distribution of amphibians in Uruguay as inferred from expert knowledge and from observed records to infer favourable locations, with favourability being the commensurable unit for both kinds of data sources. We compared the results for threatened species, species considered by experts to be ubiquitous, and non-threatened, non ubiquitous species. We calculated the fuzzy intersection of models based on both knowledge sources to obtain a unifed prediction of favourable locations. Results: Models based on expert knowledge involved a larger number of variables and were less afected by sampling bias. Models based on experts had the same overprediction rate for the three types of species, whereas models based on species records had a lower prediction rate for ubiquitous species. Models based on expert knowledge performed equally as well or better than corresponding models based on species records for threatened species, even when they had to discriminate and classify the same set of records used to build the models based on species records. For threatened species, expert models predicted more restrictive favourable territories than those predicted based on records. Observed records generated the best-ftted models for non-threatened non-ubiquitous species, and ubiquitous species. Conclusions Fuzzy modelling permitted the objective comparison of the potential of expert knowledge and incomplete distribution records to infer the territories favourable for diferent species. Distribution of threatened species was able to be better explained by subjective expert knowledge, while for generalist species models based on observed data were more accurate. These results have implications for the correct use of expert knowledge in conservation planning.Submitted by Pintos Natalia (nataliapintosmvd@gmail.com) on 2024-04-04T14:29:56Z No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 24251 bytes, checksum: 71ed42ef0a0b648670f707320be37b90 (MD5) 10.1186.s12983-023-00515-x.pdf: 2892071 bytes, checksum: e4bce94b52d14d5e214f6e4a058a88cb (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Faget Cecilia (lfaget@fcien.edu.uy) on 2024-04-08T12:23:21Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 24251 bytes, checksum: 71ed42ef0a0b648670f707320be37b90 (MD5) 10.1186.s12983-023-00515-x.pdf: 2892071 bytes, checksum: e4bce94b52d14d5e214f6e4a058a88cb (MD5)Made available in DSpace by Luna Fabiana (fabiana.luna@seciu.edu.uy) on 2024-04-08T12:38:42Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 24251 bytes, checksum: 71ed42ef0a0b648670f707320be37b90 (MD5) 10.1186.s12983-023-00515-x.pdf: 2892071 bytes, checksum: e4bce94b52d14d5e214f6e4a058a88cb (MD5) Previous issue date: 2023ANII: PD_NAC_2015_1_10839315 h.application/pdfenengFrontiersFrontiers in Zoology, 2023, 20: 38.Las obras depositadas en el Repositorio se rigen por la Ordenanza de los Derechos de la Propiedad Intelectual de la Universidad de la República.(Res. Nº 91 de C.D.C. de 8/III/1994 – D.O. 7/IV/1994) y por la Ordenanza del Repositorio Abierto de la Universidad de la República (Res. Nº 16 de C.D.C. de 07/10/2014)info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessLicencia Creative Commons Atribución (CC - By 4.0)AmphibiansIncomplete recordsFavourable areasFuzzy consensusNon-observed speciesPotential biodiversityThreatened speciesUsing fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling recordsArtículoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionreponame:COLIBRIinstname:Universidad de la Repúblicainstacron:Universidad de la RepúblicaRomero, DavidManeyro, RaúlGuerrero, José CarlosReal, RaimundoLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-84267http://localhost:8080/xmlui/bitstream/20.500.12008/43362/5/license.txt6429389a7df7277b72b7924fdc7d47a9MD55CC-LICENSElicense_urllicense_urltext/plain; charset=utf-844http://localhost:8080/xmlui/bitstream/20.500.12008/43362/2/license_urla0ebbeafb9d2ec7cbb19d7137ebc392cMD52license_textlicense_texttext/html; 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- Universidad de la Repúblicafalse |
spellingShingle | Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records Romero, David Amphibians Incomplete records Favourable areas Fuzzy consensus Non-observed species Potential biodiversity Threatened species |
status_str | publishedVersion |
title | Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records |
title_full | Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records |
title_fullStr | Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records |
title_full_unstemmed | Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records |
title_short | Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records |
title_sort | Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records |
topic | Amphibians Incomplete records Favourable areas Fuzzy consensus Non-observed species Potential biodiversity Threatened species |
url | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/43362 |