Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records

Romero, David - Maneyro, Raúl - Guerrero, José Carlos - Real, Raimundo

Resumen:

Background: Experts use knowledge to infer the distribution of species based on fuzzy logical assumptions about the relationship between species and the environment. Thus, expert knowledge is amenable to fuzzy logic modelling, which give to propositions a continuous truth value between 0 and 1. In species distribution modelling, fuzzy logic may also be used to model, from a number of records, the degree to which conditions are favourable to the occurrence of a species. Therefore, fuzzy logic operations can be used to compare and combine models based on expert knowledge and species records. Here, we applied fuzzy logic modelling to the distribution of amphibians in Uruguay as inferred from expert knowledge and from observed records to infer favourable locations, with favourability being the commensurable unit for both kinds of data sources. We compared the results for threatened species, species considered by experts to be ubiquitous, and non-threatened, non ubiquitous species. We calculated the fuzzy intersection of models based on both knowledge sources to obtain a unifed prediction of favourable locations. Results: Models based on expert knowledge involved a larger number of variables and were less afected by sampling bias. Models based on experts had the same overprediction rate for the three types of species, whereas models based on species records had a lower prediction rate for ubiquitous species. Models based on expert knowledge performed equally as well or better than corresponding models based on species records for threatened species, even when they had to discriminate and classify the same set of records used to build the models based on species records. For threatened species, expert models predicted more restrictive favourable territories than those predicted based on records. Observed records generated the best-ftted models for non-threatened non-ubiquitous species, and ubiquitous species. Conclusions Fuzzy modelling permitted the objective comparison of the potential of expert knowledge and incomplete distribution records to infer the territories favourable for diferent species. Distribution of threatened species was able to be better explained by subjective expert knowledge, while for generalist species models based on observed data were more accurate. These results have implications for the correct use of expert knowledge in conservation planning.


Detalles Bibliográficos
2023
ANII: PD_NAC_2015_1_108393
Amphibians
Incomplete records
Favourable areas
Fuzzy consensus
Non-observed species
Potential biodiversity
Threatened species
Inglés
Universidad de la República
COLIBRI
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/43362
Acceso abierto
Licencia Creative Commons Atribución (CC - By 4.0)
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author Romero, David
author2 Maneyro, Raúl
Guerrero, José Carlos
Real, Raimundo
author2_role author
author
author
author_facet Romero, David
Maneyro, Raúl
Guerrero, José Carlos
Real, Raimundo
author_role author
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dc.contributor.filiacion.none.fl_str_mv Romero David
Maneyro Raúl, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales.
Guerrero José Carlos, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales.
Real Raimundo
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Romero, David
Maneyro, Raúl
Guerrero, José Carlos
Real, Raimundo
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2024-04-08T12:38:42Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2024-04-08T12:38:42Z
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv 2023
dc.description.abstract.none.fl_txt_mv Background: Experts use knowledge to infer the distribution of species based on fuzzy logical assumptions about the relationship between species and the environment. Thus, expert knowledge is amenable to fuzzy logic modelling, which give to propositions a continuous truth value between 0 and 1. In species distribution modelling, fuzzy logic may also be used to model, from a number of records, the degree to which conditions are favourable to the occurrence of a species. Therefore, fuzzy logic operations can be used to compare and combine models based on expert knowledge and species records. Here, we applied fuzzy logic modelling to the distribution of amphibians in Uruguay as inferred from expert knowledge and from observed records to infer favourable locations, with favourability being the commensurable unit for both kinds of data sources. We compared the results for threatened species, species considered by experts to be ubiquitous, and non-threatened, non ubiquitous species. We calculated the fuzzy intersection of models based on both knowledge sources to obtain a unifed prediction of favourable locations. Results: Models based on expert knowledge involved a larger number of variables and were less afected by sampling bias. Models based on experts had the same overprediction rate for the three types of species, whereas models based on species records had a lower prediction rate for ubiquitous species. Models based on expert knowledge performed equally as well or better than corresponding models based on species records for threatened species, even when they had to discriminate and classify the same set of records used to build the models based on species records. For threatened species, expert models predicted more restrictive favourable territories than those predicted based on records. Observed records generated the best-ftted models for non-threatened non-ubiquitous species, and ubiquitous species. Conclusions Fuzzy modelling permitted the objective comparison of the potential of expert knowledge and incomplete distribution records to infer the territories favourable for diferent species. Distribution of threatened species was able to be better explained by subjective expert knowledge, while for generalist species models based on observed data were more accurate. These results have implications for the correct use of expert knowledge in conservation planning.
dc.description.sponsorship.none.fl_txt_mv ANII: PD_NAC_2015_1_108393
dc.format.extent.es.fl_str_mv 15 h.
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dc.identifier.citation.es.fl_str_mv Romero, D, Maneyro, R, Guerrero, J [y otros autores]. "Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records". Frontiers in Zoology. [en línea] 2023, 20: 38. 15 h. DOI: 10.1186/s12983-023-00515-x.
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv 10.1186/s12983-023-00515-x
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv 1742-9994
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/43362
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv en
eng
dc.publisher.es.fl_str_mv Frontiers
dc.relation.ispartof.es.fl_str_mv Frontiers in Zoology, 2023, 20: 38.
dc.rights.license.none.fl_str_mv Licencia Creative Commons Atribución (CC - By 4.0)
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:COLIBRI
instname:Universidad de la República
instacron:Universidad de la República
dc.subject.es.fl_str_mv Amphibians
Incomplete records
Favourable areas
Fuzzy consensus
Non-observed species
Potential biodiversity
Threatened species
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records
dc.type.es.fl_str_mv Artículo
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type.version.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
description Background: Experts use knowledge to infer the distribution of species based on fuzzy logical assumptions about the relationship between species and the environment. Thus, expert knowledge is amenable to fuzzy logic modelling, which give to propositions a continuous truth value between 0 and 1. In species distribution modelling, fuzzy logic may also be used to model, from a number of records, the degree to which conditions are favourable to the occurrence of a species. Therefore, fuzzy logic operations can be used to compare and combine models based on expert knowledge and species records. Here, we applied fuzzy logic modelling to the distribution of amphibians in Uruguay as inferred from expert knowledge and from observed records to infer favourable locations, with favourability being the commensurable unit for both kinds of data sources. We compared the results for threatened species, species considered by experts to be ubiquitous, and non-threatened, non ubiquitous species. We calculated the fuzzy intersection of models based on both knowledge sources to obtain a unifed prediction of favourable locations. Results: Models based on expert knowledge involved a larger number of variables and were less afected by sampling bias. Models based on experts had the same overprediction rate for the three types of species, whereas models based on species records had a lower prediction rate for ubiquitous species. Models based on expert knowledge performed equally as well or better than corresponding models based on species records for threatened species, even when they had to discriminate and classify the same set of records used to build the models based on species records. For threatened species, expert models predicted more restrictive favourable territories than those predicted based on records. Observed records generated the best-ftted models for non-threatened non-ubiquitous species, and ubiquitous species. Conclusions Fuzzy modelling permitted the objective comparison of the potential of expert knowledge and incomplete distribution records to infer the territories favourable for diferent species. Distribution of threatened species was able to be better explained by subjective expert knowledge, while for generalist species models based on observed data were more accurate. These results have implications for the correct use of expert knowledge in conservation planning.
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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identifier_str_mv Romero, D, Maneyro, R, Guerrero, J [y otros autores]. "Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records". Frontiers in Zoology. [en línea] 2023, 20: 38. 15 h. DOI: 10.1186/s12983-023-00515-x.
1742-9994
10.1186/s12983-023-00515-x
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repository.mail.fl_str_mv mabel.seroubian@seciu.edu.uy
repository.name.fl_str_mv COLIBRI - Universidad de la República
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rights_invalid_str_mv Licencia Creative Commons Atribución (CC - By 4.0)
spelling Romero DavidManeyro Raúl, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales.Guerrero José Carlos, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales.Real Raimundo2024-04-08T12:38:42Z2024-04-08T12:38:42Z2023Romero, D, Maneyro, R, Guerrero, J [y otros autores]. "Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records". Frontiers in Zoology. [en línea] 2023, 20: 38. 15 h. DOI: 10.1186/s12983-023-00515-x.1742-9994https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/4336210.1186/s12983-023-00515-xBackground: Experts use knowledge to infer the distribution of species based on fuzzy logical assumptions about the relationship between species and the environment. Thus, expert knowledge is amenable to fuzzy logic modelling, which give to propositions a continuous truth value between 0 and 1. In species distribution modelling, fuzzy logic may also be used to model, from a number of records, the degree to which conditions are favourable to the occurrence of a species. Therefore, fuzzy logic operations can be used to compare and combine models based on expert knowledge and species records. Here, we applied fuzzy logic modelling to the distribution of amphibians in Uruguay as inferred from expert knowledge and from observed records to infer favourable locations, with favourability being the commensurable unit for both kinds of data sources. We compared the results for threatened species, species considered by experts to be ubiquitous, and non-threatened, non ubiquitous species. We calculated the fuzzy intersection of models based on both knowledge sources to obtain a unifed prediction of favourable locations. Results: Models based on expert knowledge involved a larger number of variables and were less afected by sampling bias. Models based on experts had the same overprediction rate for the three types of species, whereas models based on species records had a lower prediction rate for ubiquitous species. Models based on expert knowledge performed equally as well or better than corresponding models based on species records for threatened species, even when they had to discriminate and classify the same set of records used to build the models based on species records. For threatened species, expert models predicted more restrictive favourable territories than those predicted based on records. Observed records generated the best-ftted models for non-threatened non-ubiquitous species, and ubiquitous species. Conclusions Fuzzy modelling permitted the objective comparison of the potential of expert knowledge and incomplete distribution records to infer the territories favourable for diferent species. Distribution of threatened species was able to be better explained by subjective expert knowledge, while for generalist species models based on observed data were more accurate. These results have implications for the correct use of expert knowledge in conservation planning.Submitted by Pintos Natalia (nataliapintosmvd@gmail.com) on 2024-04-04T14:29:56Z No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 24251 bytes, checksum: 71ed42ef0a0b648670f707320be37b90 (MD5) 10.1186.s12983-023-00515-x.pdf: 2892071 bytes, checksum: e4bce94b52d14d5e214f6e4a058a88cb (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Faget Cecilia (lfaget@fcien.edu.uy) on 2024-04-08T12:23:21Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 24251 bytes, checksum: 71ed42ef0a0b648670f707320be37b90 (MD5) 10.1186.s12983-023-00515-x.pdf: 2892071 bytes, checksum: e4bce94b52d14d5e214f6e4a058a88cb (MD5)Made available in DSpace by Luna Fabiana (fabiana.luna@seciu.edu.uy) on 2024-04-08T12:38:42Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 24251 bytes, checksum: 71ed42ef0a0b648670f707320be37b90 (MD5) 10.1186.s12983-023-00515-x.pdf: 2892071 bytes, checksum: e4bce94b52d14d5e214f6e4a058a88cb (MD5) Previous issue date: 2023ANII: PD_NAC_2015_1_10839315 h.application/pdfenengFrontiersFrontiers in Zoology, 2023, 20: 38.Las obras depositadas en el Repositorio se rigen por la Ordenanza de los Derechos de la Propiedad Intelectual de la Universidad de la República.(Res. Nº 91 de C.D.C. de 8/III/1994 – D.O. 7/IV/1994) y por la Ordenanza del Repositorio Abierto de la Universidad de la República (Res. Nº 16 de C.D.C. de 07/10/2014)info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessLicencia Creative Commons Atribución (CC - By 4.0)AmphibiansIncomplete recordsFavourable areasFuzzy consensusNon-observed speciesPotential biodiversityThreatened speciesUsing fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling recordsArtículoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionreponame:COLIBRIinstname:Universidad de la Repúblicainstacron:Universidad de la RepúblicaRomero, DavidManeyro, RaúlGuerrero, José CarlosReal, RaimundoLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-84267http://localhost:8080/xmlui/bitstream/20.500.12008/43362/5/license.txt6429389a7df7277b72b7924fdc7d47a9MD55CC-LICENSElicense_urllicense_urltext/plain; charset=utf-844http://localhost:8080/xmlui/bitstream/20.500.12008/43362/2/license_urla0ebbeafb9d2ec7cbb19d7137ebc392cMD52license_textlicense_texttext/html; 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- Universidad de la Repúblicafalse
spellingShingle Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records
Romero, David
Amphibians
Incomplete records
Favourable areas
Fuzzy consensus
Non-observed species
Potential biodiversity
Threatened species
status_str publishedVersion
title Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records
title_full Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records
title_fullStr Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records
title_full_unstemmed Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records
title_short Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records
title_sort Using fuzzy logic to compare species distribution models developed on the basis of expert knowledge and sampling records
topic Amphibians
Incomplete records
Favourable areas
Fuzzy consensus
Non-observed species
Potential biodiversity
Threatened species
url https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/43362